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Syracuse vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-77
28-33 36-44
Position#236
Record15-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.2
Syracuse
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#45
Record20-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Syracuse v North Carolina
23 Jan 2027
SYRA v NORT
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
SYRA64
NORT77
15 Feb 2025
SYRA82
NORT88
13 Feb 2024
SYRA86
NORT79
24 Jan 2023
SYRA68
NORT72
01 Mar 2021
SYRA72
NORT70
11 Mar 2020
SYRA81
NORT53
29 Feb 2020
SYRA79
NORT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
31-36
37-30
37-46
36-41
40-44
37-41
31-47
40-31
46-41
32-46
45-41
35-38
24-34
35-35
43-43
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
160.3Avg total
76.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.073.2149.3+2.856%
Season at home (16)79.369.4148.7+9.975%
Season away (11)71.378.8150.1-7.527%
Last 10 (10)76.384.0160.3-7.730%
Last 5 (5)77.287.6164.8-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.677.4144.0-10.921%
vs Similar (11)82.770.2152.9+12.591%
vs Weaker (5)82.865.2148.0+17.680%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A15/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-45
43-50
37-54
41-30
42-33
49-36
34-43
51-37
52-37
39-38
46-32
41-45
29-41
42-27
40-43
26-32
46-32
33-33
26-42
32-40
156.6Avg total
79.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.970.9151.8+10.077%
Season at home (16)84.865.4150.2+19.3100%
Season away (10)74.779.6154.3-4.940%
Last 10 (10)79.677.0156.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)72.273.4145.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
vs Similar (16)75.871.6147.4+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.269.0156.2+18.292%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
SyracuseNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
California
#79
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
34.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.267.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.930.167.0+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)33.935.068.9-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.971.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.671.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.935.967.9-4.021%-
vs Similar (11)39.231.370.5+7.991%-
vs Weaker (5)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/02
NCAA
80.1Avg total
39.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.173.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.032.073.0+9.088%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.674.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.280.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.543.069.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (16)35.935.471.3+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.833.477.2+10.4100%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Syracuse wins
7
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
03/02/26North Carolina v Syracuse87-77
15/02/25Syracuse v North Carolina82-88
14/02/24Syracuse v North Carolina86-79
13/01/24North Carolina v Syracuse103-67
25/01/23Syracuse v North Carolina68-72
01/03/22North Carolina v Syracuse88-79 OT
02/03/21Syracuse v North Carolina72-70
13/01/21North Carolina v Syracuse81-75
12/03/20Syracuse v North Carolina81-53
29/02/20Syracuse v North Carolina79-92
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
12/02/26HCalifornia107-100 OT
07/02/26AVirginia59-72
03/02/26ANorth Carolina77-87
31/01/26HNotre Dame86-72
28/01/26ANC State68-88
24/01/26HMiami (FL)76-85
22/01/26HVirginia Tech74-76
17/01/26ABoston College73-81 OT
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ANC State58-82
14/02/26HPittsburgh79-65
11/02/26AMiami (FL)66-75
07/02/26HDuke71-68
03/02/26HSyracuse87-77
31/01/26AGeorgia Tech91-75
24/01/26AVirginia85-80
22/01/26HNotre Dame91-69
17/01/26ACalifornia78-84
15/01/26AStanford90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %56%75%27%
Points / game76.079.371.3
Allowed / game73.269.478.8
Point differential+2.8+9.9-7.5
Avg total149.3148.7150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %11%6%18%
North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game80.984.874.7
Allowed / game70.965.479.6
Point differential+10.0+19.3-4.9
Avg total151.8150.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%88%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2624292%83.063.2+19.8
2 Virginia2723485%80.968.9+12.0
3 Miami (FL)2621581%82.969.9+13.0
4 North Carolina2620677%80.970.9+10.0
5 Louisville2619773%86.871.8+15.0
6 Clemson2820871%74.565.6+8.9
7 NC State2719870%84.973.8+11.1
8 SMU Mustangs2618869%86.577.8+8.7
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse27151256%76.073.2+2.8
13 Florida State27141352%80.077.7+2.3
14 Wake Forest27141352%79.377.2+2.1
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech27111641%74.377.0-2.7
17 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
18 Boston College2691735%67.669.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Syracuse283664
North Carolina334477
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