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Mladost vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-77
31-22 20-23 21-21 17-11
Position#11
Record7-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.4
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game84.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 70
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 70
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
84avg 70
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
52avg 70
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 70
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 70
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 70
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 70
H06/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 70
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
21-31
28-36
26-25
17-21
16-32
10-14
22-13
18-25
28-23
33-22
14-18
17-22
18-20
21-18
20-14
10-32
17-20
26-3
20-19
15-17
21-19
25-26
26-17
26-22
19-20
9-23
25-19
20-18
164.5Avg total
79.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.884.4163.1-5.632%
Season at home (11)78.782.3161.0-3.545%
Season away (11)78.886.5165.3-7.618%
Last 10 (10)79.784.8164.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)82.078.4160.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.991.5168.4-14.67%
vs Similar (10)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.578.7168.2+10.883%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
55avg 59
A13/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
79-98
79
98
-19
65avg 59
A20/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
51avg 59
H24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
65-99
65
99
-34
50avg 59
A27/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 59
A03/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
59avg 59
H11/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
70-102
70
102
-32
58avg 59
A17/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 59
H25/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 59
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
52avg 59
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-23
17-23
21-15
21-28
8-23
21-25
29-22
16-18
9-14
15-27
16-30
18-28
17-17
16-25
14-29
18-23
13-29
19-10
23-22
23-17
10-17
18-29
18-21
16-18
14-32
16-35
24-17
14-20
12-14
17-14
21-19
10-13
22-24
17-18
13-31
22-20
17-23
11-24
27-12
155.9Avg total
68.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.084.9156.0-13.918%
Season at home (11)71.178.0149.1-6.936%
Season away (11)71.091.8162.8-20.80%
Last 10 (10)68.487.5155.9-19.10%
Last 5 (5)68.483.6152.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.286.0157.1-14.820%
vs Similar (2)70.074.5144.5-4.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
MladostPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/03
Prva Liga
85.2Avg total
40.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.987.0-0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.286.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.445.587.9-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.585.2-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.446.985.3-8.636%-
vs Similar (10)45.642.788.3+2.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.338.789.0+11.7100%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A20/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A27/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A03/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A17/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/03
Prva Liga
73.8Avg total
31.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)33.743.176.8-9.414%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.838.672.5-4.818%-
Last 30 away (11)33.547.581.1-14.09%-
Last 10 (10)31.142.773.8-11.60%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.671.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.943.377.2-9.415%-
vs Similar (2)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.8
50.3%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.9
30.8%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
71.2%14.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.1
48.7%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.1
28.4%
32.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.010.9
64.1%
71.2%10.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWWLWLLLWL
Podstrana
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#14
-6.9
Net rating
-24.2
102.5
Offensive rating
88.6
109.3
Defensive rating
112.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
46.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
28.4%
62.4%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 88.6Defence109.3 · 112.8Shooting48.9% · 46.2%3-point %30.8% · 28.4%Ball care18.8% · 21.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Mladost   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
1
Podstrana wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Podstrana v Mladost72-67
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AKvarner73-80
06/03/24HHermes98-84
03/03/24HOmis78-59
24/02/24AGorica69-84
18/02/24HStoja92-85
10/02/24AKastela66-84
06/02/24ASamobor92-113
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HHermes77-79
02/03/24AOsijek62-86
25/02/24HCrikvenica64-67
17/02/24AJazine70-102
11/02/24HKK Zagreb69-84
03/02/24AMarsonia73-84
27/01/24ASamobor65-99
24/01/24HKvarner56-89
20/01/24AOmis79-98
13/01/24AGorica69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL32%
HomeLWWWW45%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game78.878.778.8
Allowed / game84.482.386.5
Point differential-5.6-3.5-7.6
Avg total163.1161.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%36%0%
Points / game71.071.171.0
Allowed / game84.978.091.8
Point differential-13.9-6.9-20.8
Avg total156.0149.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
3 Gorica2316770%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2315865%84.983.1+1.8
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes22101245%89.690.0-0.4
9 Omis2291341%76.581.0-4.5
10 Marsonia2281436%79.385.6-6.3
11 Mladost2271532%78.884.4-5.6
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2241818%71.084.9-13.9
14 Stoja2231914%78.790.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost3120211789
Podstrana2223211177
← all games of the day
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