Virtus Bologna vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 77-72

18-22 19-17 23-18 17-15

Position#6

Record13-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game76.8

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#16

Record8-12

FormLLWLW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game77.0

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

77-86

-9

A08/01

Lega A

Siena

75-71

H11/01

Lega A

Cantu

72-78

-6

A14/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

82-78

A21/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

76-56

+20

H29/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

68-80

-12

H05/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

80-83

-3

A11/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-82

-5

H16/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#17

86-71

+15

H26/02

Lega A

Varese

63-86

-23

A04/03

Lega A

19-27

24-19

19-23

15-17

20-15

14-20

23-13

18-23

19-11

17-22

17-31

19-14

25-27

15-14

21-20

21-17

21-7

16-14

22-11

17-24

19-27

19-11

17-17

13-25

20-17

22-21

19-16

19-29

14-31

20-14

24-19

19-18

21-15

23-24

19-18

23-14

12-23

15-20

17-24

19-19

152.7Avg total

75.6Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.9	76.8	154.7	+1.1	59%
Season at home (11)	79.0	72.1	151.1	+6.9	91%
Season away (11)	76.8	81.5	158.3	-4.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	77.1	152.7	-1.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	80.4	155.2	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.3	79.8	149.2	-10.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	77.4	77.6	155.0	-0.2	62%
vs Weaker (7)	82.9	78.7	161.6	+4.1	57%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

85-76

H27/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

72-76

-4

A30/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

65-73

-8

H03/01

Lega A

Caserta

#15

75-66

A08/01

Lega A

Cantu

89-73

+16

H11/01

Lega A

Siena

84-96

-12

A15/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

84-93

-9

A22/01

Lega A

Varese

63-60

H29/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

69-76

-7

A08/02

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-63

+10

A04/03

Lega A

26-17

26-20

15-20

18-19

25-27

20-19

15-10

12-20

15-17

12-22

23-13

15-21

12-15

26-13

13-19

24-19

13-13

28-17

28-18

20-25

25-22

25-26

17-24

24-27

14-22

26-14

20-30

22-16

10-8

7-22

24-14

18-18

18-14

13-27

20-17

17-18

24-13

12-6

20-26

151.1Avg total

75.9Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	75.5	77.0	152.4	-1.5	40%
Season at home (9)	75.2	72.7	147.9	+2.6	56%
Season away (11)	75.6	80.5	156.2	-4.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	75.2	151.1	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	77.6	152.2	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.6	79.0	154.6	-3.4	43%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	72.8	75.7	148.5	-2.9	29%
vs Weaker (2)	71.5	65.0	136.5	+6.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.3	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	19.0	34.3	-3.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.7	36.8	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	20.9	37.1	-4.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	19%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.5	39.2	-3.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

43-46

-3

A08/01

Lega A

Siena

34-35

-1

H11/01

Lega A

Cantu

36-33

A14/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

40-41

-1

A21/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

37-21

+16

H29/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-38

H05/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

42-38

A11/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-45

-11

H16/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#17

44-39

H26/02

Lega A

Varese

27-43

-16

A04/03

Lega A

75.4Avg total

37.5Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	36.4	75.7	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	41.6	79.5	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.6	77.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.0	40.5	73.5	-7.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.9	37.4	76.4	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	39.6	83.1	+4.0	71%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

52-37

+15

H27/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

45-46

-1

A30/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-39

-12

H03/01

Lega A

Caserta

#15

38-28

+10

A08/01

Lega A

Cantu

41-30

+11

H11/01

Lega A

Siena

50-48

A15/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

38-49

-11

A22/01

Lega A

Varese

32-24

H29/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

36-32

A08/02

Lega A

Biella

#12

41-31

+10

A04/03

Lega A

76.4Avg total

40.0Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	37.6	73.5	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	35.0	72.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	39.9	74.6	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.7	38.7	77.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	32.5	65.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	22.1	39.9	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	17.8	35.1	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	17.4	34.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.3	34.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.6	33.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	16.8	17.5	34.2	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.8	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	22.1	42.6	-1.7	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.0	34.5	+6.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	37.3	75.4	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	39.3	75.7	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.1	38.9	76.0	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.1	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.1	75.6	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.8	74.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	40.8	76.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.9	40.3	77.1	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.6	37.9	75.5	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	32.5	71.5	+6.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna	74-80
06/03/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna	72-75
10/02/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna	82-73
21/11/10	Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro	77-79
31/01/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna	80-78
11/10/09	Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro	76-68
07/05/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna	75-72
10/01/09	Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro	79-67

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/12	A	Varese	63-86
26/02/12	H	Teramo	86-71
16/02/12	H	Olimpia Milano	77-82
11/02/12	A	Cremona	80-83
05/02/12	H	Olimpia Milano	68-80
29/01/12	H	Avellino	76-56
21/01/12	A	Virtus Roma	82-78
14/01/12	A	Cantu	72-78
11/01/12	H	Siena	75-71
08/01/12	A	Pesaro	77-86

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/12	A	Biella	73-63
08/02/12	A	Virtus Roma	69-76
29/01/12	H	Varese	63-60
22/01/12	A	Avellino	84-93
15/01/12	A	Siena	84-96
11/01/12	H	Cantu	89-73
08/01/12	A	Caserta	75-66
03/01/12	H	Teramo	65-73
30/12/11	A	Cremona	72-76
27/12/11	H	Sassari	85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	59%
Home	WWWLW	91%
Away	LLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	59%	91%	27%
Points / game	77.9	79.0	76.8
Allowed / game	76.8	72.1	81.5
Point differential	+1.1	+6.9	-4.6
Avg total	154.7	151.1	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	40%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	WLLLW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	40%	56%	27%
Points / game	75.5	75.2	75.6
Allowed / game	77.0	72.7	80.5
Point differential	-1.6	+2.6	-4.9
Avg total	152.4	147.9	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	22%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	22	16	6	73%	79.5	71.1	+8.4
2	Venezia	20	13	7	65%	77.1	73.9	+3.2
3	Cantu	21	13	8	62%	74.5	70.2	+4.3
4	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	78.5	77.5	+1.0
5	Olimpia Milano	22	13	9	59%	75.9	72.5	+3.4
6	Virtus Bologna	22	13	9	59%	77.9	76.8	+1.1
7	Pesaro	20	11	9	55%	73.5	75.5	-2.0
8	Varese	22	12	10	55%	76.8	75.3	+1.5
9	Avellino	22	12	10	55%	78.6	79.0	-0.4
10	Caserta	21	10	11	48%	78.0	78.2	-0.3
11	Biella	22	10	12	45%	74.9	75.9	-1.0
12	Virtus Roma	22	10	12	45%	78.3	80.5	-2.2
13	Treviso	21	9	12	43%	74.0	75.8	-1.7
14	Sutor Montegranaro	20	8	12	40%	75.5	77.0	-1.6
15	Teramo	22	7	15	32%	71.2	75.7	-4.5
16	Cremona	22	7	15	32%	72.3	77.7	-5.4
17	Casale Monferrato	22	5	17	23%	71.3	75.0	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	18	19	23	17	77
Sutor Montegranaro	22	17	18	15	72

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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