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Stoja vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-81
16-24 24-12 20-19 20-26
Position#13
Record3-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game73.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Kastela
28 Feb 2024
STOJ80
KAST81
25 Feb 2023
STOJ74
KAST91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 69
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 69
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 69
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 69
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 69
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 69
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 69
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 69
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 69
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 69
A18/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
166.9Avg total
74.9Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.390.9169.3-12.616%
Season at home (9)78.091.3169.3-13.322%
Season away (10)78.690.6169.2-12.010%
Last 10 (10)74.992.0166.9-17.110%
Last 5 (5)79.296.4175.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)85.495.9181.3-10.628%
vs Similar (7)76.984.7161.6-7.929%
vs Weaker (5)82.279.6161.8+2.660%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 76
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 76
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 76
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 76
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 76
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 76
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
51avg 76
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 76
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
81avg 76
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 76
H17/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
28-19
21-21
16-20
22-21
19-15
18-21
11-15
23-15
18-23
15-16
25-23
18-18
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
16-16
14-15
16-22
14-12
24-24
27-19
26-15
21-13
32-16
14-10
13-22
25-18
17-24
16-16
20-20
18-12
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.673.9154.5+6.758%
Season at home (10)79.274.3153.5+4.960%
Season away (9)82.173.4155.6+8.756%
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)81.067.6148.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.176.8146.9-6.625%
vs Similar (9)78.478.3156.8+0.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.271.1155.2+13.192%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
StojaKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
86.0Avg total
35.3Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.948.189.0-7.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.050.889.8-11.87%-
Last 10 (10)35.350.786.0-15.40%-
Last 5 (5)38.252.290.4-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.850.891.6-9.922%-
vs Similar (7)40.145.385.4-5.114%-
vs Weaker (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/02
Prva Liga
76.9Avg total
41.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.3+2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.236.575.7+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.978.8+2.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.576.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.276.0+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.039.272.2-6.20%-
vs Similar (9)39.637.477.0+2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.735.880.5+8.877%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.523.8
50.1%
52.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.2
29.5%
32.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.0
70.1%
71.2%11.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.3
49.4%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.111.3
80.1%
71.2%11.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LWLLLLLLLL
Kastela
LWWLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#6
-21.8
Net rating
+10.7
94.2
Offensive rating
105.5
116.1
Defensive rating
94.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.5%
3-point %
32.8%
58.6%
Assist %
60.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 105.5Defence116.1 · 94.8Shooting48.5% · 49.3%3-point %29.5% · 32.8%Ball care19.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Stoja   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
3
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Kastela v Stoja88-86
25/02/23Stoja v Kastela74-91
26/11/22Kastela v Stoja92-77
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HSamobor71-72
10/02/24HMladost84-66
04/02/24AHermes98-71
28/01/24AOsijek60-65
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
20/01/24HJazine76-80
13/01/24HKK Zagreb71-66
23/12/23AMarsonia87-81
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL16%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game78.378.078.6
Allowed / game90.991.390.6
Point differential-12.6-13.3-12.0
Avg total169.3169.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game80.679.282.1
Allowed / game73.974.373.4
Point differential+6.7+4.9+8.7
Avg total154.5153.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%30%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2018290%90.273.0+17.2
2 Osijek2018290%87.074.9+12.1
3 Gorica2014670%81.874.9+6.9
4 KK Zagreb2013765%80.272.1+8.2
5 Samobor2012860%83.482.3+1.1
6 Kastela1911858%80.673.9+6.7
7 Jazine1911858%88.485.7+2.6
8 Hermes1991047%91.589.6+1.9
9 Omis2091145%77.381.0-3.8
10 Marsonia1961332%79.185.5-6.4
11 Mladost1951426%78.185.9-7.8
12 Crikvenica2041620%73.085.8-12.8
13 Podstrana2041620%71.285.2-13.9
14 Stoja1931616%78.390.9-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja1624202080
Kastela2412192681
← all games of the day
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