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Jurbarkas vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-71
16-14 19-21 14-12 27-24
Position#5
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#17
Record4-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.5
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus
14 Feb 2026
JURB111
ALYT87
16 Dec 2025
JURB76
ALYT71
09 Jan 2025
JURB80
ALYT53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
83-66
83
66
+17
86avg 72
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 72
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
60avg 72
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
83avg 72
A13/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
80-77
80
77
+3
84avg 72
H15/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
52avg 72
H20/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 72
A22/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
94avg 72
A27/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 72
H29/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
102avg 72
H13/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-12
19-20
23-18
15-18
26-13
14-19
14-12
17-14
8-9
14-12
19-23
12-20
23-12
24-16
13-24
27-9
19-21
14-29
20-18
14-12
19-18
19-17
12-24
25-14
26-27
19-23
21-30
26-22
24-18
16-25
23-15
19-19
25-19
18-15
12-35
23-23
21-23
33-18
27-10
157.0Avg total
80.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.278.0156.2+0.253%
Season at home (8)77.674.5152.1+3.150%
Season away (9)78.781.1159.8-2.456%
Last 10 (10)80.976.1157.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)84.481.4165.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
vs Similar (19)75.177.6152.6-2.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.478.0162.4+6.475%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 66
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 66
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 66
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
92avg 66
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 66
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 66
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 66
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
86avg 66
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 66
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 66
A13/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
22-22
13-20
20-22
26-19
16-22
21-25
27-19
25-28
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
10-23
19-24
21-17
20-20
14-24
22-20
15-11
16-24
24-14
25-19
14-23
18-19
16-20
24-27
22-13
21-27
14-18
18-36
13-19
24-19
169.8Avg total
82.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.784.5163.2-5.820%
Season at home (12)79.480.8160.2-1.425%
Season away (8)77.689.9167.5-12.212%
Last 10 (10)82.287.6169.8-5.420%
Last 5 (5)74.083.4157.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.489.6165.0-14.28%
vs Similar (5)88.886.8175.6+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
JurbarkasAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H15/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H20/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A22/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A27/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/12
NKL
74.9Avg total
41.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.2+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.633.471.0+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.040.177.1-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.974.9+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (19)35.836.772.6-0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.438.180.5+4.275%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A13/12
NKL
85.5Avg total
40.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.782.5-7.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.942.579.4-5.629%-
Last 30 away (13)38.847.686.5-8.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.085.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.082.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.644.681.2-8.028%-
vs Similar (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.4
56.0%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.111.4
63.0%
69.3%11.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.4
54.6%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.9
35.7%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
69.3%14.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWLLWWLWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#17
+7.1
Net rating
-7.8
104.9
Offensive rating
109.7
97.9
Defensive rating
117.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
35.7%
68.4%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 109.7Defence97.9 · 117.6Shooting52.2% · 54.2%3-point %31.3% · 35.7%Ball care17.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jurbarkas wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas70-76
09/01/25Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus80-53
10/10/24Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas74-97
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HSilute104-74
29/11/25HTelsiai74-88
27/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-80
22/11/25ABC Olimpas Palanga91-94
20/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
15/11/25HUkmerges Stekas80-77
13/11/25AVilkaviskis87-78 OT
08/11/25HNeptunas 268-71 OT
06/11/25AVytis VDU69-62
30/10/25HPlunges Olimpas83-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga69-92
11/12/25HKretinga83-87
06/12/25ANeptunas 281-75
04/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas 267-79
29/11/25AVilkaviskis70-84
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83
22/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-94
20/11/25HTelsiai81-83
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game78.277.678.7
Allowed / game78.074.581.1
Point differential+0.2+3.1-2.4
Avg total156.2152.1159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %20%25%12%
Points / game78.779.477.6
Allowed / game84.580.889.9
Point differential-5.8-1.4-12.2
Avg total163.2160.2167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2016480%87.776.8+10.9
2 Vytis VDU1914574%87.281.8+5.3
3 Kedainiu SC2014670%90.084.0+6.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22014670%86.084.0+1.9
5 Telsiai1812667%84.282.7+1.5
6 Vilkaviskis1911858%84.779.9+4.8
7 Jurbarkas179853%78.278.0+0.2
8 Mazeikiai1910953%84.282.5+1.7
9 Kretinga1910953%85.384.7+0.5
10 Omega-Tauras1991047%88.589.1-0.6
11 Rytas 21981142%82.383.6-1.3
12 Silute2081240%86.889.7-3.0
13 BC Olimpas Palanga2081240%80.085.0-5.0
14 Neptunas 22071335%76.180.7-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas1851328%82.390.1-7.7
16 Plunges Olimpas1941521%81.186.3-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2041620%78.784.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1619142776
Alytaus Alytus1421122471
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