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Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 88-65
27-11 11-16 22-19 28-19
Position#6
Record8-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game75.3
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game76.9
AustraliaNBL W· Quaycentre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W
14 Dec 2025
SYDN75
ADEL94
19 Jan 2025
SYDN84
ADEL60
22 Dec 2024
SYDN73
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SYDN88
ADEL65
24 Feb 2023
SYDN101
ADEL91
26 Feb 2022
SYDN56
ADEL73
20 Jan 2022
SYDN52
ADEL77
13 Dec 2020
SYDN86
ADEL60
29 Dec 2019
SYDN72
ADEL80
08 Dec 2019
SYDN81
ADEL69
05 Dec 2018
SYDN72
ADEL82
23 Dec 2017
SYDN104
ADEL97
29 Nov 2017
SYDN74
ADEL77
18 Feb 2017
SYDN98
ADEL83
04 Dec 2015
SYDN67
ADEL94
13 Nov 2015
SYDN84
ADEL79
28 Nov 2014
SYDN66
ADEL54
01 Nov 2014
SYDN91
ADEL94
07 Dec 2013
SYDN62
ADEL63
26 Oct 2013
SYDN82
ADEL85
10 Nov 2012
SYDN94
ADEL78
25 Nov 2011
SYDN74
ADEL77
14 Jan 2011
SYDN82
ADEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 63
A08/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
43avg 63
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
48-70
48
70
-22
35avg 63
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
86-58
86
58
+28
85avg 63
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
75avg 63
H22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
63avg 63
A05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
55-62
55
62
-7
46avg 63
H07/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 63
A12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
78avg 63
H14/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
22-18
5-23
23-15
19-23
14-29
8-26
17-20
9-15
11-18
14-15
14-22
20-16
22-13
18-19
26-10
19-25
24-26
19-9
17-7
10-8
12-24
27-18
15-14
19-24
14-12
22-11
12-27
12-13
16-18
14-15
13-16
17-22
21-12
20-25
15-20
24-16
21-25
22-20
20-23
143.8Avg total
70.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.275.3146.5-4.150%
Season at home (7)73.176.1149.3-3.057%
Season away (9)69.774.7144.3-5.044%
Last 10 (10)70.273.6143.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)71.874.6146.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.681.3149.9-12.817%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.177.0151.1-2.950%
vs Weaker (4)81.573.2154.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
no box
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
56avg 58
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 58
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 58
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 58
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
45avg 58
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 58
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 58
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 58
A10/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
8-9
15-22
22-10
21-21
11-13
12-15
20-17
26-13
23-23
19-25
20-27
12-19
20-15
19-23
26-24
20-22
18-15
15-14
15-8
14-24
19-19
18-23
22-20
24-19
16-22
15-31
7-15
24-19
12-14
11-22
27-12
14-20
14-17
21-31
19-16
15-33
25-18
10-20
18-25
150.8Avg total
71.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.076.9146.9-6.925%
Season at home (8)67.273.2140.5-6.025%
Season away (8)72.880.5153.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)71.479.4150.8-8.020%
Last 5 (5)69.084.0153.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.680.8152.4-9.118%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.483.7160.1-7.211%
vs Weaker (4)80.883.5164.2-2.850%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Sydney WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A08/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H07/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/01
NBL W
71.9Avg total
34.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.976.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.880.4-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)36.136.772.8-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.171.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.868.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.439.274.7-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.638.977.4-0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.881.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A10/01
NBL W
72.5Avg total
35.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.878.0-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.676.4-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.379.8-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.472.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.439.276.5-1.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.340.178.4-1.844%-
vs Weaker (4)41.242.083.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.916.2
42.7%
47.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.110.0
70.9%
74.3%10.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.118.7
44.4%
47.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.7
27.3%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws12.47.9
63.7%
74.3%7.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
WLLLWWWLLW
Adelaide Lightning W
LLWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#7
-5.3
Net rating
-13.6
92.6
Offensive rating
84.9
97.9
Defensive rating
98.5
46.0%
Effective FG%
43.2%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.0%
3-point %
27.3%
72.9%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 84.9Defence97.9 · 98.5Shooting46.0% · 43.2%3-point %34.0% · 27.3%Ball care18.9% · 20.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 24.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sydney W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney W wins
6
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W74-67
06/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W64-66
24/02/23Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W101-91
12/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W77-81
19/11/22Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W87-67
26/02/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W56-73
20/01/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W52-77
13/12/20Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W86-60
28/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W75-53
29/12/19Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W72-80
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HPerth Lynx W87-84
12/01/24ASouthside W73-79
07/01/24HGeelong United W55-62
05/01/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-74
29/12/23HTownsville W77-74 OT
22/12/23HBendigo W79-67
20/12/23AGeelong United W86-58
16/12/23HTownsville W48-70
13/12/23APerth Lynx W58-98
08/12/23ACanberra Capitals W72-70
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ABendigo W68-96
07/01/24APerth Lynx W68-84
05/01/24HSydney W74-67
30/12/23HSouthside W62-87
21/12/23ACanberra Capitals W73-86
17/12/23AGeelong United W68-59
15/12/23ABendigo W77-81
10/12/23HPerth Lynx W95-98 OT
06/12/23HSydney W64-66
02/12/23HBendigo W65-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game71.273.169.7
Allowed / game75.376.174.7
Point differential-4.1-3.0-5.0
Avg total146.5149.3144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game70.067.272.8
Allowed / game76.973.280.5
Point differential-6.9-6.0-7.8
Avg total146.9140.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W1612475%80.270.8+9.4
2 Geelong United W1610662%74.270.7+3.6
3 Southside W159660%79.074.6+4.4
4 Perth Lynx W169756%85.083.1+1.9
5 Sydney W168850%71.275.3-4.1
6 Bendigo W156940%74.577.3-2.7
7 Canberra Capitals W1441029%76.082.3-6.3
8 Adelaide Lightning W1641225%70.076.9-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2711222888
Adelaide Lightning W1116191965
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