Tartu Ulikool vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 May 2016

Tip-off: 16:10

Final 92-76

26-24 17-22 25-13 24-17

Position#2

Record23-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game72.5

Tartu Ulikool 🏆

Tallinna Kalev

Position#4

Record22-13

FormWLWLL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game84.1

Korvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu Ulikool Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

70-61

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Siauliai

81-74

H29/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-78

-10

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Siauliai

76-102

102

-26

A06/04

Baltic League

Valga

92-76

+16

A08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

103-58

103

+45

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

100-82

100

+18

A19/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

107-73

107

+34

H21/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

87-56

+31

H30/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

97-74

+23

A03/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

14-19

15-21

23-16

18-5

16-20

24-16

19-20

22-18

18-22

18-16

14-24

18-16

21-20

27-28

8-28

20-26

20-9

22-24

24-19

26-24

26-16

28-13

30-17

19-12

28-21

21-28

28-12

23-21

30-18

23-16

17-18

37-21

14-12

23-17

26-18

24-9

22-26

26-14

23-16

26-18

161.5Avg total

88.1Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	85.1	72.5	157.6	+12.6	77%
Season at home (12)	90.1	70.9	161.0	+19.2	83%
Season away (18)	81.7	73.6	155.3	+8.2	72%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	73.4	161.5	+14.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	98.8	68.6	167.4	+30.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.6	84.1	156.7	-11.6	14%
vs Similar (4)	88.8	88.8	177.5	+0.0	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.2	71.4	160.5	+17.8	95%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna Kalev Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-86

-13

H24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

108-97

108

+11

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

86-83

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

106-85

106

+21

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

75-70

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

75-68

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

83-85

-2

H19/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

88-87 OT

A21/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

56-87

-31

A30/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

74-97

-23

H03/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

22-28

14-16

19-18

18-24

33-22

24-20

28-28

23-27

25-28

13-21

29-18

19-16

22-21

25-20

29-21

30-23

18-19

23-16

17-17

17-18

19-23

13-17

23-17

20-11

24-14

12-17

22-29

25-25

17-20

16-15

18-20

20-16

12-14

17-23

18-26

9-24

26-22

14-26

16-23

18-26

166.9Avg total

82.4Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	86.6	84.1	170.6	+2.5	63%
Season at home (19)	86.1	85.1	171.2	+1.1	63%
Season away (16)	87.1	82.9	170.0	+4.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	84.5	166.9	-2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	84.8	160.0	-9.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	80.2	88.8	169.0	-8.6	36%
vs Similar (4)	83.0	79.2	162.2	+3.8	50%
vs Weaker (15)	91.3	80.7	172.0	+10.5	87%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tartu UlikoolTallinna Kalev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.1	18.2	40.2	+3.9	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.6	16.8	39.5	+5.8	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.6	34.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	18.9	41.1	+3.2	67%	-

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

29-40

-11

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Siauliai

40-36

H29/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

36-38

-2

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Siauliai

48-48

A06/04

Baltic League

Valga

42-33

A08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

54-29

+25

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

49-49

A19/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

53-34

+19

H21/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

37-29

H30/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

48-40

A03/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

81.2Avg total

43.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	38.5	81.2	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.5	36.6	81.2	+7.9	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	39.9	81.2	+1.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.6	81.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	36.2	84.4	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.5	42.5	86.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.6	36.7	81.4	+7.9	74%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

36-44

-8

H24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

57-42

+15

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

38-49

-11

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

47-41

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

41-35

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

32-40

-8

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

36-31

H19/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

33-35

-2

A21/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

29-37

-8

A30/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

40-48

-8

H03/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

79.1Avg total

38.9Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.6	39.7	82.4	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	41.6	83.2	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.2	79.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	38.2	72.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.5	42.8	82.3	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	41.2	84.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.9	38.7	82.5	+5.2	60%	-

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	16.2	41.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	19.9	37.4	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	23.5	41.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.5	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.1	41.9	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	23.2	41.1	-5.3	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.5	14.8	31.2	+1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.9	21.3	45.3	+2.6	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+2.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.0	40.3	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	16.2	42.0	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	23.4	41.3	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.1	45%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	37.7	79.5	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.9	39.5	83.4	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	35.8	80.3	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	32.4	83.0	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.4	43.3	78.7	-7.9	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.5	34.6	79.2	+9.9	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	41.7	84.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.5	42.6	86.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.4	81.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.4	44.7	84.1	-5.4	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.3	41.0	87.3	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tartu Ulikool wins

Tallinna Kalev wins

Date	Game	Score
03/05/16	Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool	74-97
30/04/16	Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev	87-56
13/02/16	Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool	84-105
15/01/16	Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev	97-88
30/10/15	Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool	76-82
16/04/15	Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev	86-62
14/04/15	Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool	62-101
10/04/15	Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev	90-63
05/02/15	Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool	72-93
12/12/14	Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev	72-56

Tartu Ulikoollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	97-74
30/04/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	87-56
21/04/16	H	Tal Tech	107-73
19/04/16	A	Tal Tech	100-82
15/04/16	H	Tal Tech	103-58
08/04/16	A	Valga	92-76
06/04/16	A	Siauliai	76-102
31/03/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-78
29/03/16	H	Siauliai	81-74
26/03/16	A	Parnu	70-61

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	74-97
30/04/16	A	Tartu Ulikool	56-87
21/04/16	A	Parnu	88-87 OT
19/04/16	H	Parnu	83-85
17/04/16	A	Parnu	75-68
14/04/16	H	Parnu	75-70
05/04/16	A	Valga	106-85
02/04/16	H	Tal Tech	86-83
26/03/16	H	Valga	108-97
24/03/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WLWWW	72%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	12	18
Win %	77%	83%	72%
Points / game	85.1	90.1	81.7
Allowed / game	72.5	70.9	73.6
Point differential	+12.6	+19.2	+8.2
Avg total	157.6	161.0	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	3%	8%	0%

Tallinna Kalev

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	63%
Home	WWWLL	63%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	19	16
Win %	63%	63%	62%
Points / game	86.6	86.1	87.1
Allowed / game	84.1	85.1	82.9
Point differential	+2.5	+1.1	+4.2
Avg total	170.6	171.2	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	26%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	83% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	9%	11%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	BC Kalev/Cramo	23	23	0	100%	87.9	70.3	+17.6
2	Tartu Ulikool	30	23	7	77%	85.1	72.5	+12.6
3	Tallinna Kalev	35	22	13	63%	86.6	84.1	+2.5
4	Rapla	35	21	14	60%	78.8	76.3	+2.5
5	Rakvere Tarvas	33	17	16	52%	87.0	79.8	+7.2
6	Parnu	33	14	19	42%	75.6	78.3	-2.7
7	Tal Tech	32	11	21	34%	75.4	82.8	-7.4
8	Valga	32	10	22	31%	83.4	87.6	-4.2
9	Audentese	29	0	29	0%	67.3	92.7	-25.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tartu Ulikool	26	17	25	24	92
Tallinna Kalev	24	22	13	17	76

← all games of the day

Tartu Ulikool vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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