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Tartu Ulikool vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-78
21-24 15-25 21-12 18-17
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.7
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Parnu
30 Jan 2027
TUL v PAR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
TUL80
PAR71
01 Nov 2025
TUL83
PAR71
30 Nov 2024
TUL94
PAR91
11 May 2024
TUL75
PAR78
07 May 2024
TUL80
PAR77
16 Dec 2023
TUL88
PAR78
12 May 2023
TUL78
PAR68
08 May 2023
TUL72
PAR71
02 May 2023
TUL56
PAR71
14 Feb 2023
TUL79
PAR68
23 May 2022
TUL68
PAR69
16 Apr 2022
TUL89
PAR91
17 Nov 2021
TUL82
PAR77
27 Mar 2021
TUL77
PAR89
23 Jan 2021
TUL67
PAR91
08 Nov 2020
TUL88
PAR80
09 Mar 2019
TUL52
PAR68
12 Jan 2018
TUL84
PAR67
27 Oct 2017
TUL78
PAR62
15 May 2017
TUL66
PAR57
11 May 2017
TUL72
PAR54
20 Jan 2017
TUL88
PAR69
05 Dec 2015
TUL93
PAR63
16 Oct 2015
TUL71
PAR50
21 Oct 2014
TUL90
PAR63
31 Mar 2014
TUL78
PAR50
06 Mar 2012
TUL122
PAR72
14 Dec 2011
TUL111
PAR68
01 Mar 2011
TUL99
PAR66
08 Nov 2010
TUL118
PAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
55avg 72
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
62avg 72
A26/03
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
69-103
69
103
-34
53avg 72
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 72
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 72
A05/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#7
W
105-65
105
65
+40
109avg 72
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 72
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
72-65
72
65
+7
72avg 72
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 72
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 72
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
12-9
16-25
13-24
18-25
21-18
15-22
15-27
12-27
19-26
20-17
18-33
18-19
23-18
24-18
17-14
18-21
24-25
18-30
23-27
22-24
29-10
27-11
27-20
21-16
21-15
24-24
19-22
15-18
25-15
10-10
22-22
22-20
22-15
17-18
19-24
17-19
22-22
22-23
25-14
160.0Avg total
79.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.672.4158.0+13.2100%
Season at home (3)85.769.0154.7+16.7100%
Season away (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.480.6160.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)85.672.4158.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.173.4138.5-8.238%
vs Similar (7)72.983.9156.7-11.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.367.6150.9+15.787%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
74-101
74
101
-27
69avg 70
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 70
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 70
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
87avg 70
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
63avg 70
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
57avg 70
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
63avg 70
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 70
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 70
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 70
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
28-23
20-28
11-26
30-13
12-25
18-25
17-20
16-18
19-18
13-17
15-24
22-20
19-9
22-21
16-21
18-22
19-24
20-27
12-20
14-11
13-7
12-20
21-15
13-11
14-25
18-20
21-10
18-17
17-9
27-19
25-22
20-22
15-22
18-17
24-19
19-17
22-22
23-22
14-25
153.4Avg total
74.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.675.7151.3-0.143%
Season at home (4)76.069.2145.2+6.875%
Season away (3)75.084.3159.3-9.30%
Last 10 (10)74.379.1153.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)76.273.2149.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.783.3160.0-6.615%
vs Similar (11)75.074.9149.9+0.155%
vs Weaker (6)85.871.0156.8+14.883%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Tartu UlikoolParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/03
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A05/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.4Avg total
40.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.836.576.3+3.366%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.332.874.1+8.592%-
Last 30 away (16)38.639.578.1-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.178.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.039.476.4-2.443%-
vs Similar (7)36.441.177.6-4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.732.975.7+9.887%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
72.2Avg total
36.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.676.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.534.272.7+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.079.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.972.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.665.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.942.881.7-3.831%-
vs Similar (11)35.433.969.3+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)42.733.275.8+9.567%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.6
53.7%
47.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.7
29.3%
31.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
69.4%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
47.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.714.4
66.4%
69.4%14.4
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWWLWLLL
Parnu
LLWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#6
-1.6
Net rating
-6.3
106.2
Offensive rating
100.4
107.8
Defensive rating
106.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.3%
3-point %
32.4%
61.8%
Assist %
72.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 100.4Defence107.8 · 106.6Shooting50.2% · 49.8%3-point %29.3% · 32.4%Ball care17.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tartu Ulikool wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
09/05/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu80-77
07/03/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool84-82
16/12/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu88-78
12/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu78-68
10/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool85-79
08/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu72-71
05/05/23Parnu v Tartu Ulikool81-95
02/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu56-71
14/02/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu79-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24AParnu86-78
07/05/24HParnu80-77
29/04/24HViimsi72-65
26/04/24AViimsi85-77
24/04/24HViimsi105-65
05/04/24AVentspils83-103
03/04/24HVentspils82-69
29/03/24AVentspils69-103
26/03/24AVoluntari69-92
22/03/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/24HTartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24ATartu Ulikool77-80
02/05/24HKeila KK87-67
01/05/24AKeila KK79-80 OT
28/04/24HKeila KK60-53
26/04/24AKeila KK69-93
24/04/24HKeila KK79-71
01/04/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
29/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-83
23/03/24APrometey74-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.685.785.5
Allowed / game72.469.077.5
Point differential+13.2+16.7+8.0
Avg total158.0154.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game75.676.075.0
Allowed / game75.769.284.3
Point differential-0.1+6.8-9.3
Avg total151.3145.2159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo550100%94.859.0+35.8
2 Tartu Ulikool550100%85.672.4+13.2
3 Parnu73443%75.675.7-0.1
4 Rapla73443%73.688.6-15.0
5 Tal Tech52340%80.879.6+1.2
6 Keila KK52340%72.874.8-2.0
7 Viimsi3030%69.087.3-18.3
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%59.386.0-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2115211875
Parnu2425121778
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