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Syracuse vs North Carolina Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#148
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game63.3
Syracuse
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#116
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Syracuse v North Carolina
23 Jan 2027
SYRA v NORT
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
SYRA64
NORT77
15 Feb 2025
SYRA82
NORT88
13 Feb 2024
SYRA86
NORT79
24 Jan 2023
SYRA68
NORT72
01 Mar 2021
SYRA72
NORT70
11 Mar 2020
SYRA81
NORT53
29 Feb 2020
SYRA79
NORT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
102-49
102
49
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
21-39
41-38
31-28
34-37
38-39
31-47
39-17
35-41
47-23
55-26
38-34
42-49
151.4Avg total
74.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.363.3148.7+22.067%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)80.083.0163.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.676.8151.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.779.4146.1-12.614%
vs Similar (11)81.874.6156.5+7.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.468.6153.0+15.880%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#188
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#94
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia
#70
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
38-36
44-44
45-38
27-30
40-33
34-39
27-37
31-39
48-41
39-28
36-47
39-30
41-42
51-34
58-36
31-29
45-34
31-38
39-40
152.6Avg total
78.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.870.8154.5+13.075%
Season at home (4)83.870.8154.5+13.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.674.0152.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)82.673.0155.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.369.0138.3+0.367%
vs Similar (14)74.075.6149.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (13)87.670.8158.5+16.892%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
SyracuseNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.569.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.867.3+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.272.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.468.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.637.168.7-5.614%-
vs Similar (11)39.132.571.5+6.691%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.825.866.6+15.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#188
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#94
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia
#70
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H14/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.874.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.633.873.4+5.774%-
Last 30 away (11)37.039.376.3-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.971.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.870.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (14)34.636.971.5-2.236%-
vs Weaker (13)44.634.679.2+10.092%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Syracuse wins
7
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Syracuse v North Carolina64-77
03/02/26North Carolina v Syracuse87-77
15/02/25Syracuse v North Carolina82-88
14/02/24Syracuse v North Carolina86-79
13/01/24North Carolina v Syracuse103-67
25/01/23Syracuse v North Carolina68-72
01/03/22North Carolina v Syracuse88-79 OT
02/03/21Syracuse v North Carolina72-70
13/01/21North Carolina v Syracuse81-75
12/03/20Syracuse v North Carolina81-53
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AIndiana80-83
06/11/26HCentral Connecticut State102-49
03/11/26HNew Haven Chargers74-58
10/03/26ASMU Mustangs69-86
07/03/26HPittsburgh69-71 OT
04/03/26ALouisville62-77
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGeorgia70-78
11/11/26HWyoming76-63
07/11/26HWofford109-70
03/11/26HWestern Carolina80-72
19/03/26HVCU Rams78-82 OT
13/03/26HClemson79-80
07/03/26ADuke61-76
04/03/26HClemson67-63
01/03/26HVirginia Tech89-82
24/02/26HLouisville77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.388.080.0
Allowed / game63.353.583.0
Point differential+22.0+34.5-3.0
Avg total148.7141.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game70.870.8-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total154.5154.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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