PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tallinna Kalev vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-68
22-17 19-18 27-23 19-10
Position#6
Record8-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#4
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.6
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Valga
06 Oct 2018
TALL87
VALG61
17 Mar 2018
TALL87
VALG68
08 Feb 2018
TALL87
VALG73
21 Mar 2017
TALL59
VALG84
19 Nov 2016
TALL76
VALG88
26 Mar 2016
TALL108
VALG97
07 Nov 2015
TALL104
VALG96
24 Mar 2015
TALL73
VALG64
27 Feb 2015
TALL85
VALG79
03 Dec 2014
TALL66
VALG81
08 Apr 2014
TALL86
VALG64
08 Nov 2013
TALL50
VALG54
09 Feb 2013
TALL69
VALG56
04 Jan 2013
TALL54
VALG80
08 Feb 2012
TALL78
VALG75
09 Nov 2011
TALL88
VALG62
26 Mar 2011
TALL89
VALG66
06 Oct 2010
TALL100
VALG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
94-63
94
63
+31
A12/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H16/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H27/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A07/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A20/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
53-98
53
98
-45
A24/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H08/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A14/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A02/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
25-27
21-20
19-32
25-15
24-9
23-20
22-19
12-22
18-16
27-20
19-22
9-13
23-17
20-27
20-29
17-19
25-18
15-27
21-23
19-22
14-21
20-19
26-15
15-25
10-26
15-21
13-26
20-13
25-13
19-27
23-20
14-16
18-22
14-11
26-19
17-17
15-15
10-22
22-11
154.2Avg total
75.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.878.6152.4-4.844%
Season at home (7)73.078.3151.3-5.343%
Season away (11)74.378.8153.1-4.545%
Last 10 (10)75.578.7154.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)71.076.2147.2-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.881.1151.9-10.332%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.180.8156.9-4.650%
vs Weaker (3)89.373.0162.3+16.367%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H05/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A08/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A11/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A15/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H20/02
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A28/02
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
76-96
76
96
-20
H02/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#6
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H07/03
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A10/03
LBL
Parnu
#5
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A14/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-21
8-14
20-26
13-20
13-25
27-19
20-23
27-22
20-14
18-26
23-19
13-16
14-21
15-19
28-26
13-15
10-31
20-20
15-22
27-14
22-18
12-24
28-21
11-21
18-20
18-26
29-29
22-11
15-23
18-10
17-19
26-33
16-20
26-14
21-14
28-18
15-22
22-18
30-21
159.6Avg total
78.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.081.6164.6+1.452%
Season at home (11)84.578.3162.7+6.264%
Season away (10)81.485.3166.7-3.940%
Last 10 (10)78.081.6159.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)84.279.2163.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.784.7155.4-14.021%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.677.7159.3+3.964%
vs Weaker (2)109.062.0171.0+47.0100%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Tallinna KalevValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H16/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A24/01
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H08/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A02/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
71.7Avg total
36.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.876.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.341.177.4-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)38.136.874.8+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.771.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.071.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.338.472.7-4.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.640.080.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)46.737.784.3+9.067%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A08/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A11/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A15/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H20/02
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A28/02
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/03
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/03
LBL
Parnu
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.1Avg total
36.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.376.8-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.537.775.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.878.1-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.677.1-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.341.475.6-7.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.939.178.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (2)49.526.576.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tallinna Kalev wins
5
Valga wins
DateGameScore
08/02/18Tallinna Kalev v Valga87-73
01/12/17Valga v Tallinna Kalev73-60
20/10/17Valga v Tallinna Kalev99-77
21/03/17Tallinna Kalev v Valga59-84
10/01/17Valga v Tallinna Kalev87-103
19/11/16Tallinna Kalev v Valga76-88
04/10/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev77-74
05/04/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev85-106
26/03/16Tallinna Kalev v Valga108-97
12/01/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev100-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/18ARapla64-65
14/02/18AParnu72-68
08/02/18HValga87-73
24/01/18ABC Kalev/Cramo53-98
20/01/18ATal Tech79-77
07/01/18ATartu Ulikool78-87
27/12/17HBC Kalev/Cramo72-86
16/12/17HParnu76-80
12/12/17AAudentese94-63
08/12/17ATartu Ulikool80-90
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/18AParnu95-79
10/03/18ABK Liepaja89-81
07/03/18HJekabpils72-63
02/03/18HTartu Ulikool76-96
28/02/18ALatvijas Universitate89-77
20/02/18HVEF Riga58-88
15/02/18ATartu Ulikool70-82
11/02/18ATal Tech88-81
08/02/18ATallinna Kalev73-87
05/02/18HParnu70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %44%43%45%
Points / game73.873.074.3
Allowed / game78.678.378.8
Point differential-4.8-5.3-4.5
Avg total152.4151.3153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLWLLL64%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game83.084.581.4
Allowed / game81.678.385.3
Point differential+1.4+6.2-3.9
Avg total164.6162.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2120195%91.768.4+23.3
2 Tartu Ulikool2215768%82.175.0+7.0
3 Rapla2112957%76.676.3+0.2
4 Valga21111052%83.081.6+1.4
5 Tallinna Kalev1881044%73.878.6-4.8
6 Parnu2291341%78.776.2+2.5
7 Tal Tech2031715%76.283.2-7.0
8 Audentese110110%58.3104.4-46.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev2219271987
Valga1718231068
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.