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Tartu Ulikool vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-71
20-23 20-16 14-17 18-15
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#3
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.6
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Parnu
30 Jan 2027
TUL v PAR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
TUL80
PAR71
01 Nov 2025
TUL83
PAR71
30 Nov 2024
TUL94
PAR91
11 May 2024
TUL75
PAR78
07 May 2024
TUL80
PAR77
16 Dec 2023
TUL88
PAR78
12 May 2023
TUL78
PAR68
08 May 2023
TUL72
PAR71
02 May 2023
TUL56
PAR71
14 Feb 2023
TUL79
PAR68
23 May 2022
TUL68
PAR69
16 Apr 2022
TUL89
PAR91
17 Nov 2021
TUL82
PAR77
27 Mar 2021
TUL77
PAR89
23 Jan 2021
TUL67
PAR91
08 Nov 2020
TUL88
PAR80
09 Mar 2019
TUL52
PAR68
12 Jan 2018
TUL84
PAR67
27 Oct 2017
TUL78
PAR62
15 May 2017
TUL66
PAR57
11 May 2017
TUL72
PAR54
20 Jan 2017
TUL88
PAR69
05 Dec 2015
TUL93
PAR63
16 Oct 2015
TUL71
PAR50
21 Oct 2014
TUL90
PAR63
31 Mar 2014
TUL78
PAR50
06 Mar 2012
TUL122
PAR72
14 Dec 2011
TUL111
PAR68
01 Mar 2011
TUL99
PAR66
08 Nov 2010
TUL118
PAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
no box
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
65-60
65
60
+5
64avg 76
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
83-61
83
61
+22
78avg 76
A18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
95-74
95
74
+21
101avg 76
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
56-71
56
71
-15
50avg 76
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
95-81
95
81
+14
86avg 76
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-22
22-25
19-18
24-23
26-20
15-15
23-21
31-23
13-12
17-17
31-17
12-18
11-27
18-22
26-22
14-8
20-16
10-21
19-15
15-18
22-16
12-17
16-9
23-21
19-22
27-10
14-8
19-23
33-13
28-16
15-22
15-19
17-21
13-15
11-16
26-30
20-19
24-12
25-20
151.8Avg total
78.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.869.4148.2+9.480%
Season at home (3)72.068.3140.3+3.767%
Season away (2)89.071.0160.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.473.4151.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.680.2150.8-9.610%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.177.0156.1+2.157%
vs Weaker (13)85.270.8156.1+14.485%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 68
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 68
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 68
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 68
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
71-56
71
56
+15
58avg 68
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
67avg 68
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
19-23
15-22
14-26
14-15
23-15
20-36
20-27
16-19
14-29
27-17
21-18
27-19
23-13
11-24
18-23
20-16
21-24
19-13
23-18
33-19
15-16
14-14
18-23
13-16
18-21
14-16
13-22
21-14
21-14
16-20
20-17
19-15
21-17
15-13
16-11
30-26
19-20
12-24
20-25
155.3Avg total
76.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.775.6153.3+2.157%
Season at home (3)74.080.3154.3-6.333%
Season away (4)80.572.0152.5+8.575%
Last 10 (10)76.778.6155.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)73.672.6146.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.486.4159.9-13.011%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.676.6153.2+0.046%
vs Weaker (8)92.575.6168.1+16.975%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Tartu UlikoolParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.2+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.736.777.4+4.156%-
Last 30 away (12)39.839.679.3+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.238.874.0-3.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.940.979.7-2.029%-
vs Weaker (13)45.135.580.5+9.677%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
76.8Avg total
40.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.878.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.977.8+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.679.2+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.176.8+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.677.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.942.277.1-7.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.535.877.4+5.769%-
vs Weaker (8)46.036.082.0+10.088%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.0
51.1%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
29.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.614.8
68.5%
69.1%14.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.1
51.1%
51.6%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.1
32.7%
29.1%21.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.7%
69.1%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 08 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLWWWWLWWL
Parnu
LWWLWWLLLL
#2
League position
#3
+13.0
Net rating
+2.6
103.9
Offensive rating
105.7
90.8
Defensive rating
103.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
22.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
32.7%
67.2%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 105.7Defence90.8 · 103.1Shooting49.7% · 50.3%3-point %31.8% · 32.7%Ball care22.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds38.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tartu Ulikool wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu56-71
14/02/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu79-68
07/12/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool86-91 OT
26/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool73-60
23/05/22Tartu Ulikool v Parnu68-69
20/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool93-88
16/04/22Tartu Ulikool v Parnu89-91
22/01/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool76-66
17/11/21Tartu Ulikool v Parnu82-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23AParnu95-81
02/05/23HParnu56-71
23/04/23HKeila KK95-74
18/04/23AKeila KK83-61
14/04/23HKeila KK65-60
08/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo63-60
07/04/23APrometey67-89
01/04/23HVentspils92-69
29/03/23AVentspils88-79
24/03/23HVentspils80-90
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23HTartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23ATartu Ulikool71-56
28/04/23ARapla78-65
25/04/23HRapla58-75
21/04/23ARapla80-72
17/04/23HRapla83-71
13/04/23ARapla93-95 OT
18/03/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-83
15/03/23HTallinna Kalev77-93
12/03/23ABK Ogre68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game78.872.089.0
Allowed / game69.468.371.0
Point differential+9.4+3.7+18.0
Avg total148.2140.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game77.774.080.5
Allowed / game75.680.372.0
Point differential+2.1-6.3+8.5
Avg total153.3154.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%86.862.0+24.8
2 Tartu Ulikool54180%78.869.4+9.4
3 Viimsi53260%74.878.0-3.2
4 Parnu74357%77.775.6+2.1
5 Rapla52340%75.678.4-2.8
6 Tal Tech3030%72.079.7-7.7
7 Keila KK3030%65.081.0-16.0
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%58.386.7-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2020141872
Parnu2316171571
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