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Svendborg vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 115-77
25-20 26-15 35-27 29-15
Position#5
Record11-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game77.2
Svendborg 🏆
Denmark
vs
Holbaek-Stenhus
Denmark
Position#10
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game92.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena (Svendborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Holbaek-Stenhus
26 Sep 2026
SVEN86
HOLB75
16 Jan 2026
SVEN103
HOLB42
28 Sep 2024
SVEN80
HOLB70
30 Dec 2023
SVEN115
HOLB77
28 Jan 2023
SVEN88
HOLB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Lublin
#11
L
62-102
62
102
-40
44avg 76
H08/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
90avg 76
A16/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
125-73
125
73
+52
128avg 76
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 76
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
61-122
61
122
-61
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
65avg 76
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
68avg 76
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
92-110
92
110
-18
80avg 76
A20/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
10-23
11-21
21-30
19-14
21-28
31-19
15-23
26-14
14-14
24-14
22-18
18-16
34-17
32-19
41-21
27-17
20-20
24-20
17-16
9-32
24-33
15-35
13-22
22-31
20-20
12-30
25-22
14-13
27-17
14-12
26-33
23-17
18-19
14-17
23-11
24-22
20-32
25-30
23-26
170.4Avg total
83.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.377.2165.5+11.285%
Season at home (7)92.983.3176.1+9.671%
Season away (6)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.886.6170.4-2.860%
Last 5 (5)78.294.8173.0-16.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.094.9175.9-13.927%
vs Similar (5)87.686.0173.6+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.371.9166.2+22.4100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
63avg 53
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
56avg 53
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 53
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 53
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 53
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 53
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
32avg 53
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-115
87
115
-28
70avg 53
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 53
A17/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
27-14
20-20
24-29
14-25
17-26
21-23
21-22
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
12-20
15-29
10-34
15-26
17-36
25-25
16-20
29-34
17-31
13-31
17-22
20-17
154.6Avg total
66.2Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.892.8160.5-25.017%
Season at home (6)68.293.0161.2-24.80%
Season away (6)67.392.5159.8-25.233%
Last 10 (10)66.288.4154.6-22.220%
Last 5 (5)63.692.4156.0-28.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.789.6157.3-21.912%
vs Similar (2)72.578.0150.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
SvendborgHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#11
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H08/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A16/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/12
ENBL
Horsens
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/12
Basketligaen
Juventus
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A20/12
ENBL
83.7Avg total
41.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.885.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.143.188.2+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.044.582.5-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.783.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.287.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.348.187.4-8.727%-
vs Similar (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.836.682.3+9.278%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A17/12
Basketligaen
74.9Avg total
31.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.844.577.2-11.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.543.877.3-10.321%-
Last 30 away (16)32.145.177.2-12.912%-
Last 10 (10)31.243.774.9-12.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.048.879.8-17.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.745.478.1-12.712%-
vs Similar (2)38.533.572.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
31.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
67.0%15.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.717.6
39.4%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.3
28.7%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.811.3
63.5%
67.0%11.3
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LWWLLWWWWL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#10
+2.3
Net rating
-27.9
105.3
Offensive rating
83.7
103.1
Defensive rating
111.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
40.7%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
24.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.3%
3-point %
28.7%
54.3%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 83.7Defence103.1 · 111.6Shooting50.3% · 40.7%3-point %33.3% · 28.7%Ball care16.8% · 24.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Svendborg   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Svendborg wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Svendborg66-87
28/01/23Svendborg v Holbaek-Stenhus88-80
03/11/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Svendborg75-92
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AJuventus92-110
14/12/23HCopenhagen78-64
11/12/23AHorsens81-75
06/12/23HBakken Bears79-103
03/12/23ABakken Bears61-122
29/11/23AHerlev Wolfpack88-73
18/11/23HAmager125-73
16/11/23ABears Academy86-60
11/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack86-84
08/11/23HLublin62-102
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ABakken Bears67-101
08/12/23HRanders87-115
29/11/23HBakken Bears52-109
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
22/10/23HCopenhagen73-96
13/10/23AAmager84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game88.392.983.0
Allowed / game77.283.370.0
Point differential+11.2+9.6+13.0
Avg total165.5176.1153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game67.868.267.3
Allowed / game92.893.092.5
Point differential-25.0-24.8-25.2
Avg total160.5161.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1413193%101.875.9+25.9
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Team FOG Naestved1411379%98.879.8+19.0
4 Horsens1411379%90.472.6+17.8
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Copenhagen136746%83.180.0+3.1
7 Vaerlose136746%81.886.7-4.8
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
10 Herlev Wolfpack1421214%71.492.4-21.0
11 Amager141137%72.9100.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg25263529115
Holbaek-Stenhus2015271577
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