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Sturt Sabres vs Southern Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 93-71
20-17 31-18 18-25 24-11
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.6
AustraliaNBL1 CentralRound 14
Other2022
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Southern Tigers
19 Jul 2025
STUR70
SOUT79
06 Jul 2024
STUR98
SOUT89
02 Jul 2023
STUR110
SOUT54
09 Jul 2022
STUR93
SOUT71
19 Jun 2021
STUR64
SOUT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H01/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
81-105
81
105
-24
H08/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H21/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A28/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
L
58-92
58
92
-34
H04/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
99-86
99
86
+13
A18/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
86-122
86
122
-36
A25/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A02/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
24-17
23-12
28-23
27-18
23-23
19-14
17-22
13-30
23-21
17-32
28-22
29-25
30-18
23-29
19-18
24-23
20-19
14-15
25-19
16-19
20-17
11-23
11-33
36-17
16-18
25-23
22-28
23-29
24-36
15-34
24-23
15-27
20-16
21-20
13-21
23-20
21-35
24-16
12-14
171.6Avg total
83.6Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.888.2173.0-3.554%
Season at home (7)85.687.1172.7-1.657%
Season away (6)83.889.5173.3-5.750%
Last 10 (10)83.688.0171.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.493.8172.2-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.894.4173.2-15.640%
vs Similar (7)88.988.9177.7+0.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.379.1165.3+7.267%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H30/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A07/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H21/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A04/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
74-110
74
110
-36
H18/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
W
105-77
105
77
+28
H25/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A02/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-13
23-25
11-23
29-24
21-22
13-29
16-18
29-25
20-19
25-25
21-19
24-23
11-20
15-20
27-20
19-25
18-22
16-25
27-14
21-19
16-23
19-28
26-19
11-31
20-29
23-24
20-26
32-24
28-16
23-18
22-19
23-21
23-27
19-23
18-19
20-17
17-16
27-13
6-5
166.7Avg total
81.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.484.6164.0-5.231%
Season at home (6)79.284.2163.3-5.033%
Season away (7)79.685.0164.6-5.429%
Last 10 (10)81.884.9166.7-3.130%
Last 5 (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.683.0161.6-4.429%
vs Similar (11)79.679.4159.0+0.364%
vs Weaker (5)83.878.6162.4+5.260%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Sturt SabresSouthern Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H01/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H21/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A18/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A25/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A02/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H08/07
NBL1 Central
88.4Avg total
44.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.686.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.140.883.9+2.265%-
Last 30 away (13)45.945.090.9+0.954%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.988.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.889.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.647.089.6-4.440%-
vs Similar (7)46.446.993.3-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.939.883.7+4.272%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A28/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
31-60
31
60
-29
H18/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H25/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/07
NBL1 Central
85.8Avg total
42.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.641.080.6-1.348%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.142.482.5-2.346%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.879.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.785.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.941.982.7-1.050%-
vs Similar (10)37.841.579.3-3.740%-
vs Weaker (5)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sturt Sabres wins
1
Southern Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/22HNorth Adelaide Rockets80-85
02/07/22AWest Adelaide Bearcats69-84
25/06/22AForestville Eagles86-122
18/06/22AEastern Mavericks99-86
04/06/22HWoodville Warriors58-92
28/05/22ASouth Adelaide Panthers83-76
21/05/22HCentral Districts Lions101-90
08/05/22HForestville Eagles81-105
07/05/22HNorwood Flames86-77
01/05/22HEastern Mavericks93-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/22HNorwood Flames70-51
02/07/22ANorth Adelaide Rockets83-90
25/06/22HWest Adelaide Bearcats105-77
18/06/22HForestville Eagles74-110
04/06/22AEastern Mavericks82-89
28/05/22AWoodville Warriors80-86
21/05/22HSouth Adelaide Panthers77-83
07/05/22ACentral Districts Lions95-88
30/04/22HSturt Sabres79-93
25/04/22ANorwood Flames73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game84.885.683.8
Allowed / game88.287.189.5
Point differential-3.5-1.6-5.7
Avg total173.0172.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game79.479.279.6
Allowed / game84.684.285.0
Point differential-5.2-5.0-5.4
Avg total164.0163.3164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Woodville Warriors1412286%96.679.0+17.6
2 Forestville Eagles139469%98.582.0+16.5
3 South Adelaide Panthers139469%85.279.5+5.8
4 North Adelaide Rockets138562%79.885.7-5.8
5 Norwood Flames148657%83.478.4+5.0
6 Sturt Sabres137654%84.888.2-3.5
7 West Adelaide Bearcats145936%81.084.6-3.6
8 Southern Tigers134931%79.484.6-5.2
9 Central Districts Lions123925%85.193.3-8.2
10 Eastern Mavericks131128%78.198.7-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2031182493
Southern Tigers1718251171
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