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Parnu vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-79
19-15 17-29 28-20 21-15
Position#3
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.1
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game69.7
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals· Parnu Spordihall
Other2022-23
Meetings · Parnu v Tartu Ulikool
15 Nov 2026
PAR v TUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
PAR88
TUL89
04 Mar 2026
PAR70
TUL91
14 Jan 2025
PAR87
TUL90
13 May 2024
PAR63
TUL71
09 May 2024
PAR78
TUL86
07 Mar 2024
PAR84
TUL82
10 May 2023
PAR85
TUL79
05 May 2023
PAR81
TUL95
07 Dec 2022
PAR86
TUL91
26 May 2022
PAR73
TUL60
20 May 2022
PAR93
TUL88
22 Jan 2022
PAR76
TUL66
06 Mar 2021
PAR84
TUL62
27 Jan 2021
PAR87
TUL65
14 Oct 2020
PAR76
TUL62
17 Oct 2018
PAR76
TUL82
31 Mar 2018
PAR64
TUL83
22 Dec 2017
PAR70
TUL82
13 May 2017
PAR58
TUL66
04 Feb 2017
PAR62
TUL67
15 Oct 2016
PAR68
TUL81
26 Mar 2016
PAR61
TUL70
08 Jan 2016
PAR71
TUL79
04 Apr 2015
PAR88
TUL69
23 Jan 2015
PAR58
TUL98
04 Mar 2014
PAR53
TUL73
19 Dec 2013
PAR68
TUL105
20 Mar 2013
PAR83
TUL70
21 Oct 2012
PAR50
TUL80
22 Jan 2012
PAR99
TUL93
19 Nov 2011
PAR78
TUL96
12 Mar 2011
PAR60
TUL93
26 Nov 2010
PAR68
TUL115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 66
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 66
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 66
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 66
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
71-56
71
56
+15
58avg 66
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
67avg 66
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
56avg 66
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-15
20-36
20-27
16-19
14-29
27-17
21-18
27-19
23-13
11-24
18-23
20-16
21-24
19-13
23-18
33-19
15-16
14-14
18-23
13-16
18-21
14-16
13-22
21-14
21-14
16-20
20-17
19-15
21-17
15-13
16-11
30-26
19-20
12-24
20-25
23-20
16-20
17-14
15-18
154.7Avg total
77.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.975.1152.0+1.850%
Season at home (3)74.080.3154.3-6.333%
Season away (5)78.672.0150.6+6.660%
Last 10 (10)77.077.7154.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)71.872.6144.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.984.9155.8-14.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.276.3152.5-0.143%
vs Weaker (8)92.575.6168.1+16.975%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
65-60
65
60
+5
64avg 75
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
83-61
83
61
+22
78avg 75
A18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
95-74
95
74
+21
101avg 75
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
56-71
56
71
-15
50avg 75
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
95-81
95
81
+14
86avg 75
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 75
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
26-20
15-15
23-21
31-23
13-12
17-17
31-17
12-18
11-27
18-22
26-22
14-8
20-16
10-21
19-15
15-18
22-16
12-17
16-9
23-21
19-22
27-10
14-8
19-23
33-13
28-16
15-22
15-19
17-21
13-15
11-16
26-30
20-19
24-12
25-20
20-23
20-16
14-17
18-15
149.1Avg total
77.6Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.769.7147.3+8.083%
Season at home (4)72.069.0141.0+3.075%
Season away (2)89.071.0160.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.671.5149.1+6.180%
Last 5 (5)80.271.6151.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.480.7151.1-10.211%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.276.2154.5+2.062%
vs Weaker (13)85.270.8156.1+14.485%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
ParnuTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.5Avg total
40.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.577.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.236.176.2+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)40.538.679.2+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.877.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.041.574.5-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.436.177.5+5.264%-
vs Weaker (8)46.036.082.0+10.088%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.8Avg total
40.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.778.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.236.477.7+4.861%-
Last 30 away (12)39.839.679.3+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.878.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.738.374.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.040.679.6-1.638%-
vs Weaker (13)45.135.580.5+9.677%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.0
49.4%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.6%
29.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.7%
69.1%13.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
52.9%
51.6%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
29.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
69.1%13.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 10 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWWLWWLLL
Tartu Ulikool
WWLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+1.8
Net rating
+11.6
104.5
Offensive rating
103.3
102.8
Defensive rating
91.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
41.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
23.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.6%
3-point %
31.4%
52.3%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 103.3Defence102.8 · 91.7Shooting48.7% · 50.5%3-point %31.6% · 31.4%Ball care17.9% · 23.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 38.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Parnu   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Parnu wins
4
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateGameScore
08/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu72-71
05/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu56-71
14/02/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu79-68
07/12/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool86-91 OT
26/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool73-60
23/05/22Tartu Ulikool v Parnu68-69
20/05/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool93-88
16/04/22Tartu Ulikool v Parnu89-91
22/01/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool76-66
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23ATartu Ulikool71-72
05/05/23HTartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23ATartu Ulikool71-56
28/04/23ARapla78-65
25/04/23HRapla58-75
21/04/23ARapla80-72
17/04/23HRapla83-71
13/04/23ARapla93-95 OT
18/03/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-83
15/03/23HTallinna Kalev77-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23HParnu72-71
05/05/23AParnu95-81
02/05/23HParnu56-71
23/04/23HKeila KK95-74
18/04/23AKeila KK83-61
14/04/23HKeila KK65-60
08/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo63-60
07/04/23APrometey67-89
01/04/23HVentspils92-69
29/03/23AVentspils88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game76.974.078.6
Allowed / game75.180.372.0
Point differential+1.8-6.3+6.6
Avg total152.0154.3150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Tartu Ulikool
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game77.772.089.0
Allowed / game69.769.071.0
Point differential+8.0+3.0+18.0
Avg total147.3141.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%85.364.3+21.0
2 Tartu Ulikool65183%77.769.7+8.0
3 Parnu84450%76.975.1+1.8
4 Viimsi63350%75.078.0-3.0
5 Rapla52340%75.678.4-2.8
6 Tal Tech3030%72.079.7-7.7
7 Keila KK3030%65.081.0-16.0
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%58.386.7-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1917282185
Tartu Ulikool1529201579
← all games of the day
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