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Sutor Montegranaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 86-84
26-20 22-24 16-18 22-22
Position#16
Record5-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game88.4
Sutor Montegranaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#13
Record8-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.7
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna
16 Feb 2014
SMO86
VIR84
13 Oct 2012
SMO73
VIR80
20 Nov 2011
SMO74
VIR80
06 Mar 2011
SMO72
VIR75
10 Feb 2011
SMO82
VIR73
31 Jan 2010
SMO80
VIR78
07 May 2009
SMO75
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H14/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
16-23
8-29
31-23
22-28
11-20
20-24
16-16
16-24
15-9
18-24
31-19
19-15
20-21
22-28
26-29
19-27
27-24
17-17
15-21
22-24
18-29
24-21
28-29
24-24
20-24
15-28
31-19
18-23
19-22
9-23
24-20
19-21
17-23
20-14
17-14
22-28
15-22
21-17
22-22
169.8Avg total
80.4Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.688.4168.0-8.928%
Season at home (9)81.484.9166.3-3.444%
Season away (9)77.792.0169.7-14.311%
Last 10 (10)80.489.4169.8-9.020%
Last 5 (5)81.089.4170.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.387.7166.0-9.427%
vs Similar (7)92.086.9178.9+5.157%
vs Weaker (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H08/12
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A15/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H29/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/01
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H26/01
Lega A
Siena
#2
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-17
21-23
24-22
17-19
14-15
9-16
17-15
18-25
20-12
20-22
16-19
17-27
29-22
18-26
25-23
25-18
10-11
26-18
14-18
13-24
18-18
26-19
22-19
19-24
19-16
19-21
12-17
19-23
19-25
28-17
21-25
20-23
21-25
20-19
24-23
11-8
16-15
13-17
17-14
153.3Avg total
75.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.279.7158.9-0.444%
Season at home (10)79.776.3156.0+3.460%
Season away (8)78.683.9162.5-5.225%
Last 10 (10)75.677.7153.3-2.130%
Last 5 (5)75.478.4153.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.682.6157.2-8.129%
vs Similar (11)81.882.4164.2-0.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.879.4163.2+4.460%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Sutor MontegranaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H14/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A22/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/02
Lega A
84.6Avg total
38.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.083.6-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.285.7+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.843.781.5-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.945.784.6-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.086.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.044.182.1-6.023%-
vs Similar (7)49.041.090.0+8.057%-
vs Weaker (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A04/01
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Siena
#2
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H02/02
Lega A
74.8Avg total
36.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.877.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.336.275.5+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)35.643.979.6-8.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.474.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.240.676.9-4.436%-
vs Similar (11)39.539.679.2-0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.237.875.0-0.640%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sutor Montegranaro wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
03/11/13Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro96-73
03/02/13Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro83-80
13/10/12Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna73-80
07/03/12Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro77-72
20/11/11Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna74-80
06/03/11Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna72-75
10/02/11Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna82-73
21/11/10Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro77-79
31/01/10Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna80-78
11/10/09Virtus Bologna v Sutor Montegranaro76-68
Sutor Montegranarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/14AReggiana80-89
26/01/14HVenezia73-72
18/01/14AVirtus Roma70-88
12/01/14HCremona90-95
05/01/14AAvellino92-103
29/12/13ACantu78-89
26/12/13HPistoia87-93
22/12/13ABrindisi80-76
14/12/13HSassari69-88
08/12/13AOlimpia Milano85-101
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/14HSiena57-54
26/01/14HCremona85-90
19/01/14ASassari87-90
12/01/14HCantu69-78
04/01/14APistoia79-80
29/12/13HPesaro75-65
26/12/13AVarese89-98
22/12/13HAvellino74-78
15/12/13ACaserta57-65
08/12/13HBrindisi84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLLLLW44%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game79.681.477.7
Allowed / game88.484.992.0
Point differential-8.9-3.4-14.3
Avg total168.0166.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game79.279.778.6
Allowed / game79.776.383.9
Point differential-0.4+3.4-5.2
Avg total158.9156.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1813572%78.369.2+9.2
2 Brindisi1813572%77.273.9+3.3
3 Cantu1812667%82.679.6+3.1
4 Siena1811761%75.369.6+5.7
5 Virtus Roma1811761%76.274.3+1.9
6 Sassari1810856%83.279.4+3.8
7 Venezia189950%78.978.5+0.4
8 Avellino189950%76.980.8-3.8
9 Reggiana1991047%75.672.6+3.0
10 Caserta1991047%73.573.3+0.3
11 Varese1881044%81.681.3+0.3
12 Virtus Bologna1881044%79.279.7-0.4
13 Pistoia1881044%76.879.4-2.6
14 Cremona1861233%75.681.3-5.7
15 Sutor Montegranaro1851328%79.688.4-8.9
16 Pesaro1841422%79.889.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutor Montegranaro2622162286
Virtus Bologna2024182284
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