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Czech Republic vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:45
Final 75-89
19-23 17-31 18-23 21-12
Position#23
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Estonia 🏆
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Czech Republic v Estonia
06 Jul 2026
CZEC75
ESTO73
30 Aug 2025
CZEC75
ESTO89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Czech Republic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Czech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRepublic
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
96-74
96
74
+22
98avg 74
H21/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
70-77
70
77
-7
65avg 74
A24/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
88avg 74
H21/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
75-96
75
96
-21
75avg 74
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
84-113
84
113
-29
76avg 74
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Turkey
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 74
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Portugal
#17
L
50-62
50
62
-12
43avg 74
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 74
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
16-20
19-21
14-19
24-25
25-22
19-15
22-20
21-21
25-24
30-16
20-13
10-25
17-12
14-17
29-23
13-27
27-10
14-23
23-17
15-23
20-17
18-32
22-24
21-29
27-32
20-31
16-21
13-23
16-18
12-19
24-19
10-13
19-19
11-13
10-17
27-21
10-24
25-27
16-20
160.1Avg total
76.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.077.0141.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)50.062.0112.0-12.00%
Season away (1)78.092.0170.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)76.184.0160.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)70.488.4158.8-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.784.7158.3-11.011%
vs Similar (10)82.185.9168.0-3.840%
vs Weaker (2)83.075.5158.5+7.550%
This opponent (Estonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 70
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 70
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
90avg 70
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 70
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
49avg 70
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
67avg 70
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
22-17
16-22
20-11
26-15
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
12-32
17-24
15-30
20-12
21-17
21-21
19-25
9-9
151.1Avg total
75.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)70.072.0142.0-2.00%
Season away (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)75.176.0151.1-0.960%
Last 5 (5)75.881.0156.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)72.780.9153.6-8.227%
vs Similar (2)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
Czech RepublicEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Czech RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H26/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H21/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A24/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Turkey
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Portugal
#17
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/08
EuroBasket
78.8Avg total
37.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.4-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.038.278.2+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.543.782.2-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.778.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.879.4-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.041.778.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (10)43.540.784.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)36.541.077.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A27/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/08
EuroBasket
79.7Avg total
37.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.178.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.177.9-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)36.643.379.9-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.379.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.685.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.741.278.8-3.538%-
vs Similar (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Czech Republic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Czech Republictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czech Republic: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.6
50.0%
52.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.7
34.4%
33.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.8
69.0%
73.1%11.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.7%
33.4%25.1
🏀 Free throws18.512.4
66.9%
73.1%12.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Czech Republic
LLLLLLLWWL
Estonia
LLLWLWWWWW
#23
League position
#18
-10.8
Net rating
-1.5
99.8
Offensive rating
101.9
110.6
Defensive rating
103.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
22.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
30.7%
81.7%
Assist %
74.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 101.9Defence110.6 · 103.5Shooting50.8% · 49.8%3-point %34.4% · 30.7%Ball care22.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Czech Republic   ■ Estonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Czech Republic wins
0
Estonia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25ATurkey78-92
27/08/25HPortugal50-62
16/08/25ATurkey65-79
15/08/25ASerbia84-113
24/02/25AGreat Britain75-96
21/02/25HGreece89-93 OT
24/11/24ANetherlands70-77
21/11/24HNetherlands96-74
26/02/24HGreat Britain90-82
23/02/24AGreece64-72
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HLatvia70-72
27/08/25ASerbia64-98
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
21/02/25HNorth Macedonia84-65
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Czech Republic
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.050.078.0
Allowed / game77.062.092.0
Point differential-13.0-12.0-14.0
Avg total141.0112.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.070.064.0
Allowed / game85.072.098.0
Point differential-18.0-2.0-34.0
Avg total152.0142.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
11 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
14 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
15 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
16 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
17 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
18 Czech Republic2020%64.077.0-13.0
19 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
20 Estonia2020%67.085.0-18.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Great Britain2020%74.5101.5-27.0
23 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Czech Republic1917182175
Estonia2331231289
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