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UTRGV vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-75
17-51 41-24
Position#359
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#186
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game86.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H24/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
H26/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#652
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H07/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A11/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-51
39-37
38-40
45-43
36-50
34-38
28-31
42-43
59-25
51-34
27-61
52-39
22-33
33-55
33-47
33-43
43-39
49-34
23-43
34-33
161.0Avg total
77.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.581.0157.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)86.369.3155.7+17.067%
Season away (3)66.792.7159.3-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.983.1161.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)69.885.4155.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.383.8151.1-16.50%
vs Similar (14)71.372.0143.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)102.073.8175.8+28.2100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
40-32
29-41
45-44
26-29
38-32
34-30
52-39
34-30
25-33
41-56
35-49
31-34
44-47
48-34
52-52
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
151.9Avg total
74.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.486.2162.6-9.820%
Season at home (1)100.086.0186.0+14.0100%
Season away (4)70.586.2156.8-15.80%
Last 10 (10)74.077.9151.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)76.486.2162.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.973.0133.9-12.10%
vs Similar (15)68.572.2140.7-3.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)74.073.5147.5+0.550%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -1.6-1.6
UTRGVArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H24/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#652
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H07/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A11/11
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H25/11
NCAA
77.1Avg total
35.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.336.972.2-1.638%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.935.273.1+2.850%-
Last 30 away (13)32.239.071.2-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.142.077.1-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.644.674.2-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.939.168.0-10.210%-
vs Similar (13)33.436.870.2-3.431%-
vs Weaker (5)50.833.284.0+17.6100%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
34.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.033.963.9-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.534.564.9-4.015%-
Last 30 away (17)29.633.563.2-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.871.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.534.261.7-6.69%-
vs Similar (15)30.634.965.5-4.320%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)34.529.864.2+4.875%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HHawaii57-76
21/11/23HNorth American Stallions92-73
18/11/23AOklahoma66-90
15/11/23ATCU55-88
11/11/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes79-100
07/11/23HSouthwest Adventist110-59
08/03/23ATarleton70-74
02/03/23ACalifornia Baptist70-88
26/02/23HTarleton99-95 OT
24/02/23HUtah Tech81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
28/02/23ACoastal Carolina86-69
25/02/23ALouisiana Monroe64-61
23/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette74-85
18/02/23HGeorgia State75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game76.586.366.7
Allowed / game81.069.392.7
Point differential-4.5+17.0-26.0
Avg total157.5155.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game76.4100.070.5
Allowed / game86.286.086.2
Point differential-9.8+14.0-15.8
Avg total162.6186.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State75271%79.758.6+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Lamar63350%83.775.2+8.5
4 Incarnate Word63350%79.778.8+0.8
5 Nicholls State73443%76.376.4-0.1
6 TX A&M Commerce73443%69.174.4-5.3
7 New Orleans52340%82.675.8+6.8
8 Texas A&M-CC62433%78.369.5+8.8
9 UTRGV62433%76.581.0-4.5
10 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
11 SE Louisiana61517%69.381.0-11.7
12 Houston Christian4040%72.293.5-21.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison660100%92.080.5+11.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette64267%83.773.0+10.7
3 Appalachian State53260%77.866.8+11.0
4 Troy63350%86.569.5+17.0
5 Georgia State63350%77.776.8+0.8
6 South Alabama84450%73.077.8-4.8
7 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
8 Southern Miss73443%67.164.1+3.0
9 Texas State73443%65.070.0-5.0
10 Marshall62433%74.081.2-7.2
11 Old Dominion41325%68.073.0-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State51420%76.486.2-9.8
14 Georgia Southern6060%70.385.0-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV174158
Arkansas State512475
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