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Tarleton vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-63
37-24 36-39
Position#183
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#297
Record4-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tarleton v Chicago State
11 Jan 2023
TARL73
CHIC63
05 Feb 2022
TARL57
CHIC54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
40-37
49-23
49-32
30-39
27-41
27-30
22-45
38-37
29-44
52-24
62-32
31-16
39-47
28-29
35-40
36-35
32-30
24-44
44-31
141.3Avg total
72.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.667.8141.3+5.850%
Season at home (7)83.460.6144.0+22.986%
Season away (9)65.973.3139.2-7.422%
Last 10 (10)72.968.4141.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)76.665.6142.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)62.573.9136.4-11.40%
vs Similar (7)65.173.6138.7-8.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.059.5134.5+15.592%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A20/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A22/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A29/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A31/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#501
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
45-47
38-34
40-27
25-47
41-19
42-27
23-39
26-32
26-31
23-33
29-33
30-38
25-20
28-29
35-41
23-42
36-34
40-35
50-35
135.2Avg total
66.1Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.273.3139.5-7.222%
Season at home (4)80.865.8146.5+15.0100%
Season away (14)62.075.5137.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)66.169.1135.2-3.020%
Last 5 (5)63.868.0131.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)62.475.0137.3-12.69%
vs Similar (3)68.068.7136.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (4)71.568.0139.5+3.550%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
TarletonChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A07/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.864.2+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.629.164.7+6.657%-
Last 30 away (16)31.432.263.7-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.030.565.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.663.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.936.063.9-8.10%-
vs Similar (7)32.334.366.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.325.062.3+12.392%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A14/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A22/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A29/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A31/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#501
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/01
NCAA
65.9Avg total
30.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.036.266.2-6.317%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.735.367.0-3.640%-
Last 30 away (20)29.136.765.8-7.65%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.665.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.464.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.837.666.4-8.89%-
vs Similar (3)38.028.066.0+10.067%-
vs Weaker (4)30.534.565.0-4.025%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tarleton wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Chicago State v Tarleton60-79
06/02/22Tarleton v Chicago State57-54
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ASam Houston St.68-75
06/01/23HSouthern Utah68-65
31/12/22AAbilene Christian63-69
30/12/22HUT Arlington70-63
22/12/22HHuston Tillotson114-56
18/12/22AAir Force67-81
11/12/22AUCF Knights49-75
07/12/22ABaylor57-80
03/12/22HWiley98-55
30/11/22HWeber State75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HEWU Phantoms90-70
31/12/22AOhio59-76
29/12/22ABall State63-70
22/12/22AMinnesota55-58
20/12/22AIllinois State52-66
17/12/22ASouthern Illinois52-63
14/12/22AMurray State65-66
11/12/22AUT Martin74-75 OT
04/12/22HSouthern Indiana78-61
02/12/22ABethune-Cookman73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%86%22%
Points / game73.683.465.9
Allowed / game67.860.673.3
Point differential+5.8+22.9-7.4
Avg total141.3144.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18414
Win %22%100%0%
Points / game66.280.862.0
Allowed / game73.365.875.5
Point differential-7.2+15.0-13.5
Avg total139.5146.5137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1713476%76.866.7+10.1
2 Southern Utah1610662%85.175.1+10.1
3 California Baptist1710759%67.163.6+3.5
4 Utah Tech169756%75.970.0+5.9
5 Abilene Christian179853%77.267.6+9.6
6 Tarleton168850%73.667.8+5.8
7 UT Arlington1751229%66.165.2+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson1810856%79.176.2+2.9
2 Wagner158753%64.563.3+1.1
3 Stonehill1871139%68.873.3-4.5
4 St. Francis (PA)1861233%71.475.0-3.6
5 Central Connecticut State1841422%64.469.9-5.5
6 Chicago State1841422%66.273.3-7.2
7 LIU Sharks1621412%68.783.4-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton373673
Chicago State243963
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