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Sturt Sabres vs Southern Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 70-79
14-22 22-17 13-20 21-20
Position#6
Record6-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#7
Record5-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Southern Tigers
19 Jul 2025
STUR70
SOUT79
06 Jul 2024
STUR98
SOUT89
02 Jul 2023
STUR110
SOUT54
09 Jul 2022
STUR93
SOUT71
19 Jun 2021
STUR64
SOUT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
114-88
114
88
+26
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H24/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
A14/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H21/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A28/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H04/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A06/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
H12/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
18-24
31-16
30-21
31-21
20-8
23-25
21-19
21-22
27-24
24-29
17-16
29-25
20-22
15-27
22-35
23-21
16-30
22-23
24-23
22-20
26-16
24-25
23-18
27-11
16-32
14-28
27-20
25-20
14-28
16-18
22-16
19-21
25-17
21-14
19-16
18-23
21-21
21-23
24-17
177.7Avg total
90.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.690.1178.8-1.535%
Season at home (8)86.688.5175.1-1.925%
Season away (9)90.491.6182.0-1.144%
Last 10 (10)90.387.4177.7+2.940%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.097.7185.7-9.711%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.788.8179.5+1.945%
vs Weaker (10)96.583.8180.3+12.790%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A24/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A31/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H14/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H21/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H28/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H04/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A05/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H12/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
15-27
23-27
20-16
22-32
22-18
23-31
19-17
23-22
13-19
16-27
29-25
28-24
13-15
21-13
20-15
24-19
11-18
17-22
20-20
20-23
16-23
27-24
20-18
9-19
21-31
28-16
17-23
25-28
26-24
22-19
18-17
19-29
13-27
18-32
21-17
14-17
13-12
6-17
25-21
163.6Avg total
76.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.685.9166.5-5.329%
Season at home (9)79.482.0161.4-2.633%
Season away (8)81.990.2172.1-8.425%
Last 10 (10)76.886.8163.6-10.020%
Last 5 (5)75.687.4163.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.891.4168.3-14.611%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.784.8160.5-9.20%
vs Weaker (6)91.277.5168.7+13.783%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Sturt SabresSouthern Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H24/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A14/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H21/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H04/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/07
NBL1 Central
88.6Avg total
45.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.990.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.545.390.9+0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)45.744.590.2+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.388.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.148.994.0-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.544.690.2+0.945%-
vs Weaker (10)46.141.787.8+4.460%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A31/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H28/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H04/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A05/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H12/07
NBL1 Central
80.9Avg total
35.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.383.6-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.443.582.9-4.129%-
Last 30 away (13)39.145.484.5-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.845.180.9-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.681.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.145.984.0-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.844.082.8-5.233%-
vs Weaker (6)43.240.083.2+3.283%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sturt Sabres wins
1
Southern Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats94-96 OT
06/07/25ANorth Adelaide Rockets84-68
04/07/25HWoodville Warriors77-82
28/06/25AEastern Mavericks84-91
22/06/25ANorwood Flames95-79
21/06/25HSouth Adelaide Panthers85-97
14/06/25ACentral Districts Lions86-109
01/06/25HForestville Eagles89-91
24/05/25HEastern Mavericks95-73
10/05/25AWest Adelaide Bearcats114-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HWoodville Warriors58-67
05/07/25AForestville Eagles71-105
04/07/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats91-88
28/06/25HCentral Districts Lions75-89
22/06/25ANorth Adelaide Rockets83-88
21/06/25HEastern Mavericks72-79
14/06/25HNorwood Flames82-67
31/05/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers81-93
24/05/25ACentral Districts Lions86-98
10/05/25AWoodville Warriors69-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%25%44%
Points / game88.686.690.4
Allowed / game90.188.591.6
Point differential-1.5-1.9-1.1
Avg total178.8175.1182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game80.679.481.9
Allowed / game85.982.090.2
Point differential-5.3-2.6-8.4
Avg total166.5161.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles1715288%94.578.9+15.6
2 Central Districts Lions1714382%94.785.4+9.3
3 Woodville Warriors1712571%80.977.8+3.1
4 South Adelaide Panthers1711665%86.882.1+4.7
5 West Adelaide Bearcats179853%85.685.1+0.6
6 Sturt Sabres1761135%88.690.1-1.5
7 Eastern Mavericks1761135%81.686.5-4.9
8 Southern Tigers1751229%80.685.9-5.3
9 North Adelaide Rockets1741324%75.789.2-13.5
10 Norwood Flames1731418%79.887.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres1422132170
Southern Tigers2217202079
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