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Sweden vs Czech Republic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-76
34-16 27-19 18-24 8-17
Position#47
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game87.0
Sweden 🏆
vs
Position#49
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game89.2
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Hovet
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Czech Republic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Finland
#10
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 71
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
67avg 71
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 71
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 71
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 71
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
77avg 71
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Estonia
#58
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
27-23
24-23
18-21
17-27
25-32
24-25
17-21
19-13
16-17
26-17
17-12
15-18
19-22
31-24
16-23
21-14
18-19
14-21
18-20
23-20
19-17
13-26
24-22
22-27
24-20
17-27
17-23
16-31
26-18
22-24
19-21
22-22
14-24
22-11
19-31
23-22
15-16
13-17
28-14
165.2Avg total
80.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.887.0166.8-7.225%
Season at home (2)80.091.0171.0-11.00%
Season away (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)80.185.1165.2-5.020%
Last 5 (5)79.686.6166.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.281.5155.7-7.325%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.587.7169.2-6.217%
vs Weaker (12)80.473.8154.2+6.767%
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRepublic
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 65
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Portugal
#17
L
50-62
50
62
-12
43avg 65
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 65
A29/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 65
H30/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
60-82
60
82
-22
49avg 65
A01/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
75-109
75
109
-34
64avg 65
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#47
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
59-99
59
99
-40
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
16-18
12-19
24-19
10-13
19-19
11-13
10-17
27-21
10-24
25-27
16-20
19-23
17-31
18-23
21-12
5-27
18-18
20-16
17-21
24-30
20-28
12-28
19-23
27-22
20-24
27-17
23-17
27-29
31-24
22-21
17-18
16-20
20-24
14-31
9-24
27-21
27-15
9-27
21-23
161.0Avg total
74.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.289.2173.5-5.050%
Season at home (2)90.583.0173.5+7.550%
Season away (2)78.095.5173.5-17.550%
Last 10 (10)74.087.0161.0-13.020%
Last 5 (5)82.493.2175.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.087.1159.1-15.15%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.986.8171.6-1.950%
vs Weaker (2)83.075.5158.5+7.550%
This opponent (Sweden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
SwedenCzech Republic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A29/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H01/12
World Cup
Estonia
#58
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/02
World Cup
Estonia
#58
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/03
World Cup
83.0Avg total
40.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.877.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.937.675.6+0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.878.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.883.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.141.879.9-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.243.885.0-2.717%-
vs Weaker (12)37.833.271.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czech RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Portugal
#17
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H30/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#47
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A01/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
84.7Avg total
39.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.681.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.681.9+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.244.381.6-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.484.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.495.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.942.779.6-5.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.242.888.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)36.541.077.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
-13.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Czech Republictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czech Republic: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.614.5
49.0%
-29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.5
32.1%
-31.5
🏀 Free throws15.410.6
68.8%
-10.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden
WLLLLLLWLL
Czech Republic
LLWWLLLLLL
#47
League position
#49
-6.0
Net rating
-23.4
104.0
Offensive rating
96.1
109.9
Defensive rating
119.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.0%
3-point %
32.1%
68.6%
Assist %
79.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Sweden   ■ Czech Republic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden wins
1
Czech Republic wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Czech Republic v Sweden97-80
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AEstonia79-69
27/02/26HEstonia77-88
01/12/25HSlovenia83-94
28/11/25ACzech Republic80-97
06/09/25ATurkey79-85
03/09/25ALithuania71-74
01/09/25HMontenegro81-87
30/08/25AGreat Britain78-59
29/08/25AGermany83-105
27/08/25HFinland90-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HSlovenia84-86
27/02/26ASlovenia59-99
01/12/25AEstonia97-92
28/11/25HSweden97-80
03/09/25HLatvia75-109
01/09/25ASerbia60-82
30/08/25HEstonia75-89
29/08/25ATurkey78-92
27/08/25HPortugal50-62
16/08/25ATurkey65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.880.079.5
Allowed / game87.091.083.0
Point differential-7.2-11.0-3.5
Avg total166.8171.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Czech Republic
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.290.578.0
Allowed / game89.283.095.5
Point differential-5.0+7.5-17.5
Avg total173.5173.5173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
19 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
20 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
21 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
22 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
23 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
28 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
29 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
30 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
31 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
32 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
33 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
34 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
37 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
38 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
39 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
40 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
41 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
42 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
45 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
48 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
49 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
50 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
53 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
56 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
57 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
58 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
63 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
64 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
93 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden342718887
Czech Republic1619241776
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