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Stoja vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 48-90
10-25 10-25 16-17 12-23
Position#13
Record2-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v KK Zagreb
20 Jan 2024
STOJ48
KK Z90
29 Jan 2023
STOJ79
KK Z77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 72
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 72
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 72
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 72
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 72
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 72
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 72
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 72
H14/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
165.0Avg total
78.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.388.9169.2-8.615%
Season at home (6)83.592.3175.8-8.817%
Season away (7)77.686.0163.6-8.414%
Last 10 (10)78.886.2165.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)76.883.4160.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)86.494.2180.6-7.829%
vs Similar (7)77.481.6159.0-4.143%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 77
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 77
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 77
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 77
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
104-76
104
76
+28
98avg 77
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 77
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
71avg 77
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 77
H23/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-71
66
71
-5
54avg 77
A13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-19
17-21
24-26
16-18
24-24
19-17
16-16
31-10
14-18
15-21
17-22
17-18
24-18
22-9
19-21
15-17
25-14
19-17
20-25
22-13
28-17
22-20
32-26
21-18
16-18
11-18
21-21
23-27
25-19
18-24
15-31
14-21
27-19
22-23
27-22
15-19
21-18
15-11
15-23
159.0Avg total
81.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.872.8154.6+8.969%
Season at home (7)82.969.1152.0+13.786%
Season away (6)80.577.2157.7+3.350%
Last 10 (10)81.078.0159.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)82.081.6163.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.981.6148.5-14.78%
vs Similar (9)76.073.2149.2+2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.973.0158.9+12.989%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
StojaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
87.1Avg total
38.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.346.688.9-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.889.9-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.447.587.9-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.248.987.1-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.283.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.949.492.3-6.529%-
vs Similar (7)38.943.182.0-4.314%-
vs Weaker (6)44.542.887.3+1.750%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/01
Prva Liga
77.6Avg total
41.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.677.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.736.977.6+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.938.278.1+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.277.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.840.176.8-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.136.477.6+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.135.479.6+8.789%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.6
53.8%
52.9%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.06.2
34.4%
32.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.111.1
73.5%
71.2%11.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.2
33.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.7%
71.2%12.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLLWLLLWL
KK Zagreb
LWLLWWWWWL
#13
League position
#3
-8.8
Net rating
+9.2
102.4
Offensive rating
104.4
111.2
Defensive rating
95.1
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
33.4%
64.9%
Assist %
64.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 104.4Defence111.2 · 95.1Shooting53.2% · 52.0%3-point %34.4% · 33.4%Ball care19.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds24.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Stoja   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stoja wins
2
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23KK Zagreb v Stoja97-70
29/01/23Stoja v KK Zagreb79-77
30/10/22KK Zagreb v Stoja92-85
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AKastela66-71
23/12/23HMladost90-85
18/12/23AHermes81-101
09/12/23HOsijek69-75
03/12/23ACrikvenica104-76
26/11/23HJazine79-73
19/11/23HSamobor82-66
12/11/23AMarsonia77-71
04/11/23HPodstrana85-79 OT
28/10/23AKvarner77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL15%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%17%14%
Points / game80.383.577.6
Allowed / game88.992.386.0
Point differential-8.6-8.8-8.4
Avg total169.2175.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL69%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game81.882.980.5
Allowed / game72.869.177.2
Point differential+8.9+13.7+3.3
Avg total154.6152.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1312192%91.774.8+16.8
2 Osijek1312192%88.374.2+14.2
3 KK Zagreb139469%81.872.8+8.9
4 Gorica138562%78.773.7+5.0
5 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
6 Jazine148657%84.986.9-1.9
7 Hermes137654%91.588.0+3.5
8 Samobor137654%80.483.5-3.2
9 Omis147750%78.478.9-0.5
10 Marsonia134931%81.186.2-5.2
11 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
12 Mladost1331023%77.984.1-6.2
13 Stoja1321115%80.388.9-8.6
14 Crikvenica1321115%73.489.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja1010161248
KK Zagreb2525172390
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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