PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Svendborg vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 83-91
23-25 17-29 22-21 21-16
Position#5
Record17-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record13-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game87.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Randers
11 Feb 2027
SVEN v RAND
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
SVEN69
RAND80
18 Feb 2026
SVEN99
RAND85
05 May 2025
SVEN76
RAND75
28 Apr 2025
SVEN90
RAND70
21 Apr 2025
SVEN96
RAND79
25 Sep 2024
SVEN76
RAND74
21 Mar 2024
SVEN83
RAND91
26 Oct 2023
SVEN98
RAND105
29 Mar 2023
SVEN76
RAND83
29 Sep 2022
SVEN69
RAND66
31 Mar 2022
SVEN89
RAND94
04 Jan 2022
SVEN92
RAND98
30 Dec 2020
SVEN78
RAND92
09 Dec 2020
SVEN98
RAND83
11 Mar 2020
SVEN72
RAND74
25 Sep 2019
SVEN74
RAND89
04 Apr 2019
SVEN73
RAND79
28 Mar 2019
SVEN74
RAND83
21 Mar 2019
SVEN81
RAND65
04 Mar 2019
SVEN73
RAND77
06 Feb 2019
SVEN69
RAND72
07 Jan 2019
SVEN82
RAND70
08 Mar 2018
SVEN104
RAND96
17 Jan 2018
SVEN74
RAND81
01 Feb 2017
SVEN77
RAND80
17 Dec 2016
SVEN97
RAND63
07 Mar 2016
SVEN114
RAND62
16 Dec 2015
SVEN119
RAND111
30 Mar 2015
SVEN106
RAND91
23 Mar 2015
SVEN111
RAND71
16 Mar 2015
SVEN85
RAND82
21 Jan 2015
SVEN95
RAND60
01 Dec 2014
SVEN92
RAND93
14 Apr 2014
SVEN103
RAND105
07 Apr 2014
SVEN92
RAND94
19 Dec 2013
SVEN88
RAND78
01 Apr 2013
SVEN87
RAND83
25 Mar 2013
SVEN86
RAND76
19 Jan 2013
SVEN105
RAND75
28 Nov 2012
SVEN98
RAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
97avg 79
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 79
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 79
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 79
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 79
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
117-87
117
87
+30
120avg 79
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
123-94
123
94
+29
116avg 79
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
89avg 79
A07/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 79
H11/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
84avg 79
A18/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
23-17
31-24
19-18
22-20
21-18
19-16
21-23
14-24
17-27
12-20
20-15
19-16
30-22
20-23
19-23
20-18
8-18
22-29
26-21
28-9
30-26
29-21
30-31
41-20
26-22
25-20
31-32
31-23
17-18
29-31
21-23
22-21
20-21
7-20
27-21
12-30
28-28
24-14
24-25
177.5Avg total
91.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.582.3173.7+9.274%
Season at home (11)96.082.4178.4+13.673%
Season away (12)87.382.2169.5+5.275%
Last 10 (10)91.086.5177.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)100.491.2191.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.594.0168.5-19.520%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.084.3172.3+3.767%
vs Weaker (11)101.276.8178.0+24.4100%
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
98avg 87
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-115
83
115
-32
71avg 87
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
66avg 87
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 87
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
84-109
84
109
-25
74avg 87
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 87
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 87
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
114-108
114
108
+6
118avg 87
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 87
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 87
H18/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
22-19
27-26
28-15
18-18
23-27
22-39
20-31
20-19
12-18
24-19
23-18
16-19
22-30
23-20
23-19
20-24
25-21
16-35
23-29
18-23
19-16
23-18
19-23
20-17
28-16
18-23
20-22
37-28
16-24
31-25
30-31
21-27
21-21
24-18
25-18
24-30
26-27
21-24
12-15
180.1Avg total
88.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.987.4181.3+6.457%
Season at home (12)88.781.2169.8+7.550%
Season away (11)99.594.3193.8+5.364%
Last 10 (10)88.891.3180.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)90.689.2179.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.595.3181.7-8.827%
vs Similar ◀ (7)92.988.7181.6+4.143%
vs Weaker (12)97.477.5174.9+19.992%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
SvendborgRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/01
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/01
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A18/03
Basketligaen
86.9Avg total
45.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.185.8+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.584.6-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.586.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.043.694.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.347.785.0-10.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)46.741.388.0+5.367%-
vs Weaker (11)48.436.685.0+11.791%-
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H18/03
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
43.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.943.590.4+3.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.643.489.0+2.231%-
Last 30 away (14)48.343.691.9+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.588.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.891.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.146.191.2-1.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.644.991.4+1.729%-
vs Weaker (12)48.740.389.0+8.358%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.0
54.5%
51.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
31.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws26.620.0
75.2%
67.0%20.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.2
52.0%
51.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
31.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
67.0%17.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LLWWWLWLWW
Randers
LWWWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#6
+5.4
Net rating
-2.7
108.1
Offensive rating
107.4
102.7
Defensive rating
110.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.8%
3-point %
33.2%
60.2%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 107.4Defence102.7 · 110.1Shooting51.0% · 51.2%3-point %29.8% · 33.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Svendborg   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Svendborg wins
6
Randers wins
DateGameScore
29/01/24Randers v Svendborg84-88
26/10/23Svendborg v Randers98-105
29/03/23Svendborg v Randers76-83
16/03/23Randers v Svendborg89-87
14/12/22Randers v Svendborg92-85
29/09/22Svendborg v Randers69-66
31/03/22Svendborg v Randers89-94
10/03/22Randers v Svendborg81-99
02/03/22Randers v Svendborg99-102
04/01/22Svendborg v Randers92-98
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved88-97
11/03/24HHorsens76-83
07/03/24AVaerlose98-95
15/02/24AAmager123-94
07/02/24HHerlev Wolfpack117-87
01/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved76-86
29/01/24ARanders88-84
24/01/24HBristol Flyers63-86
17/01/24HSpartak Pleven83-77
15/01/24HVaerlose98-76
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HBakken Bears83-96
14/03/24HVaerlose91-84
04/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved114-108
15/02/24AHerlev Wolfpack86-78
11/02/24HVaerlose79-80
09/02/24ABakken Bears84-109
29/01/24HSvendborg84-88
21/01/24HHorsens79-74
20/01/24ABakken Bears83-115
15/01/24AAmager105-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL74%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game91.596.087.3
Allowed / game82.382.482.2
Point differential+9.2+13.6+5.2
Avg total173.7178.4169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game93.988.799.5
Allowed / game87.481.294.3
Point differential+6.4+7.5+5.3
Avg total181.3169.8193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2320387%100.377.1+23.2
2 Horsens2320387%89.671.8+17.8
3 Team FOG Naestved2317674%96.383.8+12.6
4 Svendborg2317674%91.582.3+9.2
5 Randers23131057%93.987.4+6.4
6 Copenhagen23121152%82.379.2+3.1
7 Vaerlose23101343%81.386.7-5.4
8 Bears Academy2371630%75.883.6-7.8
9 Herlev Wolfpack2351822%75.691.7-16.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2341917%72.190.4-18.3
11 Amager242228%75.899.5-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2317222183
Randers2529211691
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.