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Strasbourg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-78 (OT)
13-19 17-24 21-14 24-13 13-8
Position#16
Record9-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.2
Strasbourg 🏆
vs
Neptunas
Position#21
Record8-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeChampions League
European cup2017
Meetings · Strasbourg v Neptunas
15 Jan 2019
STR80
NEP90
14 Mar 2018
STR88
NEP78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#18
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A26/01
LNB
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H30/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#10
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H03/02
LNB
Banvit
#7
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A06/02
Champions League
Cholet
#15
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A10/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#12
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H12/02
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H16/02
Leaders Cup
JL Bourg
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H03/03
LNB
Neptunas
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A07/03
Champions League
Chalons-Reims
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A10/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
15-16
23-17
21-23
25-13
23-22
24-23
26-23
28-11
20-13
15-15
22-23
29-20
17-11
11-16
23-16
23-14
22-14
17-20
11-15
19-12
30-22
22-16
22-14
20-14
16-16
19-26
15-21
17-22
22-21
23-15
17-20
12-22
22-16
22-20
12-15
12-26
16-18
29-21
15-15
150.2Avg total
79.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.175.2153.3+2.960%
Season at home (7)81.774.7156.4+7.086%
Season away (8)74.975.6150.5-0.838%
Last 10 (10)79.171.1150.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.275.4152.5+1.864%
vs Weaker (18)84.175.4159.6+8.772%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H27/01
LKL
PAOK
#24
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A31/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A03/02
LKL
Tenerife
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H06/02
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A10/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H13/02
LKF Cup
Siauliai
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H01/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H04/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H07/03
Champions League
Skycop
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H10/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
16-19
19-21
22-19
16-19
16-39
20-13
18-20
21-25
21-23
22-26
19-13
16-24
22-19
14-20
15-20
27-14
23-5
13-19
18-25
17-19
15-20
25-20
20-26
24-16
9-19
14-16
24-27
15-11
18-24
24-16
24-13
22-12
16-22
20-22
15-12
24-7
16-15
15-21
18-22
152.1Avg total
75.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.578.9161.4+3.553%
Season at home (8)83.574.4157.9+9.175%
Season away (7)81.384.1165.4-2.929%
Last 10 (10)75.976.2152.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.072.0147.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.584.5155.0-14.017%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (19)89.875.8165.6+14.084%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
StrasbourgNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#18
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A26/01
LNB
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H03/02
LNB
Banvit
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A06/02
Champions League
Cholet
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A10/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/02
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/02
Leaders Cup
JL Bourg
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/03
LNB
Neptunas
#21
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/03
Champions League
Chalons-Reims
#14
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/03
LNB
73.9Avg total
40.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.573.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.233.573.7+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)37.335.472.8+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.773.9+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.536.073.5+1.555%-
vs Weaker (18)39.533.973.4+5.678%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/01
LKL
PAOK
#24
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A31/01
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/02
LKL
Tenerife
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H06/02
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
50-19
50
19
+31
A10/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H13/02
LKF Cup
Siauliai
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H01/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
Champions League
Skycop
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H10/03
LKL
75.1Avg total
38.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.5+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.338.982.2+4.456%-
Last 30 away (12)39.241.380.5-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.175.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.068.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.345.782.0-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.843.583.2-3.850%-
vs Weaker (19)44.337.381.6+6.968%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.0
45.9%
52.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.0
40.0%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.08.0
53.3%
73.8%8.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.7%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Strasbourg
LLWLWWWWWW
Neptunas
WWWLLWLLLW
#16
League position
#21
-9.4
Net rating
+9.4
88.2
Offensive rating
97.6
97.6
Defensive rating
88.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
26.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.0%
3-point %
37.0%
60.0%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 97.6Defence97.6 · 88.2Shooting50.9% · 52.6%3-point %40.0% · 37.0%Ball care26.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 12.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Strasbourg   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Strasbourg wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
07/03/18Neptunas v Strasbourg73-68
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/18AChalons-Reims72-80
07/03/18ANeptunas68-73
03/03/18HJL Bourg79-78
16/02/18HLyon-Villeurbanne70-77
12/02/18HJL Bourg93-64
10/02/18ACholet73-63
06/02/18ABanvit80-63
03/02/18HLe Portel85-62
30/01/18HHydroTruck Radom98-81
26/01/18AHyeres-Toulon73-70
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/18HSkycop73-65
07/03/18HStrasbourg73-68
04/03/18HNevezis81-64
01/03/18HSiauliai71-78
13/02/18HAlytaus Dzukija77-85
10/02/18AAlytaus Dzukija81-63
06/02/18HTenerife67-83
03/02/18APieno Zvaigzdes83-87
31/01/18APAOK70-91
27/01/18HLietkabelis83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game78.181.774.9
Allowed / game75.274.775.6
Point differential+2.9+7.0-0.8
Avg total153.3156.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Neptunas
Champions League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game82.583.581.3
Allowed / game78.974.484.1
Point differential+3.5+9.1-2.9
Avg total161.4157.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1615194%85.368.4+16.9
2 Tenerife1513287%81.765.8+15.9
3 Ludwigsburg2219386%82.568.1+14.3
4 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
5 Banvit1611569%76.773.1+3.6
6 Nymburk1611569%83.280.1+3.2
7 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
8 Karsiyaka1812667%83.981.4+2.5
9 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
10 Besiktas1610662%79.474.7+4.8
11 Oldenburg1610662%83.881.5+2.3
12 Strasbourg159660%78.175.2+2.9
13 Venezia148657%81.981.4+0.4
14 Estudiantes169756%79.476.3+3.1
15 AEK Athens169756%83.180.6+2.5
16 Bayreuth169756%81.979.7+2.2
17 Nanterre1810856%79.376.7+2.6
18 Neptunas158753%82.578.9+3.5
19 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
20 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
21 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
22 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
23 PAOK168850%75.176.1-0.9
24 Sassari147750%82.783.9-1.1
25 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
26 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
27 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
28 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
29 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
30 Murcia157847%77.578.4-0.9
31 Bonn167944%78.477.9+0.5
32 Avellino146843%74.973.4+1.5
33 Chalon/Saone146843%72.773.6-0.9
34 Ventspils146843%73.977.5-3.6
35 Oostende146843%69.675.0-5.4
36 Zielona Gora1661038%76.178.8-2.8
37 Juventus1661038%79.684.6-5.0
38 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
39 Aris1441029%66.474.2-7.8
40 Petrol Olimpija1441029%71.178.9-7.8
41 Gaziantep1441029%73.885.1-11.4
42 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
43 Hapoel Holon1431121%82.988.9-6.0
44 Enisey1431121%76.084.9-8.9
45 HydroTruck Radom1631319%74.079.6-5.6
46 Capo d'Orlando1631319%65.576.9-11.4
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Strasbourg131721241388
Neptunas19241413878
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