Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-69

18-18 14-18 27-13 17-20

Position#13

Record7-11

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game81.3

Virtus Roma 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#16

Record7-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game77.8

Lega ARound 20

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

82-89

-7

H03/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

79-93

-14

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

96-99 OT

-3

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

67-64

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

89-80

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-83

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

93-92

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

73-77 OT

-4

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-82

-4

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-81

-8

A25/01

Lega A

20-15

19-17

19-21

24-36

15-24

13-23

19-17

32-29

22-24

23-19

22-27

17-14

11-16

16-17

18-9

22-22

28-15

12-24

28-20

21-21

19-21

15-23

24-25

17-14

23-27

19-17

26-17

25-31

18-20

17-15

10-10

17-17

27-25

14-15

20-21

17-21

16-27

16-21

20-17

21-16

164.5Avg total

80.5Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.9	81.3	160.2	-2.4	39%
Season at home (9)	82.9	80.6	163.4	+2.3	44%
Season away (9)	74.9	82.0	156.9	-7.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	84.0	164.5	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	83.0	161.4	-4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.6	78.8	153.4	-4.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.8	80.0	158.8	-1.2	42%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

71-68

A11/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

72-88

-16

A17/12

Lega A

Sassari

85-76

H27/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

72-76

-4

A30/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

65-73

-8

H03/01

Lega A

Caserta

#15

75-66

A08/01

Lega A

Cantu

89-73

+16

H11/01

Lega A

Siena

84-96

-12

A15/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

84-93

-9

A22/01

Lega A

Varese

63-60

H29/01

Lega A

12-15

12-19

23-17

24-17

19-16

18-28

13-17

22-27

26-17

26-20

15-20

18-19

25-27

20-19

15-10

12-20

15-17

12-22

23-13

15-21

12-15

26-13

13-19

24-19

13-13

28-17

28-18

20-25

25-22

25-26

17-24

24-27

14-22

26-14

20-30

22-16

10-8

7-22

24-14

152.9Avg total

76.0Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.9	77.8	153.8	-1.9	39%
Season at home (9)	75.2	72.7	147.9	+2.6	56%
Season away (9)	76.7	83.0	159.7	-6.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	76.9	152.9	-0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	77.6	156.6	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.5	79.5	155.0	-4.0	38%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	72.7	77.0	149.7	-4.2	25%
vs Weaker (2)	71.5	65.0	136.5	+6.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.8	20.5	40.4	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	21.3	37.3	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	18.2	35.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.5	21.1	38.6	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.9	36.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	18.9	35.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	16.5	18.7	35.2	-2.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.3	17.6	35.0	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

39-32

H03/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

28-47

-19

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

45-43

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-33

-6

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-39

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-44

-10

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

42-44

-2

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

35-35

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-40

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

32-48

-16

A25/01

Lega A

76.8Avg total

36.3Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.8	75.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	36.1	74.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	41.5	76.2	-6.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	40.5	76.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	42.2	79.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	41.4	78.8	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	36.3	39.2	75.5	-2.9	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	35.3	72.2	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

24-34

-10

A11/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-44

-7

A17/12

Lega A

Sassari

52-37

+15

H27/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

45-46

-1

A30/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-39

-12

H03/01

Lega A

Caserta

#15

38-28

+10

A08/01

Lega A

Cantu

41-30

+11

H11/01

Lega A

Siena

50-48

A15/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

38-49

-11

A22/01

Lega A

Varese

32-24

H29/01

Lega A

76.3Avg total

38.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.5	74.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.0	35.7	72.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	41.2	75.5	-6.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	37.9	76.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.8	75.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.6	39.1	77.8	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	34.8	38.8	73.6	-4.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	32.5	65.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.5	36.6	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.6	35.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.7	42.7	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.5	20.4	41.0	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.0	34.5	+6.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.0	77.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	36.6	77.5	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.3	77.9	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.5	82.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.8	37.5	77.3	+2.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	36.7	74.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	40.1	77.7	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.8	81.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.9	40.4	77.2	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.9	38.1	76.0	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	32.5	71.5	+6.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	67-76
01/05/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-66
06/01/11	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-73
03/04/10	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	75-72
06/12/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	103-97
19/04/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-84
28/12/08	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-70

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/12	A	Biella	73-81
21/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	78-82
11/01/12	H	Pesaro	73-77 OT
08/01/12	A	Casale Monferrato	93-92
03/01/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-83
30/12/11	H	Venezia	89-80
27/12/11	A	Teramo	67-64
18/12/11	H	Avellino	96-99 OT
10/12/11	A	Treviso	79-93
03/12/11	H	Caserta	82-89

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/12	H	Varese	63-60
22/01/12	A	Avellino	84-93
15/01/12	A	Siena	84-96
11/01/12	H	Cantu	89-73
08/01/12	A	Caserta	75-66
03/01/12	H	Teramo	65-73
30/12/11	A	Cremona	72-76
27/12/11	H	Sassari	85-76
17/12/11	A	Olimpia Milano	72-88
11/12/11	A	Pesaro	71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	39%
Home	LLWLL	44%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	39%	44%	33%
Points / game	78.9	82.9	74.9
Allowed / game	81.3	80.6	82.0
Point differential	-2.4	+2.3	-7.1
Avg total	160.2	163.4	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	22%	33%	11%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	39%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	LLWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	39%	56%	22%
Points / game	75.9	75.2	76.7
Allowed / game	77.8	72.7	83.0
Point differential	-1.9	+2.6	-6.3
Avg total	153.8	147.9	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	19	14	5	74%	78.5	70.6	+7.9
2	Olimpia Milano	19	12	7	63%	76.2	72.5	+3.7
3	Virtus Bologna	19	12	7	63%	78.2	76.3	+1.9
4	Venezia	18	11	7	61%	76.5	74.9	+1.6
5	Pesaro	18	11	7	61%	74.1	74.6	-0.5
6	Cantu	19	11	8	58%	74.4	70.7	+3.6
7	Avellino	19	11	8	58%	79.9	79.8	+0.2
8	Sassari	19	11	8	58%	77.9	78.1	-0.2
9	Varese	19	10	9	53%	75.6	75.2	+0.4
10	Biella	18	9	9	50%	75.3	74.9	+0.4
11	Caserta	18	8	10	44%	77.3	77.8	-0.5
12	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	74.8	76.3	-1.4
13	Sutor Montegranaro	18	7	11	39%	75.9	77.8	-1.9
14	Virtus Roma	18	7	11	39%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
15	Teramo	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.0	-3.7
16	Casale Monferrato	19	5	14	26%	72.1	74.9	-2.8
17	Cremona	19	5	14	26%	71.5	78.2	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	18	14	27	17	76
Sutor Montegranaro	18	18	13	20	69

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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