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Germany vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 105-83
27-17 32-25 25-24 21-17
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game76.0
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Germany v Sweden
29 Aug 2025
GERM105
SWED83
25 Nov 2024
GERM80
SWED61
24 Feb 2023
GERM73
SWED66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 81
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 81
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 81
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 81
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 81
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 81
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
106-76
106
76
+30
101avg 81
A27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
24-20
22-23
33-12
27-21
156.9Avg total
83.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.076.0182.0+30.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)106.076.0182.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.173.8156.9+9.370%
Last 5 (5)89.879.8169.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (6)92.088.2180.2+3.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.0163.8+15.980%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
73avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
88avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 70
H27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-24
16-8
18-20
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
16-17
14-11
14-15
27-29
29-22
21-21
12-12
22-15
24-27
13-23
20-25
13-20
26-18
11-19
18-19
18-16
19-23
12-18
17-19
13-20
22-25
17-9
15-24
16-12
20-14
12-19
21-18
19-21
21-26
27-23
24-23
18-21
153.6Avg total
74.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.093.0183.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)90.093.0183.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.978.7153.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)77.481.8159.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.478.8149.2-8.425%
vs Similar (4)84.286.5170.8-2.225%
vs Weaker (14)83.073.6156.6+9.464%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
GermanySweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
77.9Avg total
41.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.681.5+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.936.580.3+7.470%-
Last 30 away (10)43.839.983.7+3.970%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.277.9+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (6)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.534.679.2+9.985%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H27/08
EuroBasket
76.7Avg total
37.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.076.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.974.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.277.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.641.576.1-6.917%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.081.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)40.134.574.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.2
53.8%
52.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.2
31.4%
33.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
73.1%17.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.3
48.7%
52.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.3
35.5%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.8%
73.1%16.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 29 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
WLWWWWLLWW
Sweden
LWLLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#21
+11.6
Net rating
-6.1
115.7
Offensive rating
105.6
104.0
Defensive rating
111.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
44.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.4%
3-point %
35.5%
60.6%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 105.6Defence104.0 · 111.7Shooting50.2% · 50.7%3-point %31.4% · 35.5%Ball care16.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds44.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Germany   ■ Sweden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Germany wins
1
Sweden wins
DateGameScore
25/11/24Germany v Sweden80-61
22/11/24Sweden v Germany73-72
24/02/23Germany v Sweden73-66
25/08/22Sweden v Germany50-67
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25AMontenegro106-76
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25HFinland90-93
23/02/25HMontenegro86-83 OT
20/02/25ABulgaria77-81 OT
25/11/24AGermany61-80
22/11/24HGermany73-72
25/02/24AMontenegro70-95
22/02/24HBulgaria84-70
27/02/23HEstonia71-72
24/02/23AGermany66-73
14/11/22HIsrael71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game106.0-106.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+30.0-+30.0
Avg total182.0-182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sweden
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total183.0183.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 Germany110100%106.076.0+30.0
3 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
6 Turkey110100%93.073.0+20.0
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
10 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
11 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
12 Finland110100%93.090.0+3.0
13 Sweden1010%90.093.0-3.0
14 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
15 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
16 Czech Republic1010%50.062.0-12.0
17 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
18 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
19 Latvia1010%73.093.0-20.0
20 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
23 Montenegro1010%76.0106.0-30.0
24 Estonia1010%64.098.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany27322521105
Sweden1725241783
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