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Team FOG Naestved vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 118-70
35-11 23-19 26-20 34-20
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#9
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game86.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Naestved (Naestved)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack
26 Sep 2024
TEAM89
HERL82
28 Dec 2023
TEAM118
HERL70
08 Mar 2023
TEAM101
HERL79
15 Jan 2023
TEAM76
HERL55
02 Oct 2022
TEAM114
HERL82
18 Jan 2022
TEAM88
HERL74
04 Jan 2021
TEAM84
HERL64
14 Nov 2019
TEAM81
HERL77
08 Jan 2019
TEAM108
HERL70
18 Feb 2018
TEAM111
HERL73
21 Sep 2017
TEAM75
HERL56
02 Apr 2015
TEAM79
HERL73
26 Mar 2015
TEAM94
HERL83
23 Oct 2014
TEAM87
HERL93
06 Feb 2014
TEAM70
HERL71
25 Nov 2013
TEAM54
HERL65
22 Feb 2012
TEAM89
HERL73
10 Nov 2011
TEAM86
HERL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNaestved
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
102-82
102
82
+20
98avg 92
A19/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
107-61
107
61
+46
96avg 92
H24/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
75avg 92
A05/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 92
H09/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 92
A19/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
113-87
113
87
+26
112avg 92
H29/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
103-62
103
62
+41
no box
A02/12
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
89avg 92
A09/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
104avg 92
H17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
103-66
103
66
+37
100avg 92
A21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
23-19
26-22
24-24
24-12
26-7
27-22
30-20
21-25
21-22
30-18
17-26
19-30
13-15
16-26
31-24
16-22
22-22
21-25
18-29
29-19
29-27
24-22
31-19
29-11
17-15
30-19
27-17
35-23
22-24
18-26
24-22
34-21
34-19
10-21
27-16
24-16
29-20
18-8
32-22
179.1Avg total
97.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)97.380.5177.8+16.877%
Season at home (6)98.580.3178.8+18.283%
Season away (7)96.380.7177.0+15.671%
Last 10 (10)97.781.4179.1+16.370%
Last 5 (5)104.677.4182.0+27.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.190.4165.6-15.314%
vs Similar (6)85.589.2174.7-3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)100.277.1177.4+23.194%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 60
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 60
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 60
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 60
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 60
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 60
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 60
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 60
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 60
H20/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
162.6Avg total
76.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.086.5157.5-15.517%
Season at home (7)67.687.1154.7-19.614%
Season away (5)75.885.6161.4-9.820%
Last 10 (10)76.286.4162.6-10.210%
Last 5 (5)82.491.8174.2-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.992.0160.8-23.14%
vs Similar (3)74.075.3149.3-1.367%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
Team FOG NaestvedHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A19/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H24/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A05/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H29/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A02/12
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A09/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
68-40
68
40
+28
H17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A21/12
Basketligaen
88.2Avg total
49.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.139.987.1+7.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.485.5+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)48.140.488.4+7.769%-
Last 10 (10)49.638.688.2+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)56.439.095.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.444.484.9-4.029%-
vs Similar (6)39.542.782.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)52.637.189.7+15.588%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
82.0Avg total
39.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.345.280.5-9.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.443.477.8-9.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.146.782.8-10.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.082.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.687.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.746.581.2-11.912%-
vs Similar (3)33.740.774.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.8
53.6%
51.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.1
37.5%
31.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.2
75.0%
67.0%16.2
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.7
47.7%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.6
26.7%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.714.9
68.7%
67.0%14.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Team FOG Naestved
WWWWWLLLWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+16.1
Net rating
-19.3
118.6
Offensive rating
91.1
102.5
Defensive rating
110.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
44.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
22.3%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
26.7%
56.6%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 91.1Defence102.5 · 110.4Shooting54.7% · 44.8%3-point %37.5% · 26.7%Ball care17.0% · 22.3%Off. rebounds37.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Team FOG Naestved   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AAmager103-66
17/12/23HBears Academy105-77
09/12/23AVaerlose99-95
02/12/23ACopenhagen103-62
29/11/23HAmager113-87
19/11/23ABakken Bears77-98
09/11/23HHorsens79-95
05/11/23ASvendborg89-91
24/10/23HHolbaek-Stenhus107-61
19/10/23ARanders102-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
19/11/23ARanders76-86
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game97.398.596.3
Allowed / game80.580.380.7
Point differential+16.8+18.2+15.6
Avg total177.8178.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%14%20%
Points / game71.067.675.8
Allowed / game86.587.185.6
Point differential-15.5-19.6-9.8
Avg total157.5154.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1312192%99.175.8+23.3
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Horsens1411379%90.472.6+17.8
4 Team FOG Naestved1310377%97.380.5+16.8
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Copenhagen136746%83.180.0+3.1
7 Vaerlose125742%81.186.5-5.4
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Herlev Wolfpack1221017%71.086.5-15.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
11 Amager131128%71.7100.8-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved35232634118
Herlev Wolfpack1119202070
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