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Stoja vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-72
38-18 16-22 20-17 25-15
Position#13
Record3-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game90.9
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game85.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 70
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 70
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 70
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 70
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 70
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
72avg 70
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
63avg 70
A23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
16-24
24-12
20-19
20-26
32-38
29-23
11-17
15-14
15-26
25-20
16-11
21-28
21-22
20-17
18-21
17-28
17-31
20-31
24-22
13-23
172.5Avg total
79.0Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.490.9169.3-12.512%
Season at home (12)78.890.2169.0-11.517%
Season away (12)78.191.5169.6-13.48%
Last 10 (10)79.093.5172.5-14.510%
Last 5 (5)78.890.6169.4-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.994.0176.9-11.223%
vs Similar (5)75.884.8160.6-9.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.080.7160.7-0.733%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
51avg 60
H24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
65-99
65
99
-34
50avg 60
A27/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 60
A03/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
59avg 60
H11/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
70-102
70
102
-32
58avg 60
A17/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 60
H25/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 60
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
52avg 60
H09/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 60
A16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
63avg 60
H23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
9-14
15-27
16-30
18-28
17-17
16-25
14-29
18-23
13-29
19-10
23-22
23-17
10-17
18-29
18-21
16-18
14-32
16-35
24-17
14-20
12-14
17-14
21-19
10-13
22-24
17-18
13-31
22-20
17-23
11-24
27-12
22-31
23-20
21-21
11-17
17-29
16-18
17-19
22-18
154.8Avg total
68.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.385.0156.4-13.717%
Season at home (12)71.278.5149.7-7.333%
Season away (12)71.591.6163.1-20.10%
Last 10 (10)68.586.3154.8-17.80%
Last 5 (5)70.481.0151.4-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)71.586.0157.5-14.518%
vs Similar (2)70.074.5144.5-4.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
StojaPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A23/03
Prva Liga
91.5Avg total
41.0Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.488.9-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.445.288.6-1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)37.351.989.2-14.60%-
Last 10 (10)41.050.591.5-9.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.892.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.649.990.5-9.327%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.341.781.0-2.333%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A27/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A03/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A17/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Prva Liga
75.4Avg total
32.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)34.143.677.7-9.512%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.839.373.1-5.617%-
Last 30 away (12)34.547.882.3-13.38%-
Last 10 (10)32.942.575.4-9.60%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.343.878.1-9.514%-
vs Similar (2)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.123.3
50.5%
52.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.6
35.7%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.1
68.4%
71.2%9.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.8
49.0%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.6
28.3%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.111.2
65.5%
71.2%11.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLLLLWLLL
Podstrana
LLLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-18.5
Net rating
-22.7
100.3
Offensive rating
90.1
118.9
Defensive rating
112.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
46.5%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
28.3%
64.1%
Assist %
55.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 90.1Defence118.9 · 112.8Shooting51.5% · 46.5%3-point %35.7% · 28.3%Ball care18.5% · 22.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Stoja   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
1
Podstrana wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Podstrana v Stoja76-66
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AKvarner74-107
16/03/24HOmis76-88
09/03/24AGorica77-85
03/03/24HSamobor87-92
28/02/24HKastela80-81
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HKastela72-84
16/03/24AMladost77-89
09/03/24HHermes77-79
02/03/24AOsijek62-86
25/02/24HCrikvenica64-67
17/02/24AJazine70-102
11/02/24HKK Zagreb69-84
03/02/24AMarsonia73-84
27/01/24ASamobor65-99
24/01/24HKvarner56-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %12%17%8%
Points / game78.478.878.1
Allowed / game90.990.291.5
Point differential-12.5-11.5-13.4
Avg total169.3169.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game71.371.271.5
Allowed / game85.078.591.6
Point differential-13.7-7.3-20.1
Avg total156.4149.7163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2422292%90.772.8+18.0
2 Osijek2522388%88.174.9+13.2
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2517868%85.683.2+2.4
5 KK Zagreb2516964%79.672.0+7.6
6 Kastela25151060%79.874.6+5.2
7 Jazine25121348%86.785.9+0.8
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis25101540%77.581.6-4.2
10 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
11 Mladost2581732%78.384.5-6.2
12 Crikvenica2561924%73.284.7-11.6
13 Podstrana2442017%71.385.0-13.7
14 Stoja2432112%78.490.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja3816202599
Podstrana1822171572
← all games of the day
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