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Tartu Ulikool vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v BK Liepaja
19 Dec 2026
TUL v BK L
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TUL87
BK L77
03 Jan 2025
TUL81
BK L80
22 Dec 2023
TUL78
BK L63
25 Jan 2023
TUL89
BK L62
09 Mar 2022
TUL78
BK L71
02 Mar 2019
TUL86
BK L68
01 Mar 2016
TUL93
BK L66
26 Feb 2015
TUL59
BK L49
28 Sep 2014
TUL61
BK L74
17 Nov 2012
TUL87
BK L55
07 Jan 2012
TUL82
BK L81
05 Feb 2011
TUL73
BK L69
26 Oct 2009
TUL64
BK L60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 80
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#5
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 80
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 80
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
20-23
19-31
17-33
23-26
24-30
21-22
15-19
26-22
16-24
24-28
26-23
18-16
18-18
17-17
25-7
10-25
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.375.3156.7+6.067%
Season at home (4)78.872.8151.5+6.050%
Season away (5)83.477.4160.8+6.080%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)81.087.6168.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.991.6176.5-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.474.2158.6+10.280%
vs Weaker (10)88.077.6165.6+10.490%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 74
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 74
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 74
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 74
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 74
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 74
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 74
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.379.7158.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (12)88.879.4168.2+9.458%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
Tartu UlikoolBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.6Avg total
41.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.243.283.4-2.923%-
Last 30 away (17)43.944.688.6-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.186.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.749.188.9-9.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.838.685.4+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (10)44.039.083.0+5.060%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.341.081.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (12)47.841.489.2+6.467%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
52.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLLLWWWLWW
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#11
+0.2
Net rating
-2.0
92.0
Offensive rating
91.6
91.8
Defensive rating
93.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.3%
3-point %
33.1%
68.9%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 91.6Defence91.8 · 93.5Shooting52.5% · 49.4%3-point %33.3% · 33.1%Ball care15.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Tartu Ulikool wins
0
BK Liepaja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AParnu70-67
11/11/26ADziki Warszawa84-91
07/11/26HValmiera Glass Via86-93
02/11/26AWurzburg79-113
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game81.378.883.4
Allowed / game75.372.877.4
Point differential+6.0+6.0+6.0
Avg total156.7151.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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