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Tartu Ulikool vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-71
18-23 25-17 23-12 21-19
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#16
Record3-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)
Other2023
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Tallinna Kalev
02 Feb 2024
TUL87
TALL71
30 Sep 2022
TUL72
TALL70
04 Feb 2022
TUL77
TALL62
17 Apr 2021
TUL86
TALL61
09 Dec 2020
TUL79
TALL73
14 Nov 2020
TUL75
TALL67
17 Apr 2019
TUL77
TALL83
09 Apr 2019
TUL78
TALL73
03 Nov 2018
TUL75
TALL66
07 Jan 2018
TUL87
TALL78
08 Dec 2017
TUL90
TALL80
20 Apr 2017
TUL74
TALL56
12 Apr 2017
TUL76
TALL72
10 Dec 2016
TUL86
TALL65
06 May 2016
TUL92
TALL76
30 Apr 2016
TUL87
TALL56
15 Jan 2016
TUL97
TALL88
16 Apr 2015
TUL86
TALL62
10 Apr 2015
TUL90
TALL63
12 Dec 2014
TUL72
TALL56
07 Nov 2014
TUL76
TALL55
05 May 2014
TUL84
TALL70
30 Apr 2014
TUL75
TALL48
02 Oct 2013
TUL60
TALL40
24 Oct 2012
TUL96
TALL54
10 Jan 2012
TUL106
TALL65
29 Nov 2011
TUL105
TALL83
27 Apr 2011
TUL75
TALL66
20 Apr 2011
TUL76
TALL67
08 Mar 2011
TUL71
TALL72
09 Jan 2011
TUL83
TALL72
19 Oct 2010
TUL87
TALL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 71
H19/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
78-63
78
63
+15
70avg 71
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 71
H03/01
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
70avg 71
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Svendborg
#15
W
83-41
83
41
+42
80avg 71
H09/01
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 71
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
76-24
76
24
+52
76avg 71
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lublin
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 71
A22/01
ENBL
Juventus
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
47avg 71
A24/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
41avg 71
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-15
24-21
18-23
17-20
20-16
21-7
20-20
24-24
9-23
22-25
16-22
28-16
16-29
17-21
12-22
28-12
17-18
18-5
20-6
21-23
23-10
19-24
21-21
17-2
24-6
14-8
21-8
23-19
21-18
14-30
17-18
14-17
17-29
16-20
16-22
11-21
17-26
15-22
20-23
147.0Avg total
74.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.071.2148.2+5.865%
Season at home (11)78.066.4144.4+11.682%
Season away (9)75.877.1152.9-1.344%
Last 10 (10)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)72.273.4145.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.283.1155.3-10.920%
vs Similar (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.765.7147.4+15.987%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 56
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 56
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 56
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
43avg 56
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 56
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 56
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 56
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 56
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 56
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 56
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
15-20
18-24
23-13
20-25
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
18-25
12-16
13-29
21-24
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
19-15
22-14
23-19
31-27
166.1Avg total
70.6Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.488.7157.1-20.215%
Season at home (10)70.386.4156.7-16.110%
Season away (10)66.590.9157.4-24.420%
Last 10 (10)70.695.5166.1-24.910%
Last 5 (5)68.094.0162.0-26.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.990.3157.3-23.413%
vs Similar (5)81.078.4159.4+2.640%
vs Weaker (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
Tartu UlikoolTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H19/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H03/01
ENBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Svendborg
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H09/01
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-8
41
8
+33
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lublin
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/01
ENBL
Juventus
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A24/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
74.1Avg total
38.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.674.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.132.671.7+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.077.1-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.774.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.271.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.140.476.5-4.330%-
vs Similar (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.331.572.8+9.987%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.6Avg total
32.3Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.143.277.3-9.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.343.278.5-7.923%-
Last 30 away (17)33.243.176.3-9.918%-
Last 10 (10)32.347.379.6-15.010%-
Last 5 (5)31.447.278.6-15.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.944.876.7-13.09%-
vs Similar (5)40.234.674.8+5.660%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.717.9
44.0%
50.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.5
30.8%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
70.5%12.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.3
44.7%
50.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.5
29.3%
32.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.5
67.8%
70.5%13.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LLLWWWLLWW
Tallinna Kalev
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#16
+2.7
Net rating
-32.4
98.4
Offensive rating
89.1
95.7
Defensive rating
121.5
44.9%
Effective FG%
44.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
29.3%
65.5%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 89.1Defence95.7 · 121.5Shooting44.9% · 44.5%3-point %30.8% · 29.3%Ball care16.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Tartu Ulikool wins
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AVentspils63-92
24/01/24AJuventus63-88
22/01/24ALublin75-85
18/01/24HViimsi76-24
14/01/24ABK Liepaja84-78
09/01/24HSvendborg83-41
06/01/24AVEF Riga73-88
03/01/24HBakken Bears71-94
22/12/23HBK Liepaja78-63
19/12/23HBristol Flyers79-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AViimsi95-75
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
10/12/23AVEF Riga64-94
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
28/11/23HRapla76-82
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%82%44%
Points / game77.078.075.8
Allowed / game71.266.477.1
Point differential+5.8+11.6-1.3
Avg total148.2144.4152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%10%20%
Points / game68.470.366.5
Allowed / game88.786.490.9
Point differential-20.2-16.1-24.4
Avg total157.1156.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2322196%86.769.4+17.3
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2217577%86.070.7+15.3
4 Ventspils2014670%92.584.2+8.3
5 Rigas Zelli2215768%80.372.1+8.1
6 Tartu Ulikool2013765%77.071.2+5.8
7 BK Ogre2112957%79.575.6+3.9
8 Tal Tech22101245%76.579.8-3.3
9 BK Liepaja2091145%79.581.2-1.6
10 Parnu2191243%77.078.0-0.9
11 Rapla2281436%75.078.5-3.4
12 Keila KK2281436%80.386.0-5.6
13 Viimsi2351822%67.385.3-18.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1941521%74.585.3-10.8
15 Tallinna Kalev2031715%68.488.7-20.2
16 Latvijas Universitate2231914%68.085.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool1825232187
Tallinna Kalev2317121971
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