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Vilkaviskis vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 84-70
23-10 24-19 17-21 20-20
Position#7
Record8-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#17
Record3-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Alytaus Alytus
29 Nov 2025
VILK84
ALYT70
05 Oct 2024
VILK75
ALYT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
92avg 72
H18/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
75avg 72
H23/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 72
A30/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 72
A06/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
71avg 72
H08/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
60avg 72
H13/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 72
A15/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 72
H20/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
93-86
93
86
+7
83avg 72
A22/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
95-74
95
74
+21
85avg 72
A27/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
29-16
25-20
24-13
27-14
12-26
15-20
24-11
29-20
24-17
12-29
17-24
11-27
25-25
22-19
33-24
29-20
20-25
15-22
19-27
20-12
12-23
16-24
24-13
22-23
28-15
12-20
19-23
26-25
14-22
24-18
20-23
23-24
25-15
21-27
24-20
25-21
25-20
16-20
29-13
172.8Avg total
87.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.482.2168.6+4.253%
Season at home (7)83.478.3161.7+5.157%
Season away (8)89.085.6174.6+3.450%
Last 10 (10)87.385.5172.8+1.840%
Last 5 (5)88.086.2174.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.283.6160.8-6.420%
vs Similar (19)82.277.3159.5+4.968%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.083.0172.0+6.050%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
92avg 68
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 68
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 68
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 68
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 68
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 68
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 68
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 68
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
92avg 68
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 68
H27/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-18
18-17
33-21
21-16
10-24
21-17
18-19
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
22-22
13-20
20-22
26-19
16-22
21-25
27-19
25-28
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
167.9Avg total
82.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.384.8165.1-4.520%
Season at home (10)80.380.4160.7-0.130%
Season away (5)80.293.6173.8-13.40%
Last 10 (10)82.985.0167.9-2.120%
Last 5 (5)90.491.8182.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.490.0163.4-16.64%
vs Similar (5)88.886.8175.6+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
VilkaviskisAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H18/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A30/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A06/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A15/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H20/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/11
NKL
86.2Avg total
44.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.377.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)42.839.882.6+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.586.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.084.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.440.079.4-0.660%-
vs Similar (19)40.138.078.1+2.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.341.888.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
81.1Avg total
40.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.744.180.8-7.430%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.541.077.5-4.533%-
Last 30 away (12)37.048.885.8-11.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.081.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.343.879.2-8.528%-
vs Similar (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.0
53.0%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.6
34.0%
32.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.110.8
63.2%
69.3%10.8
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
54.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.9
36.9%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.211.8
68.6%
69.3%11.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WWLLLLLLWW
Alytaus Alytus
WLLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#17
+2.7
Net rating
-3.1
110.8
Offensive rating
111.1
108.1
Defensive rating
114.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
36.9%
55.2%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 111.1Defence108.1 · 114.2Shooting52.1% · 54.4%3-point %34.0% · 36.9%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds35.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vilkaviskis wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Alytaus Alytus v Vilkaviskis75-88
05/10/24Vilkaviskis v Alytaus Alytus75-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AKedainiu SC95-74
22/11/25AVytis VDU93-86
20/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga84-88
15/11/25ASilute90-96 OT
13/11/25HJurbarkas78-87 OT
08/11/25HKretinga83-94
06/11/25AOmega-Tauras91-95
30/10/25ABC Olimpas Palanga82-90
23/10/25HPlunges Olimpas78-71
18/10/25HTelsiai99-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83
22/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-94
20/11/25HTelsiai81-83
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88
25/10/25HJurbarkas70-76
23/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game86.483.489.0
Allowed / game82.278.385.6
Point differential+4.2+5.1+3.4
Avg total168.6161.7174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %20%30%0%
Points / game80.380.380.2
Allowed / game84.880.493.6
Point differential-4.5-0.1-13.4
Avg total165.1160.7173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1411379%92.284.9+7.4
2 Suduva-Mantinga1511473%86.578.6+7.9
3 Telsiai1511473%85.983.6+2.3
4 Vytis VDU1410471%84.179.4+4.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%86.585.6+0.9
6 Mazeikiai148657%84.181.1+3.0
7 Vilkaviskis158753%86.482.2+4.2
8 Omega-Tauras158753%90.588.8+1.7
9 Jurbarkas158753%76.777.6-0.9
10 Rytas 2157847%82.881.7+1.1
11 Kretinga157847%84.584.2+0.3
12 Silute156940%87.389.3-2.0
13 Neptunas 2156940%76.380.8-4.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1551033%79.686.9-7.3
15 Plunges Olimpas1541127%81.385.6-4.3
16 Ukmerges Stekas1541127%81.590.4-8.9
17 Alytaus Alytus1531220%80.384.8-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2324172084
Alytaus Alytus1019212070
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