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Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-76
25-17 23-17 31-24 19-18
Position#5
Record12-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#7
Record7-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena (Svendborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose
08 Nov 2026
SVEN v VAER
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SVEN100
VAER69
10 Oct 2024
SVEN76
VAER62
08 Apr 2024
SVEN88
VAER83
15 Jan 2024
SVEN98
VAER76
29 Dec 2022
SVEN83
VAER75
16 Feb 2022
SVEN97
VAER82
09 Jan 2022
SVEN108
VAER70
03 Oct 2020
SVEN116
VAER72
30 Nov 2019
SVEN82
VAER96
10 Oct 2018
SVEN85
VAER73
26 Feb 2015
SVEN85
VAER77
29 Oct 2014
SVEN78
VAER73
30 Nov 2013
SVEN95
VAER88
14 Mar 2013
SVEN98
VAER88
07 Mar 2013
SVEN86
VAER71
23 Feb 2013
SVEN89
VAER92
15 Mar 2012
SVEN100
VAER72
08 Mar 2012
SVEN99
VAER91
01 Feb 2012
SVEN81
VAER63
22 Oct 2011
SVEN75
VAER65
10 Mar 2011
SVEN78
VAER65
27 Nov 2010
SVEN89
VAER79
26 Oct 2010
SVEN70
VAER65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
125-73
125
73
+52
128avg 74
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 74
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
61-122
61
122
-61
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
65avg 74
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
68avg 74
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
92-110
92
110
-18
80avg 74
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
115-77
115
77
+38
111avg 74
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
61avg 74
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
41-83
41
83
-42
21avg 74
A09/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
34-17
32-19
41-21
27-17
20-20
24-20
17-16
9-32
24-33
15-35
13-22
22-31
20-20
12-30
25-22
14-13
27-17
14-12
26-33
23-17
18-19
14-17
23-11
24-22
20-32
25-30
23-26
25-20
26-15
35-27
29-15
33-25
8-31
23-25
13-29
12-28
18-17
5-18
6-20
172.7Avg total
83.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.379.3168.7+10.080%
Season at home (8)95.682.5178.1+13.175%
Season away (7)82.175.7157.9+6.486%
Last 10 (10)83.789.0172.7-5.350%
Last 5 (5)80.688.8169.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.495.1173.5-16.624%
vs Similar (4)86.884.2171.0+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)97.972.0169.9+25.9100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 72
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 72
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 72
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 72
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
60avg 72
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 72
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 72
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 72
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H07/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
15-17
21-31
19-20
16-22
26-11
17-23
20-22
15-14
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
168.4Avg total
79.2Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.885.9167.7-4.150%
Season at home (7)84.684.1168.7+0.457%
Season away (7)79.087.7166.7-8.743%
Last 10 (10)79.289.2168.4-10.030%
Last 5 (5)85.883.8169.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.692.1170.8-13.512%
vs Similar (10)76.780.7157.4-4.050%
vs Weaker (11)87.274.4161.5+12.882%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
SvendborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A20/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/01
ENBL
86.4Avg total
42.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.585.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.043.688.6+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.545.482.9-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.286.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.948.487.2-9.524%-
vs Similar (4)41.845.287.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.236.282.5+10.088%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
87.4Avg total
41.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.580.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.941.182.9+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.978.6-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.887.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.691.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.046.687.6-5.638%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker (11)43.137.580.5+5.664%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.0
51.1%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.6
34.3%
31.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.6
68.9%
67.0%14.6
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.1
46.3%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.1
28.2%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.717.7
71.7%
67.0%17.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LLWLWWLLWW
Vaerlose
WWLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+4.0
Net rating
-8.7
105.7
Offensive rating
98.1
101.7
Defensive rating
106.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
44.8%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.3%
3-point %
28.2%
51.3%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 98.1Defence101.7 · 106.7Shooting51.2% · 44.8%3-point %34.3% · 28.2%Ball care17.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Svendborg   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Svendborg wins
3
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
17/01/21Vaerlose v Svendborg79-89
03/10/20Svendborg v Vaerlose116-72
30/11/19Svendborg v Vaerlose82-96
31/10/19Vaerlose v Svendborg70-94
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24ATartu Ulikool41-83
06/01/24ABakken Bears77-110
30/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus115-77
20/12/23AJuventus92-110
14/12/23HCopenhagen78-64
11/12/23AHorsens81-75
06/12/23HBakken Bears79-103
03/12/23ABakken Bears61-122
29/11/23AHerlev Wolfpack88-73
18/11/23HAmager125-73
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
28/12/23HAmager91-89
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
16/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus78-70
12/11/23HHorsens71-90
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%75%86%
Points / game89.395.682.1
Allowed / game79.382.575.7
Point differential+10.0+13.1+6.4
Avg total168.7178.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game81.884.679.0
Allowed / game85.984.187.7
Point differential-4.1+0.4-8.7
Avg total167.7168.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%102.675.5+27.1
2 Horsens1613381%88.269.9+18.3
3 Team FOG Naestved1613381%97.880.9+16.9
4 Svendborg1512380%89.379.3+10.0
5 Randers159660%95.585.8+9.7
6 Vaerlose147750%81.885.9-4.1
7 Copenhagen1771041%81.180.1+1.1
8 Bears Academy1431121%74.086.1-12.1
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1631319%68.489.9-21.6
10 Herlev Wolfpack1521313%71.791.6-19.9
11 Amager161156%71.198.6-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2523311998
Vaerlose1717241876
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