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Sydney W vs Geelong United W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 90-55
23-12 20-17 25-5 22-21
Position#5
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game84.0
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Geelong United W
Australia
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game81.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 5· Quaycentre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Sydney W v Geelong United W
30 Nov 2024
SYDN90
GEEL55
07 Jan 2024
SYDN55
GEEL62
12 Nov 2023
SYDN80
GEEL95
19 Feb 2023
SYDN57
GEEL87
16 Dec 2022
SYDN63
GEEL73
20 Mar 2022
SYDN v GEEL
upcoming
22 Dec 2021
SYDN77
GEEL83
03 Dec 2020
SYDN64
GEEL86
18 Jan 2020
SYDN62
GEEL76
05 Jan 2020
SYDN63
GEEL86
21 Oct 2018
SYDN75
GEEL87
11 Nov 2017
SYDN65
GEEL88
27 Oct 2017
SYDN65
GEEL56
11 Nov 2016
SYDN87
GEEL75
02 Jan 2016
SYDN86
GEEL78
24 Oct 2015
SYDN93
GEEL86
17 Jan 2015
SYDN88
GEEL73
14 Nov 2014
SYDN90
GEEL78
23 Nov 2013
SYDN83
GEEL71
27 Jan 2013
SYDN82
GEEL68
19 Oct 2012
SYDN79
GEEL81
13 Jan 2012
SYDN71
GEEL80
06 Nov 2010
SYDN75
GEEL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong United W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 70
H17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
90avg 70
H19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
102-81
102
81
+21
103avg 70
H25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 70
H18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 70
A25/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
102-85
102
85
+17
108avg 70
H03/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 70
A09/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 70
H13/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 70
A20/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 70
A23/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
11-16
22-19
28-19
18-17
24-13
27-19
21-16
29-18
24-17
22-23
27-23
21-23
24-19
17-20
16-19
23-27
17-21
19-19
19-23
35-21
24-23
22-18
21-23
26-21
13-24
19-22
17-16
18-29
18-27
17-19
18-15
11-20
12-18
17-16
14-24
29-19
25-24
10-21
14-20
161.8Avg total
81.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.084.0160.0-8.020%
Season at home (2)86.587.5174.0-1.050%
Season away (3)69.081.7150.7-12.70%
Last 10 (10)81.680.2161.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)76.084.0160.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.683.5151.1-15.912%
vs Similar (19)76.677.6154.2-0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.772.0154.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
47avg 65
A17/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
66avg 65
A24/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 65
A28/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 65
H02/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
66avg 65
A06/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
43avg 65
H30/10
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 65
H07/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 65
A10/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
72-66 OT
72
66
+6
56avg 65
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
47avg 65
H23/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-22
15-15
13-13
26-22
18-26
16-7
15-19
21-19
26-25
14-26
25-20
14-12
21-17
27-23
26-15
20-22
21-25
17-27
19-19
17-24
17-24
9-23
15-13
30-24
24-27
16-18
20-18
14-31
14-26
23-22
27-16
13-18
19-17
15-22
17-7
22-21
15-16
14-21
9-15
154.4Avg total
74.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.681.0152.6-9.440%
Season at home (4)70.077.5147.5-7.550%
Season away (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)74.579.9154.4-5.440%
Last 5 (5)71.681.0152.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.681.0152.6-9.440%
vs Similar (18)77.573.8151.3+3.756%
vs Weaker (7)70.672.9143.4-2.343%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Sydney WGeelong United W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H19/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H03/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A09/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H13/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A20/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/11
NBL W
83.7Avg total
42.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.978.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.281.2+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.675.3+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.883.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.641.876.4-7.125%-
vs Similar (19)40.338.278.5+2.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.035.781.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A17/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H30/10
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H07/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A10/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/11
NBL W
82.3Avg total
38.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.0-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.840.076.8-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.277.3-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.882.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.682.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.045.682.6-8.620%-
vs Similar (18)37.438.375.8-0.956%-
vs Weaker (7)35.440.776.1-5.314%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.2
53.3%
46.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
32.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.012.4
77.5%
75.1%12.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geelong United Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong United W: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.519.4
44.6%
46.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.8
28.5%
32.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
75.1%14.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LLLLWLLWWW
Geelong United W
LWLWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#8
+2.6
Net rating
-7.2
105.3
Offensive rating
94.2
102.8
Defensive rating
101.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
43.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
28.5%
67.7%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 94.2Defence102.8 · 101.4Shooting51.2% · 43.9%3-point %32.1% · 28.5%Ball care19.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sydney W   ■ Geelong United W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sydney W wins
9
Geelong United W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Sydney W v Geelong United W55-62
20/12/23Geelong United W v Sydney W58-86
12/11/23Sydney W v Geelong United W80-95
05/03/23Geelong United W v Sydney W100-60
19/02/23Sydney W v Geelong United W57-87
16/12/22Sydney W v Geelong United W63-73
20/02/22Geelong United W v Sydney W85-76
22/12/21Sydney W v Geelong United W77-83
03/12/20Sydney W v Geelong United W64-86
12/11/20Geelong United W v Sydney W85-70
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24APerth Lynx W78-84
20/11/24AAdelaide Lightning W54-78
13/11/24HBendigo W71-90
09/11/24ASouthside W75-83
03/11/24HCanberra Capitals W102-85
25/02/24ATownsville W78-90
18/02/24HSouthside W78-81
25/01/24HSouthside W102-81
19/01/24HCanberra Capitals W90-65
17/01/24HAdelaide Lightning W88-65
Geelong United Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HCanberra Capitals W60-73
16/11/24HAdelaide Lightning W72-66 OT
10/11/24ABendigo W78-95
07/11/24HSouthside W90-87
30/10/24HTownsville W58-84
06/03/24ASouthside W77-93
02/03/24HSouthside W88-67
28/02/24ASouthside W86-90
24/02/24ACanberra Capitals W75-74
17/02/24AAdelaide Lightning W61-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game76.086.569.0
Allowed / game84.087.581.7
Point differential-8.0-1.0-12.7
Avg total160.0174.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong United W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game71.670.078.0
Allowed / game81.077.595.0
Point differential-9.4-7.5-17.0
Avg total152.6147.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W660100%88.573.7+14.8
2 Perth Lynx W65183%91.381.5+9.8
3 Townsville W74357%75.174.9+0.3
4 Southside W52340%83.683.0+0.6
5 Geelong United W52340%71.681.0-9.4
6 Canberra Capitals W62433%80.388.5-8.2
7 Sydney W51420%76.084.0-8.0
8 Adelaide Lightning W61517%67.870.7-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2320252290
Geelong United W121752155
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