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Sutor Montegranaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Oct 2012
Tip-off: 14:10
Final 73-80
22-25 19-22 18-11 14-22
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game63.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Bologna
16 Feb 2014
SMO86
VIR84
13 Oct 2012
SMO73
VIR80
20 Nov 2011
SMO74
VIR80
06 Mar 2011
SMO72
VIR75
10 Feb 2011
SMO82
VIR73
31 Jan 2010
SMO80
VIR78
07 May 2009
SMO75
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#7
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H21/04
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A25/04
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H29/04
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A02/05
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
57-113
57
113
-56
H06/05
Lega A
Avellino
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-18
20-14
14-21
24-23
27-25
22-27
19-23
27-25
17-23
15-19
18-12
10-22
24-12
12-21
20-18
23-26
18-20
26-26
26-27
22-31
29-22
17-17
28-15
17-21
11-24
11-21
24-15
12-35
19-31
11-26
15-21
22-13
21-24
17-8
22-29
16-20
23-19
17-17
23-29
164.8Avg total
78.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.579.5160.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)79.085.0164.0-6.00%
Season away (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.486.4164.8-8.030%
Last 5 (5)75.487.6163.0-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.687.7165.2-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.277.8156.0+0.548%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H22/04
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#18
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A25/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H29/04
Lega A
Siena
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A02/05
Lega A
Cantu
#4
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A19/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H03/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
14-19
25-10
20-20
17-15
27-19
10-20
15-15
18-20
18-12
15-18
22-14
22-21
19-21
26-10
11-17
19-20
10-14
16-20
21-11
23-24
10-21
16-18
23-18
25-17
15-17
18-17
18-25
21-14
16-20
18-20
16-18
13-17
14-16
29-20
18-10
20-13
16-18
15-19
16-14
146.0Avg total
75.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.563.5134.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.170.9146.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)74.073.6147.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.566.8140.2+6.8100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)73.274.3147.5-1.150%
vs Weaker (3)80.770.0150.7+10.767%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Sutor MontegranaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H21/04
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A25/04
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A02/05
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
31-66
31
66
-35
H06/05
Lega A
Avellino
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/10
Lega A
84.7Avg total
39.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.9-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.279.0+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.580.7-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.084.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.448.086.4-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.445.086.4-3.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.738.377.0+0.452%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A25/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H29/04
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/05
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A17/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/10
Lega A
71.7Avg total
36.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.172.2+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.534.070.5+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.838.173.9-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.571.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.535.269.8-0.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)35.936.372.2-0.455%-
vs Weaker (3)41.032.773.7+8.3100%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/12HSassari79-85
30/09/12AAvellino82-74
06/05/12HSiena57-113
02/05/12ACantu63-81
29/04/12HCaserta96-85
25/04/12ATeramo93-99
21/04/12HCremona66-73
15/04/12ASassari77-79
08/04/12HOlimpia Milano92-98
01/04/12HPesaro79-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/12HOlimpia Milano67-64
29/09/12ACremona74-63
21/05/12HSassari71-72
19/05/12ASassari86-88 OT
17/05/12ASassari72-81
06/05/12HCantu66-65
02/05/12ASiena78-69
29/04/12HPesaro73-64
25/04/12ACasale Monferrato80-77 OT
22/04/12HCaserta84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game79.585.074.0
Point differential+1.0-6.0+8.0
Avg total160.0164.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.567.074.0
Allowed / game63.564.063.0
Point differential+7.0+3.0+11.0
Avg total134.0131.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cantu220100%82.565.5+17.0
2 Siena220100%76.560.5+16.0
3 Sassari220100%82.073.0+9.0
4 Varese220100%104.596.5+8.0
5 Virtus Bologna220100%70.563.5+7.0
6 Olimpia Milano21150%80.569.0+11.5
7 Sutor Montegranaro21150%80.579.5+1.0
8 Pesaro21150%76.576.5+0.0
9 Virtus Roma21150%72.577.5-5.0
10 Venezia21150%60.569.5-9.0
11 Caserta21150%67.078.5-11.5
12 Reggiana2020%57.060.5-3.5
13 Cremona2020%61.568.5-7.0
14 Avellino2020%78.586.5-8.0
15 Biella2020%72.580.5-8.0
16 Brindisi2020%87.5105.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutor Montegranaro2219181473
Virtus Bologna2522112280
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