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Leicester Riders vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-87
15-17 23-16 22-31 21-23
Position#6
Record9-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#7
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.0
United KingdomSLB· Morningside Arena (Leicester)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers
12 Feb 2027
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
09 Oct 2026
LRI73
BRIS78
05 Apr 2026
LRI85
BRIS78
30 Dec 2025
LRI85
BRIS73
05 May 2025
LRI86
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
LRI94
BRIS59
27 Dec 2024
LRI83
BRIS74
27 Sep 2024
LRI91
BRIS69
04 Apr 2024
LRI77
BRIS89
05 Jan 2024
LRI95
BRIS74
28 Dec 2023
LRI81
BRIS87
07 May 2023
LRI75
BRIS79
31 Mar 2023
LRI106
BRIS89
28 Oct 2022
LRI91
BRIS73
25 Mar 2022
LRI87
BRIS82
24 Sep 2021
LRI84
BRIS85
05 May 2021
LRI92
BRIS79
03 May 2021
LRI85
BRIS56
30 Mar 2021
LRI54
BRIS80
18 Dec 2020
LRI85
BRIS73
08 Apr 2020
LRI v BRIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
LRI64
BRIS63
13 May 2018
LRI76
BRIS68
20 Jan 2018
LRI86
BRIS57
06 Oct 2017
LRI79
BRIS59
25 Nov 2016
LRI79
BRIS65
26 Mar 2016
LRI90
BRIS52
22 Dec 2015
LRI76
BRIS64
26 Oct 2014
LRI83
BRIS54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leicester Riders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
111-88
111
88
+23
114avg 79
H04/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
95-102
95
102
-7
91avg 79
H10/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
96-102
96
102
-6
97avg 79
A12/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 79
A17/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 79
H25/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 79
H01/12
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 79
A03/12
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
44avg 79
A10/12
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 79
H15/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
76avg 79
A23/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
29-23
36-19
22-19
26-30
22-21
25-23
22-28
25-29
30-20
17-23
24-30
20-21
19-25
23-22
22-23
29-11
23-25
16-21
26-22
20-20
16-32
20-17
23-20
26-19
19-25
30-18
8-25
17-28
15-16
17-33
13-23
18-25
29-26
22-22
27-17
19-17
22-16
23-16
22-24
178.7Avg total
88.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.588.6177.2-0.147%
Season at home (9)92.788.8181.4+3.967%
Season away (10)84.888.5173.3-3.730%
Last 10 (10)88.690.1178.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)81.287.8169.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.895.1177.9-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.283.9174.1+6.364%
vs Weaker (11)87.278.8166.0+8.482%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 71
A18/11
SLB
Lublin
#11
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 71
A21/11
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 71
A26/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
83avg 71
A30/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
no box
H02/12
SLB
Zwolle
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 71
H05/12
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 71
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
80-103
80
103
-23
68avg 71
A14/12
SLB
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 71
A19/12
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
no box
A22/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
17-24
25-16
18-16
31-20
19-19
27-27
30-19
27-17
13-27
15-25
23-19
22-27
24-14
17-21
19-23
10-19
16-15
15-16
25-16
10-16
19-13
21-16
18-11
20-22
26-24
17-15
26-10
19-35
18-27
16-16
27-25
13-16
15-21
21-24
23-18
11-15
20-12
11-19
20-16
159.4Avg total
79.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.980.0159.8-0.148%
Season at home (9)78.775.9154.6+2.867%
Season away (12)80.883.0163.8-2.233%
Last 10 (10)79.380.1159.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.084.8159.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.679.4159.0+0.250%
vs Weaker (14)83.576.2159.7+7.364%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.6+5.6
Leicester RidersBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H04/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H10/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A12/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A17/11
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H25/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H01/12
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/12
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/12
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H15/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A23/12
SLB
90.4Avg total
44.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.086.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.244.188.3+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.185.1+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.690.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.885.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.047.890.8-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.242.586.7+1.655%-
vs Weaker (11)43.340.183.4+3.255%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Surrey Scorchers
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A18/11
SLB
Lublin
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H02/12
SLB
Zwolle
#6
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/12
ENBL
Newcastle Eagles
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A08/12
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A14/12
SLB
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/12
ENBL
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/12
SLB
77.2Avg total
36.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.236.074.2+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)39.840.480.1-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.977.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.274.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.275.8-4.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.638.878.3+0.850%-
vs Weaker (14)39.737.777.4+2.057%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.6
48.8%
50.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.2
40.0%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.8
78.6%
74.4%15.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.7
50.2%
50.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.0
27.8%
34.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
74.4%13.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leicester Riders
WWLLLWLLLW
Bristol Flyers
LLLWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-1.5
Net rating
-3.2
107.8
Offensive rating
102.2
109.3
Defensive rating
105.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.0%
3-point %
27.8%
57.8%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 102.2Defence109.3 · 105.3Shooting53.0% · 47.1%3-point %40.0% · 27.8%Ball care17.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 35.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Leicester Riders   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AManchester Giants86-73
15/12/23HCaledonia Gladiators96-90
10/12/23ALondon Lions62-100
03/12/23ACheshire Phoenix83-87
01/12/23HLondon Lions79-89
25/11/23HManchester Giants94-79
17/11/23ASheffield Sharks84-91
12/11/23ACheshire Phoenix96-102
10/11/23HLondon Lions95-102
04/11/23HNewcastle Eagles111-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ASheffield Sharks66-76 OT
19/12/23ATartu Ulikool72-79
14/12/23AManchester Giants80-103
08/12/23ANewcastle Eagles89-71
05/12/23HZwolle68-56
02/12/23HSheffield Sharks78-76 OT
30/11/23ACaledonia Gladiators82-85
26/11/23ASheffield Sharks78-88
21/11/23ALublin107-85
18/11/23ASurrey Scorchers73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leicester Riders
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game88.592.784.8
Allowed / game88.688.888.5
Point differential-0.1+3.9-3.7
Avg total177.2181.4173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %48%67%33%
Points / game79.978.780.8
Allowed / game80.075.983.0
Point differential-0.1+2.8-2.2
Avg total159.8154.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions2320387%93.682.2+11.4
2 Caledonia Gladiators2013765%84.983.0+1.9
3 Cheshire Phoenix1912763%90.986.2+4.7
4 Newcastle Eagles2011955%88.587.0+1.6
5 Sheffield Sharks1910953%78.676.8+1.8
6 Bristol Flyers21101148%79.980.0-0.1
7 Leicester Riders1991047%88.588.6-0.1
8 Surrey Scorchers2071335%80.684.5-3.9
9 Manchester Giants2161529%81.891.3-9.5
10 Plymouth City Patriots2031715%77.586.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leicester Riders1523222181
Bristol Flyers1716312387
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