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Svendborg vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-70
21-22 19-10 28-15 22-23
Position#2
Record24-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#5
Record20-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game81.8
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Semi-finals· Arena Svendborg
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Svendborg v Randers
11 Feb 2027
SVEN v RAND
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
SVEN69
RAND80
18 Feb 2026
SVEN99
RAND85
05 May 2025
SVEN76
RAND75
28 Apr 2025
SVEN90
RAND70
21 Apr 2025
SVEN96
RAND79
25 Sep 2024
SVEN76
RAND74
21 Mar 2024
SVEN83
RAND91
26 Oct 2023
SVEN98
RAND105
29 Mar 2023
SVEN76
RAND83
29 Sep 2022
SVEN69
RAND66
31 Mar 2022
SVEN89
RAND94
04 Jan 2022
SVEN92
RAND98
30 Dec 2020
SVEN78
RAND92
09 Dec 2020
SVEN98
RAND83
11 Mar 2020
SVEN72
RAND74
25 Sep 2019
SVEN74
RAND89
04 Apr 2019
SVEN73
RAND79
28 Mar 2019
SVEN74
RAND83
21 Mar 2019
SVEN81
RAND65
04 Mar 2019
SVEN73
RAND77
06 Feb 2019
SVEN69
RAND72
07 Jan 2019
SVEN82
RAND70
08 Mar 2018
SVEN104
RAND96
17 Jan 2018
SVEN74
RAND81
01 Feb 2017
SVEN77
RAND80
17 Dec 2016
SVEN97
RAND63
07 Mar 2016
SVEN114
RAND62
16 Dec 2015
SVEN119
RAND111
30 Mar 2015
SVEN106
RAND91
23 Mar 2015
SVEN111
RAND71
16 Mar 2015
SVEN85
RAND82
21 Jan 2015
SVEN95
RAND60
01 Dec 2014
SVEN92
RAND93
14 Apr 2014
SVEN103
RAND105
07 Apr 2014
SVEN92
RAND94
19 Dec 2013
SVEN88
RAND78
01 Apr 2013
SVEN87
RAND83
25 Mar 2013
SVEN86
RAND76
19 Jan 2013
SVEN105
RAND75
28 Nov 2012
SVEN98
RAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
65avg 83
A03/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
88avg 83
A06/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
108-72
108
72
+36
116avg 83
H13/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 83
A20/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
91-59
91
59
+32
84avg 83
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
99-84
99
84
+15
99avg 83
A28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
88avg 83
H03/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
91-61
91
61
+30
96avg 83
H07/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-101
84
101
-17
76avg 83
A17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-79
96
79
+17
86avg 83
H21/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
21-23
22-16
18-18
30-19
21-24
21-26
26-20
28-11
26-15
25-28
29-18
21-26
23-23
27-25
15-21
24-7
16-15
21-18
30-19
16-20
23-23
32-20
28-21
19-13
26-18
12-25
30-27
11-16
25-12
29-19
26-14
22-26
18-37
20-26
24-12
27-13
27-23
19-24
23-19
172.1Avg total
91.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.976.1165.0+12.880%
Season at home (15)88.770.9159.6+17.7100%
Season away (15)89.281.3170.5+7.960%
Last 10 (10)91.480.7172.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)91.481.6173.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.784.1173.9+5.671%
vs Weaker (21)89.174.1163.2+15.081%
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 85
H03/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 85
A06/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
102-101 OT
102
101
+1
88avg 85
A10/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 85
H17/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 85
A24/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
101avg 85
H27/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
87-76
87
76
+11
97avg 85
H31/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
62avg 85
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 85
H17/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
67avg 85
A21/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
18-25
21-22
25-26
27-17
24-22
20-12
20-22
19-25
20-28
29-23
27-19
10-24
27-18
15-15
32-20
13-21
22-16
24-28
22-18
27-23
26-21
19-13
24-24
23-18
27-15
14-18
23-25
23-21
14-17
13-15
18-19
26-22
37-18
26-20
12-24
13-27
23-27
24-19
19-23
170.5Avg total
87.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.281.8173.0+9.467%
Season at home (15)94.179.7173.7+14.480%
Season away (15)88.383.9172.2+4.353%
Last 10 (10)87.083.5170.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)86.281.8168.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.888.2167.0-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.091.3174.3-8.333%
vs Weaker (22)92.377.9170.2+14.491%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
SvendborgRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A06/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H13/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A20/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H21/04
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
43.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.180.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.932.975.7+10.080%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.484.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.182.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.442.788.1+2.757%-
vs Weaker (21)42.235.477.7+6.867%-
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H03/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A10/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A24/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H27/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H17/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A21/04
Basketligaen
86.0Avg total
43.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.441.987.3+3.659%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.541.389.9+7.267%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.584.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.486.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.889.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.545.083.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)46.048.394.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker (22)46.640.587.1+6.273%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.8
55.4%
51.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.3
39.2%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.9
66.0%
70.2%15.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.4
51.9%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.1
39.6%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
70.2%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLWWWWLWWL
Randers
LWLWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+13.7
Net rating
+4.5
114.0
Offensive rating
110.1
100.2
Defensive rating
105.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.2%
3-point %
39.6%
52.6%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 110.1Defence100.2 · 105.6Shooting56.4% · 54.9%3-point %39.2% · 39.6%Ball care18.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds34.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Svendborg   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Svendborg wins
5
Randers wins
DateGameScore
21/04/25Svendborg v Randers96-79
17/04/25Randers v Svendborg101-84
12/12/24Randers v Svendborg69-94
30/11/24Randers v Svendborg84-72
25/09/24Svendborg v Randers76-74
15/04/24Randers v Svendborg84-93
21/03/24Svendborg v Randers83-91
29/01/24Randers v Svendborg84-88
26/10/23Svendborg v Randers98-105
29/03/23Svendborg v Randers76-83
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25HRanders96-79
17/04/25ARanders84-101
07/04/25HHorsens91-61
03/04/25HBakken Bears87-83
28/03/25ACopenhagen99-84
24/03/25HTeam FOG Naestved91-59
20/03/25ATeam FOG Naestved86-95
13/03/25HCopenhagen108-72
06/03/25ABakken Bears98-89
03/03/25AHorsens74-84
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25ASvendborg79-96
17/04/25HSvendborg101-84
10/04/25ABakken Bears68-72
31/03/25HCopenhagen87-76
27/03/25HTeam FOG Naestved96-81
24/03/25AHorsens81-83
17/03/25HHorsens84-77
10/03/25ATeam FOG Naestved102-101 OT
06/03/25ACopenhagen91-73
03/03/25HBakken Bears81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game88.988.789.2
Allowed / game76.170.981.3
Point differential+12.8+17.7+7.9
Avg total165.0159.6170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%80%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%80%53%
Points / game91.294.188.3
Allowed / game81.879.783.9
Point differential+9.4+14.4+4.3
Avg total173.0173.7172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg3024680%88.976.1+12.8
2 Bakken Bears3022873%93.581.2+12.3
3 Horsens3022873%86.179.6+6.5
4 Randers30201067%91.281.8+9.4
5 Team FOG Naestved30191163%94.690.7+3.9
6 Amager28131546%87.689.7-2.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus28111739%83.090.4-7.4
8 Copenhagen3092130%81.787.4-5.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack2882029%78.788.1-9.4
10 Vaerlose2882029%79.188.9-9.8
11 Bears Academy2842414%75.689.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2119282290
Randers2210152370
← all games of the day
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