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Parnu vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-86
19-17 22-22 23-22 14-25
Position#6
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game71.0
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals· Parnu Spordihall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Parnu v Tartu Ulikool
15 Nov 2026
PAR v TUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
PAR88
TUL89
04 Mar 2026
PAR70
TUL91
14 Jan 2025
PAR87
TUL90
13 May 2024
PAR63
TUL71
09 May 2024
PAR78
TUL86
07 Mar 2024
PAR84
TUL82
10 May 2023
PAR85
TUL79
05 May 2023
PAR81
TUL95
07 Dec 2022
PAR86
TUL91
26 May 2022
PAR73
TUL60
20 May 2022
PAR93
TUL88
22 Jan 2022
PAR76
TUL66
06 Mar 2021
PAR84
TUL62
27 Jan 2021
PAR87
TUL65
14 Oct 2020
PAR76
TUL62
17 Oct 2018
PAR76
TUL82
31 Mar 2018
PAR64
TUL83
22 Dec 2017
PAR70
TUL82
13 May 2017
PAR58
TUL66
04 Feb 2017
PAR62
TUL67
15 Oct 2016
PAR68
TUL81
26 Mar 2016
PAR61
TUL70
08 Jan 2016
PAR71
TUL79
04 Apr 2015
PAR88
TUL69
23 Jan 2015
PAR58
TUL98
04 Mar 2014
PAR53
TUL73
19 Dec 2013
PAR68
TUL105
20 Mar 2013
PAR83
TUL70
21 Oct 2012
PAR50
TUL80
22 Jan 2012
PAR99
TUL93
19 Nov 2011
PAR78
TUL96
12 Mar 2011
PAR60
TUL93
26 Nov 2010
PAR68
TUL115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 70
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
74-101
74
101
-27
69avg 70
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 70
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 70
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
87avg 70
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
63avg 70
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
57avg 70
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
63avg 70
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 70
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 70
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
26-14
16-22
23-25
15-24
28-23
20-28
11-26
30-13
12-25
18-25
17-20
16-18
19-18
13-17
15-24
22-20
19-9
22-21
16-21
18-22
19-24
20-27
12-20
14-11
13-7
12-20
21-15
13-11
14-25
18-20
21-10
18-17
17-9
27-19
25-22
20-22
15-22
18-17
24-19
152.7Avg total
74.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.274.0149.2+1.250%
Season at home (3)75.363.7139.0+11.7100%
Season away (3)75.084.3159.3-9.30%
Last 10 (10)74.778.0152.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)74.474.6149.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.582.8157.3-8.415%
vs Similar (11)75.074.9149.9+0.155%
vs Weaker (6)85.871.0156.8+14.883%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 72
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
55avg 72
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
62avg 72
A26/03
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
69-103
69
103
-34
53avg 72
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 72
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 72
A05/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#7
W
105-65
105
65
+40
109avg 72
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 72
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
72-65
72
65
+7
72avg 72
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 72
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-13
23-23
21-30
22-19
12-9
16-25
13-24
18-25
21-18
15-22
15-27
12-27
19-26
20-17
18-33
18-19
23-18
24-18
17-14
18-21
24-25
18-30
23-27
22-24
29-10
27-11
27-20
21-16
21-15
24-24
19-22
15-18
25-15
10-10
22-22
22-20
22-15
17-18
19-24
160.6Avg total
79.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.571.0156.5+14.5100%
Season at home (3)85.769.0154.7+16.7100%
Season away (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.581.1160.6-1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.077.4162.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.173.4138.5-8.238%
vs Similar (7)72.983.9156.7-11.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.567.6151.1+15.987%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
ParnuTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
71.3Avg total
36.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.575.3+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.171.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.079.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.871.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.066.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.642.680.2-5.023%-
vs Similar (11)35.433.969.3+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)42.733.275.8+9.567%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/03
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A05/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.7Avg total
40.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.336.376.6+4.069%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.132.975.1+9.293%-
Last 30 away (15)38.639.478.0-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.077.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.879.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.039.476.4-2.443%-
vs Similar (7)36.441.177.6-4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.732.576.2+11.193%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.8
49.6%
47.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.415.8
67.5%
69.4%15.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.8
53.4%
47.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
31.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
69.4%15.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLWLWLLLW
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWLWLLLW
#6
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
-2.2
100.2
Offensive rating
105.9
105.0
Defensive rating
108.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
28.2%
74.3%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 105.9Defence105.0 · 108.0Shooting49.1% · 49.4%3-point %32.3% · 28.2%Ball care19.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Parnu wins
7
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateGameScore
07/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu80-77
07/03/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool84-82
16/12/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu88-78
12/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu78-68
10/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool85-79
08/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu72-71
05/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu56-71
14/02/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu79-68
07/12/22Parnu v Tartu Ulikool86-91 OT
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/24ATartu Ulikool77-80
02/05/24HKeila KK87-67
01/05/24AKeila KK79-80 OT
28/04/24HKeila KK60-53
26/04/24AKeila KK69-93
24/04/24HKeila KK79-71
01/04/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
29/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-83
23/03/24APrometey74-101
17/03/24ATallinna Kalev82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/24HParnu80-77
29/04/24HViimsi72-65
26/04/24AViimsi85-77
24/04/24HViimsi105-65
05/04/24AVentspils83-103
03/04/24HVentspils82-69
29/03/24AVentspils69-103
26/03/24AVoluntari69-92
22/03/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
20/03/24ATal Tech87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.275.375.0
Allowed / game74.063.784.3
Point differential+1.2+11.7-9.3
Avg total149.2139.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Tartu Ulikool
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.585.785.0
Allowed / game71.069.077.0
Point differential+14.5+16.7+8.0
Avg total156.5154.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%91.057.2+33.8
2 Tartu Ulikool440100%85.571.0+14.5
3 Parnu63350%75.274.0+1.2
4 Rapla63350%74.885.0-10.2
5 Tal Tech52340%80.879.6+1.2
6 Keila KK52340%72.874.8-2.0
7 Viimsi3030%69.087.3-18.3
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%59.386.0-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1922231478
Tartu Ulikool1722222586
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