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Telsiai vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-83
20-19 15-21 26-19 20-24
Position#10
Record16-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#17
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Telsiai v Alytaus Alytus
15 Jan 2026
TELS81
ALYT83
05 Nov 2024
TELS90
ALYT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
103avg 80
H27/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
88-74
88
74
+14
88avg 80
A29/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 80
H04/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
60-75
60
75
-15
49avg 80
A11/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
92-72
92
72
+20
101avg 80
A18/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 80
H20/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 80
H03/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
89-107
89
107
-18
77avg 80
A08/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 80
H10/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
83avg 80
A13/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
28-31
33-23
15-25
19-19
19-25
15-18
35-12
20-15
24-23
22-18
13-29
21-20
9-19
11-16
19-20
19-23
28-16
19-16
26-17
21-16
25-21
20-19
20-27
20-23
24-20
24-27
26-12
21-32
23-26
21-26
24-23
14-21
18-18
14-24
19-24
22-23
24-19
20-21
23-12
168.1Avg total
84.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.683.1167.7+1.567%
Season at home (12)86.286.2172.4-0.167%
Season away (12)83.079.9162.9+3.167%
Last 10 (10)84.783.4168.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.686.8171.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.489.6169.0-10.122%
vs Similar (16)89.778.4168.1+11.394%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.476.8161.2+7.6100%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 68
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 68
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 68
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
86avg 68
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 68
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 68
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
58avg 68
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 68
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 68
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
49avg 68
A08/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
10-23
19-24
21-17
20-20
14-24
22-20
15-11
16-24
24-14
25-19
14-23
18-19
16-20
24-27
22-13
21-27
14-18
18-36
13-19
24-19
14-16
21-19
12-14
24-27
25-21
15-23
20-28
22-23
23-31
21-14
16-16
20-24
10-19
17-25
18-22
15-22
160.0Avg total
75.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.884.7162.5-6.917%
Season at home (13)79.581.2160.6-1.723%
Season away (11)75.888.9164.7-13.19%
Last 10 (10)75.684.4160.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)72.487.2159.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.889.1164.9-13.48%
vs Similar (6)84.087.0171.0-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
TelsiaiAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H27/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A29/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A11/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A08/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/01
NKL
85.3Avg total
42.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.684.4+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.738.478.1+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.585.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.243.181.3-4.933%-
vs Similar (16)44.438.482.8+5.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NKL
82.2Avg total
38.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.844.382.0-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.779.8-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.884.3-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.182.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.644.480.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.044.081.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (6)40.845.286.0-4.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
32.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
69.3%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.1
48.6%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.4
33.8%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
69.3%14.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WLLWWWLLWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#17
+1.9
Net rating
-11.9
108.8
Offensive rating
99.0
106.9
Defensive rating
110.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
33.8%
58.8%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 99.0Defence106.9 · 110.9Shooting54.9% · 49.3%3-point %34.9% · 33.8%Ball care14.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 21.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Telsiai   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Telsiai wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25Alytaus Alytus v Telsiai81-83
01/12/24Alytaus Alytus v Telsiai74-91
05/11/24Telsiai v Alytaus Alytus90-88
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26AKretinga89-75
10/01/26HNeptunas 265-87
08/01/26AVytis VDU89-107
03/01/26HOmega-Tauras94-82
20/12/25HVilkaviskis86-83
18/12/25APlunges Olimpas92-72
11/12/25AMazeikiai60-75
04/12/25HSuduva-Mantinga79-85
29/11/25AJurbarkas88-74
27/11/25HSilute105-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga60-88
03/01/26HVytis VDU80-85
18/12/25ARytas 282-95
16/12/25AJurbarkas71-76
13/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga69-92
11/12/25HKretinga83-87
06/12/25ANeptunas 281-75
04/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas 267-79
29/11/25AVilkaviskis70-84
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.686.283.0
Allowed / game83.186.279.9
Point differential+1.5-0.1+3.1
Avg total167.7172.4162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %17%23%9%
Points / game77.879.575.8
Allowed / game84.781.288.9
Point differential-6.9-1.7-13.1
Avg total162.5160.6164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (8)0% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2521484%89.075.3+13.7
2 Vytis VDU2317674%87.582.8+4.7
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22317674%86.783.9+2.8
4 Telsiai2416867%84.683.1+1.5
5 Vilkaviskis24141058%82.978.6+4.3
6 Kedainiu SC24141058%88.586.3+2.2
7 Jurbarkas23131057%76.776.3+0.4
8 Mazeikiai24121250%83.181.6+1.5
9 Rytas 225121348%83.782.2+1.5
10 Kretinga24111346%84.786.4-1.7
11 Silute24111346%86.589.0-2.6
12 Neptunas 223101343%76.379.0-2.6
13 Omega-Tauras24101442%87.889.8-2.1
14 BC Olimpas Palanga25101540%79.984.2-4.3
15 Ukmerges Stekas2361726%82.289.7-7.5
16 Plunges Olimpas2451921%80.586.1-5.5
17 Alytaus Alytus2442017%77.884.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2015262081
Alytaus Alytus1921192483
← all games of the day
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