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Team FOG Naestved vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-77
25-18 16-25 23-13 17-21
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 9
Other2019-20
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack
26 Sep 2024
TEAM89
HERL82
28 Dec 2023
TEAM118
HERL70
08 Mar 2023
TEAM101
HERL79
15 Jan 2023
TEAM76
HERL55
02 Oct 2022
TEAM114
HERL82
18 Jan 2022
TEAM88
HERL74
04 Jan 2021
TEAM84
HERL64
14 Nov 2019
TEAM81
HERL77
08 Jan 2019
TEAM108
HERL70
18 Feb 2018
TEAM111
HERL73
21 Sep 2017
TEAM75
HERL56
02 Apr 2015
TEAM79
HERL73
26 Mar 2015
TEAM94
HERL83
23 Oct 2014
TEAM87
HERL93
06 Feb 2014
TEAM70
HERL71
25 Nov 2013
TEAM54
HERL65
22 Feb 2012
TEAM89
HERL73
10 Nov 2011
TEAM86
HERL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
66-109
66
109
-43
A18/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H29/04
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H02/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
103-64
103
64
+39
H23/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A26/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
112-61
112
61
+51
A30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
67-97
67
97
-30
A06/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
20-25
15-33
19-29
34-32
18-16
24-25
25-19
25-20
25-14
14-23
18-11
15-27
23-18
24-22
14-26
25-21
11-14
21-25
15-17
19-25
16-10
32-22
31-19
32-24
17-13
26-12
28-15
23-23
26-25
19-23
16-17
28-19
31-8
28-14
25-20
18-23
13-21
19-26
17-27
168.6Avg total
86.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.878.0164.8+8.850%
Season at home (3)92.377.7170.0+14.767%
Season away (5)83.478.2161.6+5.240%
Last 10 (10)86.182.5168.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)92.877.2170.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.490.0166.4-13.60%
vs Similar (5)79.290.2169.4-11.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.474.5168.9+19.980%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A28/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A28/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A27/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
17-24
25-14
17-29
8-35
19-16
19-22
18-18
28-19
15-17
23-18
23-12
14-24
30-13
15-14
20-20
22-16
26-21
33-28
12-31
15-19
13-21
12-25
27-23
23-19
19-16
20-9
16-19
24-15
23-23
17-26
21-24
17-31
13-24
20-12
21-32
10-21
18-15
22-14
21-15
159.8Avg total
77.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.179.5158.6-0.450%
Season at home (4)75.578.0153.5-2.550%
Season away (4)82.881.0163.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)77.282.6159.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)74.480.6155.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.799.5173.2-25.97%
vs Similar (8)85.482.8168.1+2.638%
vs Weaker (7)84.974.9159.7+10.086%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
Team FOG NaestvedHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H29/04
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H23/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/11
Basketligaen
83.1Avg total
43.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.484.3+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.139.984.9+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)44.638.883.4+5.854%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.083.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.282.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.844.082.8-5.220%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.486.2-4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.436.884.2+10.675%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A28/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H16/10
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A27/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H06/11
Basketligaen
79.1Avg total
37.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.785.1-6.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.945.585.4-5.546%-
Last 30 away (17)39.145.884.9-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.179.1-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.875.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.049.585.5-13.513%-
vs Similar (8)43.943.086.9+0.962%-
vs Weaker (7)41.940.682.4+1.357%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/19AHorsens67-97
30/10/19AAmager112-61
26/10/19ARanders84-88
23/10/19HCopenhagen103-64
17/10/19HVaerlose98-76
09/10/19ASvendborg72-77
02/10/19HBakken Bears76-93
27/09/19AEBAA Aarhus82-68
29/04/19HRanders101-92
18/04/19AHorsens66-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/19HCopenhagen71-65
02/11/19ARanders71-99
30/10/19HHorsens85-88
27/10/19AEBAA Aarhus78-63
16/10/19HRanders67-88
11/10/19AVaerlose93-96
05/10/19HSvendborg79-71
28/09/19AAmager89-66
28/03/19AHorsens64-91
25/03/19HHorsens75-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game86.892.383.4
Allowed / game78.077.778.2
Point differential+8.8+14.7+5.2
Avg total164.8170.0161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.175.582.8
Allowed / game79.578.081.0
Point differential-0.4-2.5+1.8
Avg total158.6153.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears770100%98.070.3+27.7
2 Randers109190%97.779.3+18.4
3 Horsens97278%93.473.4+20.0
4 Team FOG Naestved84450%86.878.0+8.8
5 Herlev Wolfpack84450%79.179.5-0.4
6 Svendborg84450%81.582.2-0.8
7 Vaerlose72529%83.092.9-9.9
8 Copenhagen92722%78.096.6-18.6
9 EBAA Aarhus81712%72.194.2-22.1
10 Amager6060%68.8103.2-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved2516231781
Herlev Wolfpack1825132177
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