PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas 2 vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-81
14-24 19-25 23-14 19-18
Position#4
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game80.5
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Alytaus Alytus 🏆
Lithuania
Position#17
Record3-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game84.4
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus
06 Dec 2025
NEPT75
ALYT81
13 Feb 2025
NEPT111
ALYT78
16 Nov 2024
NEPT80
ALYT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 70
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 70
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
51avg 70
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 70
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 70
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 70
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
66-90
66
90
-24
58avg 70
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 70
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 70
H29/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 70
A04/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-14
22-12
12-19
17-20
13-18
29-9
14-13
14-17
9-8
12-14
23-19
21-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
11-17
22-19
18-30
18-26
19-18
19-23
15-21
24-21
10-20
24-16
17-31
15-23
12-22
17-23
18-20
23-27
18-24
20-24
12-19
23-17
16-18
20-21
21-19
18-14
153.8Avg total
74.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.180.5156.5-4.441%
Season at home (8)74.878.2153.0-3.538%
Season away (9)77.282.4159.7-5.244%
Last 10 (10)74.479.4153.8-5.050%
Last 5 (5)72.284.2156.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (18)76.781.4158.1-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.882.2166.0+1.645%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 67
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 67
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 67
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 67
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 67
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 67
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
92avg 67
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 67
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 67
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 67
H04/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
22-22
13-20
20-22
26-19
16-22
21-25
27-19
25-28
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
10-23
19-24
21-17
20-20
14-24
22-20
15-11
16-24
166.3Avg total
79.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.984.4163.3-5.518%
Season at home (11)79.180.3159.4-1.227%
Season away (6)78.592.0170.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.886.5166.3-6.710%
Last 5 (5)80.084.6164.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.588.9162.4-15.44%
vs Similar (5)88.886.8175.6+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Neptunas 2Alytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H29/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/12
NKL
73.0Avg total
34.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.778.8-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.439.478.8-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)36.742.178.8-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.773.0-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.876.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (18)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.541.180.5-1.627%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/12
NKL
81.5Avg total
38.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.980.7-7.130%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.641.277.8-4.633%-
Last 30 away (12)37.048.085.0-11.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.781.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.682.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.443.679.0-8.228%-
vs Similar (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.4
53.0%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.7
27.1%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.713.7
66.2%
69.3%13.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.9
53.4%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
69.3%12.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLLLLLWWWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#17
-6.6
Net rating
-9.6
97.5
Offensive rating
106.7
104.1
Defensive rating
116.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.1%
3-point %
35.9%
54.4%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 106.7Defence104.1 · 116.4Shooting47.5% · 53.5%3-point %27.1% · 35.9%Ball care18.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
13/11/25Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 287-94
13/02/25Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus111-78
17/12/24Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 268-76
16/11/24Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus80-83
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AKedainiu SC75-72
29/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga73-84
27/11/25AVytis VDU70-92
22/11/25HPlunges Olimpas66-90
20/11/25ASilute77-83
15/11/25HKedainiu SC69-92
13/11/25AAlytaus Alytus94-87
08/11/25AJurbarkas71-68 OT
06/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga73-60
30/10/25HRytas 276-66
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas 267-79
29/11/25AVilkaviskis70-84
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83
22/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-94
20/11/25HTelsiai81-83
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%38%44%
Points / game76.174.877.2
Allowed / game80.578.282.4
Point differential-4.4-3.5-5.2
Avg total156.5153.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %18%27%0%
Points / game78.979.178.5
Allowed / game84.480.392.0
Point differential-5.5-1.2-13.5
Avg total163.3159.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1713476%86.378.3+8.0
2 Kedainiu SC1612475%90.683.5+7.1
3 Vytis VDU1511473%85.480.0+5.4
4 Telsiai1712571%85.683.1+2.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21812667%86.884.8+1.9
6 Vilkaviskis1710759%86.481.5+4.8
7 Omega-Tauras179853%90.088.4+1.6
8 Mazeikiai168850%84.382.8+1.5
9 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
10 Rytas 2178947%83.182.2+0.9
11 Kretinga178947%84.984.8+0.1
12 Silute1771041%87.088.8-1.8
13 Neptunas 21771041%76.180.5-4.4
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1751229%79.586.4-6.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas1541127%81.590.4-8.9
16 Plunges Olimpas1641225%80.885.7-4.9
17 Alytaus Alytus1731418%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21419231975
Alytaus Alytus2425141881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.