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Team FOG Naestved vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 89-82
26-21 14-16 22-25 27-20
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game93.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Naestved
Other2024-25
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack
26 Sep 2024
TEAM89
HERL82
28 Dec 2023
TEAM118
HERL70
08 Mar 2023
TEAM101
HERL79
15 Jan 2023
TEAM76
HERL55
02 Oct 2022
TEAM114
HERL82
18 Jan 2022
TEAM88
HERL74
04 Jan 2021
TEAM84
HERL64
14 Nov 2019
TEAM81
HERL77
08 Jan 2019
TEAM108
HERL70
18 Feb 2018
TEAM111
HERL73
21 Sep 2017
TEAM75
HERL56
02 Apr 2015
TEAM79
HERL73
26 Mar 2015
TEAM94
HERL83
23 Oct 2014
TEAM87
HERL93
06 Feb 2014
TEAM70
HERL71
25 Nov 2013
TEAM54
HERL65
22 Feb 2012
TEAM89
HERL73
10 Nov 2011
TEAM86
HERL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNaestved
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
107-99
107
99
+8
105avg 88
H15/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
96avg 88
A22/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 88
H25/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
89-80
89
80
+9
79avg 88
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 88
H02/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
90-94
90
94
-4
78avg 88
A09/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
67avg 88
H13/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 88
A16/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 88
H20/05
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 88
A21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-25
21-32
38-23
19-27
31-20
20-27
28-16
21-20
28-20
18-23
20-27
22-13
17-25
23-21
27-21
22-27
21-18
27-17
22-22
19-26
22-23
18-22
31-23
24-26
24-23
16-22
17-23
11-20
25-21
21-24
26-23
36-28
17-19
19-16
14-25
18-16
23-17
23-14
25-25
178.1Avg total
90.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.072.0161.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.072.0161.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.287.9178.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.887.2173.0-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)89.493.5182.9-4.125%
vs Similar (7)92.689.3181.9+3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)97.282.2179.4+15.087%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 64
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 64
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 64
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 64
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
40avg 64
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 64
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
94-97
94
97
-3
78avg 64
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 64
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 64
H21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-28
23-18
22-20
19-12
25-23
16-21
21-25
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
14-21
28-15
8-26
24-16
20-19
27-20
20-26
21-14
14-22
18-22
30-21
32-32
17-16
15-22
17-27
16-17
22-22
7-21
18-29
17-21
164.0Avg total
78.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.093.0157.0-29.00%
Season at home (1)64.093.0157.0-29.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.585.5164.0-7.030%
Last 5 (5)77.085.8162.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.093.8165.8-21.85%
vs Similar (4)82.878.0160.8+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Team FOG NaestvedHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A22/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H25/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A09/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H13/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H20/05
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/09
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
44.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.742.990.6+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.643.593.1+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.742.388.1+3.473%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.388.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.445.991.2-0.538%-
vs Similar (7)45.043.988.9+1.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)50.140.991.1+9.280%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H21/09
Basketligaen
78.0Avg total
37.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.081.7-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.542.079.5-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)37.846.183.9-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.076.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.046.382.3-10.314%-
vs Similar (4)41.837.279.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (4)41.239.881.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.8
54.9%
51.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.016.7
66.8%
70.2%16.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.6
46.7%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.4
23.7%
32.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws25.618.0
70.3%
70.2%18.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Team FOG Naestved
WLLLLWWLWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#9
+2.9
Net rating
-12.8
113.9
Offensive rating
94.2
111.0
Defensive rating
107.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
42.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.6%
3-point %
23.7%
54.2%
Assist %
71.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 94.2Defence111.0 · 107.0Shooting54.4% · 42.3%3-point %35.6% · 23.7%Ball care17.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds34.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Team FOG Naestved   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24ABears Academy89-72
20/05/24HBakken Bears86-88
16/05/24ABakken Bears83-88
13/05/24HBakken Bears81-94
09/05/24ABakken Bears90-94
02/05/24HHorsens92-84
29/04/24AHorsens89-80
25/04/24HHorsens87-90
22/04/24AHorsens98-90
15/04/24HHorsens107-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24HSvendborg64-93
27/04/24HCopenhagen65-82
23/04/24AAmager94-97
07/04/24HBears Academy88-79
26/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus74-78
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84
02/03/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-94 OT
15/02/24HRanders78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-29.0-29.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved110100%89.072.0+17.0
2 Svendborg220100%84.569.0+15.5
3 Horsens220100%87.075.5+11.5
4 Randers21150%90.070.5+19.5
5 Amager21150%89.579.5+10.0
6 Bakken Bears21150%87.583.5+4.0
7 Vaerlose21150%78.094.0-16.0
8 Bears Academy2020%77.090.0-13.0
9 Copenhagen1010%75.0100.0-25.0
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%77.0103.0-26.0
11 Herlev Wolfpack1010%64.093.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2614222789
Herlev Wolfpack2116252082
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