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Svendborg vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-74
12-14 23-27 21-21 20-12
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game65.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Svendborg v Randers
11 Feb 2027
SVEN v RAND
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
SVEN69
RAND80
18 Feb 2026
SVEN99
RAND85
05 May 2025
SVEN76
RAND75
28 Apr 2025
SVEN90
RAND70
21 Apr 2025
SVEN96
RAND79
25 Sep 2024
SVEN76
RAND74
21 Mar 2024
SVEN83
RAND91
26 Oct 2023
SVEN98
RAND105
29 Mar 2023
SVEN76
RAND83
29 Sep 2022
SVEN69
RAND66
31 Mar 2022
SVEN89
RAND94
04 Jan 2022
SVEN92
RAND98
30 Dec 2020
SVEN78
RAND92
09 Dec 2020
SVEN98
RAND83
11 Mar 2020
SVEN72
RAND74
25 Sep 2019
SVEN74
RAND89
04 Apr 2019
SVEN73
RAND79
28 Mar 2019
SVEN74
RAND83
21 Mar 2019
SVEN81
RAND65
04 Mar 2019
SVEN73
RAND77
06 Feb 2019
SVEN69
RAND72
07 Jan 2019
SVEN82
RAND70
08 Mar 2018
SVEN104
RAND96
17 Jan 2018
SVEN74
RAND81
01 Feb 2017
SVEN77
RAND80
17 Dec 2016
SVEN97
RAND63
07 Mar 2016
SVEN114
RAND62
16 Dec 2015
SVEN119
RAND111
30 Mar 2015
SVEN106
RAND91
23 Mar 2015
SVEN111
RAND71
16 Mar 2015
SVEN85
RAND82
21 Jan 2015
SVEN95
RAND60
01 Dec 2014
SVEN92
RAND93
14 Apr 2014
SVEN103
RAND105
07 Apr 2014
SVEN92
RAND94
19 Dec 2013
SVEN88
RAND78
01 Apr 2013
SVEN87
RAND83
25 Mar 2013
SVEN86
RAND76
19 Jan 2013
SVEN105
RAND75
28 Nov 2012
SVEN98
RAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 77
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 77
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 77
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 77
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 77
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
65avg 77
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 77
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 77
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 77
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
89avg 77
A21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
26-30
19-25
25-24
11-17
25-26
22-20
12-17
25-16
11-23
20-21
32-23
17-15
14-19
14-24
17-28
21-19
25-25
22-24
25-16
23-30
13-19
15-24
27-24
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
23-20
28-29
19-17
17-28
22-22
21-7
29-18
21-17
173.7Avg total
83.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.064.0157.0+29.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.064.0157.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.090.7173.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)85.094.4179.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.995.2171.1-19.211%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.580.8166.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (7)104.682.3186.9+22.3100%
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 86
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 86
H18/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
77avg 86
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
77avg 86
H25/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 86
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
103-87
103
87
+16
98avg 86
A04/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
86-101
86
101
-15
74avg 86
H08/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 86
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 86
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
106-65
106
65
+41
104avg 86
H21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
21-21
24-18
25-18
24-30
26-27
21-24
12-15
25-23
29-17
21-22
16-21
24-24
29-24
22-27
9-23
20-23
21-26
28-16
18-20
27-24
27-26
22-23
27-14
16-31
24-22
24-25
22-23
17-21
18-38
26-24
25-15
19-21
25-25
24-22
16-25
25-18
25-20
27-18
29-9
179.1Avg total
90.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.065.0171.0+41.0100%
Season at home (1)106.065.0171.0+41.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.189.0179.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)93.088.8181.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.196.0182.1-9.931%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.690.0181.6+1.660%
vs Weaker (12)97.878.7176.5+19.292%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
SvendborgRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/09
Basketligaen
86.8Avg total
41.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.586.7-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.042.385.3+0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)41.546.287.7-4.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.186.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.847.886.6-8.916%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.043.087.0+1.075%-
vs Weaker (7)50.136.486.6+13.786%-
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H18/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H25/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A04/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H08/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/09
Basketligaen
95.1Avg total
46.3Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.192.0+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.744.790.3+1.033%-
Last 30 away (15)48.245.593.7+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)46.348.895.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.293.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.348.691.9-5.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)49.645.094.6+4.640%-
vs Weaker (12)49.841.291.0+8.567%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.4
50.8%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.613.8
63.9%
70.2%13.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.1
55.8%
51.9%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
32.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.7
75.0%
70.2%14.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLLLLWLWLL
Randers
WLLLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#5
-9.6
Net rating
+1.9
99.8
Offensive rating
111.4
109.5
Defensive rating
109.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.4%
3-point %
33.3%
56.0%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 111.4Defence109.5 · 109.5Shooting50.0% · 53.7%3-point %32.4% · 33.3%Ball care20.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Svendborg   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Svendborg wins
6
Randers wins
DateGameScore
15/04/24Randers v Svendborg84-93
21/03/24Svendborg v Randers83-91
29/01/24Randers v Svendborg84-88
26/10/23Svendborg v Randers98-105
29/03/23Svendborg v Randers76-83
16/03/23Randers v Svendborg89-87
14/12/22Randers v Svendborg92-85
29/09/22Svendborg v Randers69-66
31/03/22Svendborg v Randers89-94
10/03/22Randers v Svendborg81-99
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack93-64
10/05/24AHorsens87-94
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
22/04/24ABakken Bears78-97
15/04/24ARanders93-84
12/04/24HBakken Bears62-86
08/04/24HVaerlose88-83
05/04/24AHorsens70-80
31/03/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-102
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24HVaerlose106-65
15/04/24HSvendborg84-93
11/04/24AHorsens86-98
08/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved86-101
04/04/24AVaerlose103-87
01/04/24ABakken Bears87-85
25/03/24HHorsens84-98
21/03/24ASvendborg91-83
18/03/24HBakken Bears83-96
14/03/24HVaerlose91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+29.0-+29.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+41.0+41.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Randers110100%106.065.0+41.0
2 Svendborg110100%93.064.0+29.0
3 Amager110100%100.075.0+25.0
4 Horsens110100%90.072.0+18.0
5 Team FOG Naestved110100%89.072.0+17.0
6 Bakken Bears21150%87.583.5+4.0
7 Vaerlose21150%78.094.0-16.0
8 Bears Academy2020%77.090.0-13.0
9 Copenhagen1010%75.0100.0-25.0
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%77.0103.0-26.0
11 Herlev Wolfpack1010%64.093.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg1223212076
Randers1427211274
← all games of the day
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