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Sydney W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 90-65
18-17 24-13 27-19 21-16
Position#6
Record9-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#8
Record4-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.3
AustraliaNBL W· Quaycentre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W
10 Jan 2026
SYDN84
CANB72
06 Nov 2025
SYDN73
CANB64
03 Nov 2024
SYDN102
CANB85
19 Jan 2024
SYDN90
CANB65
15 Nov 2023
SYDN86
CANB81
30 Dec 2022
SYDN81
CANB70
23 Dec 2022
SYDN87
CANB72
05 Dec 2021
SYDN55
CANB58
21 Nov 2020
SYDN63
CANB68
27 Oct 2019
SYDN81
CANB75
13 Jan 2019
SYDN79
CANB99
12 Oct 2018
SYDN78
CANB97
02 Nov 2017
SYDN81
CANB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
43avg 65
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
48-70
48
70
-22
35avg 65
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
86-58
86
58
+28
85avg 65
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
75avg 65
H22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
63avg 65
A05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
55-62
55
62
-7
46avg 65
H07/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 65
A12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
78avg 65
H14/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 65
H17/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
14-29
8-26
17-20
9-15
11-18
14-15
14-22
20-16
22-13
18-19
26-10
19-25
24-26
19-9
17-7
10-8
12-24
27-18
15-14
19-24
14-12
22-11
12-27
12-13
16-18
14-15
13-16
17-22
21-12
20-25
15-20
24-16
21-25
22-20
20-23
27-11
11-16
22-19
28-19
144.9Avg total
71.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.274.7146.9-2.553%
Season at home (8)75.074.8149.8+0.262%
Season away (9)69.774.7144.3-5.044%
Last 10 (10)71.873.1144.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.072.8146.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.182.1151.2-13.018%
vs Similar (15)75.176.2151.3-1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.573.2154.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 66
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
55avg 66
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
37avg 66
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 66
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 66
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 66
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 66
A06/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 66
H11/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
54avg 66
A14/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-23
15-17
23-20
10-24
21-14
17-21
16-22
14-22
18-22
23-5
15-23
19-18
13-19
11-25
12-22
20-16
26-21
19-21
19-14
24-14
19-19
23-18
20-22
27-15
19-27
24-33
20-23
14-20
16-14
21-14
24-17
17-19
20-17
19-23
25-16
24-22
21-23
11-30
10-13
154.7Avg total
75.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.082.3158.3-6.329%
Season at home (7)76.380.3156.6-4.043%
Season away (7)75.784.3160.0-8.614%
Last 10 (10)75.279.5154.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)79.679.8159.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.685.3161.9-8.720%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
Sydney WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H07/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H17/01
NBL W
70.8Avg total
34.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.776.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.480.0-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)36.136.772.8-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.670.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.870.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.139.975.0-4.818%-
vs Similar (15)38.538.176.6+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.537.881.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/01
NBL W
76.5Avg total
38.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.081.7-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.944.585.4-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)35.941.177.0-5.28%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.576.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.743.081.7-4.323%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.9
44.2%
47.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.110.1
71.6%
74.3%10.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.6
44.9%
47.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.311.3
73.9%
74.3%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
WWLLLWWWLL
Canberra Capitals W
LWWLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#8
-1.9
Net rating
-6.6
95.1
Offensive rating
94.5
97.0
Defensive rating
101.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
31.3%
72.4%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 94.5Defence97.0 · 101.1Shooting47.5% · 45.7%3-point %34.9% · 31.3%Ball care18.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds25.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sydney W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney W wins
5
Canberra Capitals W wins
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HAdelaide Lightning W88-65
14/01/24HPerth Lynx W87-84
12/01/24ASouthside W73-79
07/01/24HGeelong United W55-62
05/01/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-74
29/12/23HTownsville W77-74 OT
22/12/23HBendigo W79-67
20/12/23AGeelong United W86-58
16/12/23HTownsville W48-70
13/12/23APerth Lynx W58-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ABendigo W66-88
11/01/24HPerth Lynx W81-75
06/01/24ASouthside W75-65
27/12/23APerth Lynx W90-98
21/12/23HAdelaide Lightning W86-73
15/12/23HGeelong United W84-72
10/12/23HTownsville W55-84
08/12/23HSydney W70-72
02/12/23ASouthside W64-81
26/11/23AGeelong United W81-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game72.275.069.7
Allowed / game74.774.874.7
Point differential-2.5+0.2-5.0
Avg total146.9149.8144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game76.076.375.7
Allowed / game82.380.384.3
Point differential-6.3-4.0-8.6
Avg total158.3156.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W1612475%80.270.8+9.4
2 Geelong United W1610662%74.270.7+3.6
3 Southside W159660%79.074.6+4.4
4 Perth Lynx W169756%85.083.1+1.9
5 Sydney W179853%72.274.7-2.5
6 Bendigo W156940%74.577.3-2.7
7 Canberra Capitals W1441029%76.082.3-6.3
8 Adelaide Lightning W1741324%69.777.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W1824272190
Canberra Capitals W1713191665
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