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Gorica vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-77
26-15 20-25 11-16 28-21
Position#4
Record15-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.2
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record3-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game90.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 22· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
61avg 77
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
91avg 77
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 77
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 77
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 77
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 77
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 77
A03/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
24-22
16-25
21-18
26-11
23-20
23-17
15-21
27-29
17-20
24-13
20-15
25-20
18-17
21-14
9-22
32-24
24-27
24-19
23-24
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
160.2Avg total
83.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.174.2155.3+6.971%
Season at home (10)84.572.5157.0+12.090%
Season away (11)78.075.8153.8+2.255%
Last 10 (10)83.876.4160.2+7.480%
Last 5 (5)81.269.8151.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Similar (15)81.883.5165.3-1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.971.7154.6+11.282%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 70
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 70
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 70
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 70
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 70
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 70
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 70
H03/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
16-24
24-12
20-19
20-26
32-38
29-23
11-17
15-14
166.6Avg total
75.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.890.5169.3-11.714%
Season at home (11)79.090.5169.5-11.518%
Season away (10)78.690.6169.2-12.010%
Last 10 (10)75.790.9166.6-15.210%
Last 5 (5)83.289.6172.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.295.0180.2-9.825%
vs Similar (5)75.884.8160.6-9.020%
vs Weaker (5)82.279.6161.8+2.660%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
GoricaStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
82.5Avg total
42.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.380.9+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.977.8+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.582.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
vs Similar (15)42.239.381.5+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.637.177.7+3.545%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H03/03
Prva Liga
87.1Avg total
37.7Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.748.490.1-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.645.789.2-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.651.491.0-11.97%-
Last 10 (10)37.749.487.1-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)44.252.296.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.850.592.3-8.825%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
vs Weaker (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.6
54.1%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
71.2%14.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.423.6
48.8%
52.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.9
30.1%
32.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
71.2%10.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWLWWWWWWL
Stoja
LLLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#13
+10.7
Net rating
-18.9
105.8
Offensive rating
95.1
95.1
Defensive rating
114.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.5%
3-point %
30.1%
58.7%
Assist %
61.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 95.1Defence95.1 · 114.0Shooting52.6% · 47.7%3-point %33.5% · 30.1%Ball care17.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Gorica   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
1
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Stoja v Gorica79-69
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71
27/01/24HJazine103-94
24/01/24AKK Zagreb83-81 OT
21/01/24HMarsonia88-77
13/01/24HPodstrana87-69
23/12/23AKvarner71-94
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HSamobor87-92
28/02/24HKastela80-81
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game81.184.578.0
Allowed / game74.272.575.8
Point differential+6.9+12.0+2.2
Avg total155.3157.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%70%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%18%10%
Points / game78.879.078.6
Allowed / game90.590.590.6
Point differential-11.7-11.5-12.0
Avg total169.3169.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2119290%90.872.8+18.0
2 Osijek2119290%86.974.3+12.6
3 Gorica2115671%81.174.2+6.9
4 KK Zagreb2114767%79.871.9+7.9
5 Samobor2113862%83.882.6+1.2
6 Kastela2112957%79.773.9+5.8
7 Jazine2011955%87.385.0+2.4
8 Hermes2191243%90.190.6-0.5
9 Omis2191243%76.480.9-4.5
10 Marsonia2071335%79.585.4-5.8
11 Mladost2171433%79.084.6-5.5
12 Crikvenica2141719%73.686.0-12.4
13 Podstrana2141719%70.885.2-14.4
14 Stoja2131814%78.890.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2620112885
Stoja1525162177
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