BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 81-89

33-26 20-16 14-26 14-21

Position#7

Record8-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game82.0

BK Liepaja

Valga 🏆

Position#5

Record4-8

FormLLWLW

Points / game67.5

Allowed / game75.0

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

71-97

-26

A29/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

70-78

-8

A21/01

LBL

Ventspils

66-93

-27

H03/02

LBL

Jekabpils

91-83

A11/02

LBL

BK Ogre

68-83

-15

H14/02

LBL

Jekabpils

89-73

+16

H21/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

87-73

+14

H24/02

LBL

VEF Riga

56-98

-42

H28/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

65-87

-22

H04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

74-76

-2

A07/03

LBL

17-26

28-24

14-21

12-26

19-16

22-22

22-24

7-16

14-25

20-29

15-21

17-18

23-19

31-12

21-22

16-30

14-21

18-23

15-25

21-14

20-18

27-21

14-18

28-16

23-23

15-12

21-26

28-12

15-22

14-36

14-25

13-15

9-22

17-18

27-19

12-28

20-20

15-10

16-25

23-21

157.8Avg total

73.7Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	73.6	82.0	155.7	-8.4	36%
Season at home (11)	73.4	83.5	156.9	-10.2	36%
Season away (11)	73.9	80.5	154.5	-6.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	84.1	157.8	-10.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	81.4	155.6	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	66.8	84.1	150.9	-17.2	11%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	77.4	77.2	154.6	+0.1	62%
vs Weaker (4)	82.0	76.2	158.2	+5.8	75%

This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Audentese

108-84

108

+24

A13/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

63-74

-11

A20/01

LBL

Parnu

70-82

-12

H05/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

73-87

-14

A08/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

88-81

A11/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

70-82

-12

A15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

58-88

-30

H20/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

89-77

+12

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

76-96

-20

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

72-63

H07/03

LBL

23-14

27-19

31-24

27-27

13-18

12-22

20-20

18-14

22-21

20-21

8-14

20-26

13-20

13-25

27-19

20-23

27-22

20-14

18-26

23-19

13-16

14-21

15-19

28-26

13-15

10-31

20-20

15-22

27-14

22-18

12-24

28-21

11-21

18-20

18-26

29-29

22-11

15-23

18-10

17-19

158.1Avg total

76.7Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	67.5	75.0	142.5	-7.5	33%
Season at home (6)	67.5	76.0	143.5	-8.5	33%
Season away (6)	67.5	74.0	141.5	-6.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	81.4	158.1	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	81.2	154.2	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	70.7	84.7	155.4	-14.0	21%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.1	76.0	155.1	+3.1	62%
vs Weaker (3)	96.3	66.3	162.7	+30.0	67%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	20.4	38.7	-2.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.6	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.5	37.8	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	69%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	11.3	33.7	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.8	21.8	38.7	-5.0	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.2	16.1	38.4	+6.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	15.5	31.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.3	38.5	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.6	38.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.0	21.1	38.1	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.6	18.8	36.5	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	67%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

45-50

-5

A29/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

41-38

A21/01

LBL

Ventspils

34-54

-20

H03/02

LBL

Jekabpils

54-31

+23

A11/02

LBL

BK Ogre

32-44

-12

H14/02

LBL

Jekabpils

47-39

H21/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

38-35

H24/02

LBL

VEF Riga

29-58

-29

H28/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

26-40

-14

H04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

35-30

A07/03

LBL

80.0Avg total

38.1Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	40.3	75.8	-4.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.5	42.5	77.0	-7.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.9	80.0	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.4	75.4	-5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	32.7	43.3	76.1	-10.6	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.5	35.8	76.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	35.8	73.5	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Audentese

50-33

+17

A13/01

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

25-40

-15

A20/01

LBL

Parnu

42-42

H05/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

26-45

-19

A08/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

47-36

+11

A11/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

27-37

-10

A15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

23-46

-23

H20/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

49-32

+17

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

29-41

-12

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

37-34

H07/03

LBL

74.1Avg total

35.5Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.2	75.2	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	37.3	74.6	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	39.1	75.9	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.6	74.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.0	71.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.3	41.4	75.6	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	37.2	75.4	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	28.3	72.7	+16.0	100%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	23.8	42.5	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.8	36.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.1	20.5	36.6	-4.4	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	17.0	42.7	+8.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	20.8	37.8	-3.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.6	18.8	35.3	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.5	16.8	42.2	+8.8	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.9	43.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.1	45.1	+0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.4	46.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.4	22.9	43.2	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	21.0	47.3	+5.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	40.2	75.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.4	39.1	76.5	-1.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.1	41.1	75.2	-7.1	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	42.2	77.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	33.4	40.0	73.4	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.2	40.5	84.8	+3.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	39.7	81.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	42.1	80.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.2	83.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.4	43.4	79.8	-6.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.8	38.8	79.7	+2.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	52.0	38.0	90.0	+14.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/17	Valga v BK Liepaja	77-80
29/03/17	BK Liepaja v Valga	108-85
21/12/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	58-93
02/04/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	84-67
29/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-73
16/11/12	Valga v BK Liepaja	60-57
04/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-66

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/18	A	Valmiera/ORDO	74-76
04/03/18	H	Latvijas Universitate	65-87
28/02/18	H	VEF Riga	56-98
24/02/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	87-73
21/02/18	H	Jekabpils	89-73
14/02/18	H	BK Ogre	68-83
11/02/18	A	Jekabpils	91-83
03/02/18	H	Ventspils	66-93
21/01/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	70-78
29/12/17	A	Ventspils	71-97

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/18	H	Jekabpils	72-63
02/03/18	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-96
28/02/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	89-77
20/02/18	H	VEF Riga	58-88
15/02/18	A	Tartu Ulikool	70-82
11/02/18	A	Tal Tech	88-81
08/02/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	73-87
05/02/18	H	Parnu	70-82
20/01/18	A	Ventspils	63-74
13/01/18	A	Audentese	108-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	36%
Home	LWWLL	36%
Away	WLLWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	36%	36%	36%
Points / game	73.6	73.4	73.9
Allowed / game	82.0	83.5	80.5
Point differential	-8.4	-10.2	-6.6
Avg total	155.7	156.9	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

Valga

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	33%
Home	LWLLW	33%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	67.5	67.5	67.5
Allowed / game	75.0	76.0	74.0
Point differential	-7.5	-8.5	-6.5
Avg total	142.5	143.5	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	20	19	1	95%	85.8	68.9	+16.9
2	VEF Riga	17	15	2	88%	85.1	66.5	+18.6
3	Jurmala	19	14	5	74%	81.2	73.5	+7.7
4	BK Ogre	21	14	7	67%	82.5	74.2	+8.3
5	BK Liepaja	22	8	14	36%	73.6	82.0	-8.4
6	Valga	12	4	8	33%	67.5	75.0	-7.5
7	Jekabpils	24	7	17	29%	67.7	75.8	-8.2
8	Latvijas Universitate	22	6	16	27%	73.7	79.8	-6.1
9	Valmiera/ORDO	25	4	21	16%	71.6	86.4	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	33	20	14	14	81
Valga	26	16	26	21	89

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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