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Sturt Sabres vs Southern Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 98-89
23-27 23-14 22-26 30-22
Position#3
Record13-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#9
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2024
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Southern Tigers
19 Jul 2025
STUR70
SOUT79
06 Jul 2024
STUR98
SOUT89
02 Jul 2023
STUR110
SOUT54
09 Jul 2022
STUR93
SOUT71
19 Jun 2021
STUR64
SOUT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H05/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
81-104
81
104
-23
H11/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H25/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A01/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H15/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A16/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
22-21
29-18
20-15
28-25
29-22
23-29
24-14
10-34
21-30
28-21
22-19
19-12
24-16
28-18
27-12
25-24
29-25
31-17
26-32
28-34
22-18
23-25
21-15
27-22
18-15
14-28
9-22
21-21
25-25
25-11
28-23
36-26
22-15
26-37
36-30
15-19
23-31
33-23
35-20
185.9Avg total
97.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)96.686.9183.6+9.781%
Season at home (8)97.090.8187.8+6.275%
Season away (8)96.283.1179.4+13.188%
Last 10 (10)97.088.9185.9+8.180%
Last 5 (5)97.492.0189.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.892.8186.5+1.050%
vs Similar (6)86.390.8177.2-4.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)98.580.2178.7+18.390%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H27/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A04/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
H11/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A25/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
H26/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A15/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A22/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
62-96
62
96
-34
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-22
18-29
15-20
22-21
21-16
24-17
16-17
22-24
16-30
19-30
14-22
22-14
18-25
20-18
7-24
17-20
18-20
16-22
24-13
15-17
18-28
18-22
13-12
17-26
24-29
28-14
21-24
21-17
29-28
29-25
17-32
21-27
22-21
19-24
16-26
21-16
15-26
12-30
14-24
166.5Avg total
76.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.791.0170.7-11.313%
Season at home (7)75.794.7170.4-19.00%
Season away (8)83.187.8170.9-4.625%
Last 10 (10)76.789.8166.5-13.110%
Last 5 (5)78.093.6171.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.897.7175.5-19.80%
vs Similar (3)71.377.0148.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -5.7-5.7
Sturt SabresSouthern Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H05/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
31-64
31
64
-33
H11/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H25/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A01/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H15/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/06
NBL1 Central
92.2Avg total
46.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.790.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.344.192.4+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.945.288.1-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)46.246.092.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.292.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.848.892.5-5.050%-
vs Similar (6)45.049.894.8-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.142.388.4+3.955%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H11/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A25/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A15/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/06
NBL1 Central
85.0Avg total
40.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.746.986.6-7.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.846.687.4-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.747.185.8-8.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.585.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.087.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.848.388.1-8.619%-
vs Similar (3)37.737.775.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker (1)43.037.080.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sturt Sabres wins
1
Southern Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24AWoodville Warriors106-93
29/06/24HCentral Districts Lions120-108
22/06/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats99-80
16/06/24ASouth Adelaide Panthers68-87
15/06/24HNorwood Flames94-92
01/06/24AForestville Eagles111-98
25/05/24HNorth Adelaide Rockets98-58
11/05/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats81-104
05/05/24HEastern Mavericks104-90
27/04/24ASouthern Tigers89-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats62-96
22/06/24ANorwood Flames78-98
16/06/24HCentral Districts Lions96-102
15/06/24AForestville Eagles90-93
01/06/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers64-79
26/05/24HWoodville Warriors77-83 OT
25/05/24AWoodville Warriors67-81
11/05/24HNorwood Flames71-106
04/05/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets83-71
27/04/24HSturt Sabres79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game96.697.096.2
Allowed / game86.990.883.1
Point differential+9.7+6.2+13.1
Avg total183.6187.8179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%50%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%0%25%
Points / game79.775.783.1
Allowed / game91.094.787.8
Point differential-11.3-19.0-4.6
Avg total170.7170.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles1613381%99.682.9+16.8
2 Sturt Sabres1613381%96.686.9+9.7
3 South Adelaide Panthers1512380%88.281.4+6.8
4 West Adelaide Bearcats169756%93.985.8+8.1
5 Central Districts Lions158753%97.997.1+0.8
6 Norwood Flames167944%90.992.1-1.2
7 Woodville Warriors1771041%84.991.2-6.3
8 Eastern Mavericks1551033%81.190.2-9.1
9 Southern Tigers1521313%79.791.0-11.3
10 North Adelaide Rockets1521313%79.194.7-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2323223098
Southern Tigers2714262289
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