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Valga vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:05
Final 73-60
17-22 9-15 22-9 25-14
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game77.3
Valga 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.3
Meetings · Valga v Tallinna Kalev
09 Mar 2019
VALG78
TALL90
01 Dec 2017
VALG73
TALL60
20 Oct 2017
VALG99
TALL77
10 Jan 2017
VALG87
TALL103
04 Oct 2016
VALG77
TALL74
05 Apr 2016
VALG85
TALL106
12 Jan 2016
VALG100
TALL108
10 Mar 2015
VALG88
TALL61
25 Oct 2014
VALG73
TALL66
14 Oct 2014
VALG86
TALL75
21 Feb 2014
VALG54
TALL71
22 Oct 2013
VALG81
TALL86
15 Mar 2013
VALG66
TALL58
13 Nov 2012
VALG68
TALL58
23 Mar 2012
VALG76
TALL82
01 Nov 2011
VALG76
TALL88
23 Feb 2011
VALG79
TALL89
07 Nov 2010
VALG61
TALL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/11
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/11
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jurmala
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/11
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A25/11
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
24-29
22-21
28-10
14-20
14-27
13-19
13-28
29-18
21-21
17-20
23-20
16-29
15-20
15-22
27-26
25-16
21-21
18-27
29-23
16-14
12-11
24-11
21-26
21-16
15-24
16-12
25-28
21-17
30-21
20-24
20-25
23-22
16-20
12-16
17-16
21-18
10-11
10-19
20-17
158.1Avg total
77.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.377.3170.6+16.086%
Season at home (5)98.073.0171.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)81.588.0169.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)77.980.2158.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)74.073.6147.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.187.3162.4-12.218%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.875.1158.9+8.675%
vs Weaker (5)97.262.8160.0+34.480%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A12/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H15/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H09/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A29/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
11-16
18-18
21-24
27-16
13-30
11-31
17-17
19-19
7-16
15-17
15-22
18-19
24-16
16-14
20-23
20-18
10-27
13-23
13-10
15-22
10-21
14-20
20-21
17-25
29-24
21-22
10-28
24-23
19-13
19-14
20-25
18-15
23-15
20-25
24-22
19-13
16-16
7-32
34-9
150.8Avg total
70.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.379.3152.6-6.057%
Season at home (4)69.077.2146.2-8.250%
Season away (3)79.082.0161.0-3.067%
Last 10 (10)70.979.9150.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)75.881.0156.8-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.981.8151.8-11.932%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.181.7162.9-0.657%
vs Weaker (4)87.073.2160.2+13.875%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
ValgaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A25/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H08/11
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/11
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jurmala
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/11
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A25/11
LBL
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.381.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.036.878.8+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.383.7-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.444.983.3-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.037.278.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker (5)50.829.280.0+21.6100%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A06/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H09/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H17/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
74.3Avg total
36.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.079.3-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.043.679.6-7.624%-
Last 30 away (13)41.437.679.0+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.274.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.540.975.4-6.426%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.643.788.3+0.957%-
vs Weaker (4)45.836.882.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valga wins
6
Tallinna Kalev wins
DateGameScore
20/10/17Valga v Tallinna Kalev99-77
21/03/17Tallinna Kalev v Valga59-84
10/01/17Valga v Tallinna Kalev87-103
19/11/16Tallinna Kalev v Valga76-88
04/10/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev77-74
05/04/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev85-106
26/03/16Tallinna Kalev v Valga108-97
12/01/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev100-108
07/11/15Tallinna Kalev v Valga104-96
24/03/15Tallinna Kalev v Valga73-64
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/17ABK Ogre61-65
21/11/17AJurmala68-74
17/11/17HTartu Ulikool91-87
11/11/17HBK Liepaja77-80
08/11/17HLatvijas Universitate73-62
04/11/17HParnu93-87
31/10/17ABC Kalev/Cramo73-97
28/10/17ARapla90-79
25/10/17AVEF Riga54-94
20/10/17HTallinna Kalev99-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/17HRapla76-70
03/11/17HTartu Ulikool85-77
29/10/17ATal Tech82-75
20/10/17AValga77-99
17/10/17HBC Kalev/Cramo59-84
09/10/17HRapla56-78
06/10/17AParnu78-72
20/04/17ATartu Ulikool56-74
15/04/17HTartu Ulikool68-94
12/04/17ATartu Ulikool72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game93.398.081.5
Allowed / game77.373.088.0
Point differential+16.0+25.0-6.5
Avg total170.6171.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tallinna Kalev
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game73.369.079.0
Allowed / game79.377.282.0
Point differential-6.0-8.2-3.0
Avg total152.6146.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%84.369.8+14.5
2 Valga76186%93.377.3+16.0
3 Rapla85362%78.872.9+5.9
4 Tallinna Kalev74357%73.379.3-6.0
5 Parnu83538%80.176.9+3.2
6 Tartu Ulikool62433%79.375.7+3.7
7 Tal Tech71614%75.178.4-3.3
8 Audentese5050%54.4100.2-45.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga179222573
Tallinna Kalev221591460
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