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Tenerife vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game88.8
SpainACBRound 23· Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tenerife v Valencia
07 Mar 2027
TEN v VAL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
TEN89
VAL71
14 Jun 2025
TEN87
VAL94
25 May 2025
TEN99
VAL102
27 Sep 2023
TEN86
VAL94
19 Nov 2022
TEN94
VAL78
30 Jan 2022
TEN78
VAL80
28 Mar 2021
TEN90
VAL86
17 Nov 2018
TEN100
VAL66
08 Oct 2017
TEN67
VAL70
19 Mar 2017
TEN62
VAL65
27 Dec 2015
TEN82
VAL86
10 May 2015
TEN74
VAL81
15 May 2014
TEN91
VAL100
18 Nov 2012
TEN69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tenerife win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#27
W
82-75
82
75
+7
76avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
70avg 80
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
85avg 80
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
100avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 80
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
97avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 80
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
89-93
89
93
-4
no box
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-20
21-19
17-19
21-23
18-16
20-16
21-20
19-18
23-28
16-19
19-24
16-13
28-20
22-24
24-20
26-14
19-19
20-15
31-23
25-18
14-18
15-24
28-17
14-22
17-21
43-23
30-28
20-19
29-14
30-17
27-26
24-25
24-16
17-25
17-14
18-18
29-21
26-25
16-29
169.5Avg total
88.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.879.8167.7+8.067%
Season at home (3)89.378.0167.3+11.367%
Season away (3)86.381.7168.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)88.880.7169.5+8.180%
Last 5 (5)92.684.0176.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.295.5182.7-8.330%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.581.2163.7+1.445%
vs Weaker (9)94.286.0180.2+8.267%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#4
W
97-82
97
82
+15
90avg 96
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 96
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 96
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 96
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 96
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 96
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 96
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 96
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 96
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 96
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
182.8Avg total
94.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)96.688.8185.4+7.860%
Season at home (3)100.091.0191.0+9.067%
Season away (2)91.585.5177.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)94.588.3182.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)96.887.4184.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.285.8176.0+4.562%
vs Weaker (22)98.287.8186.0+10.577%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
TenerifeValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#27
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/10
ACB
80.8Avg total
42.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.384.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.183.7+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)41.143.184.2-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.080.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.481.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.745.588.2-2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.138.479.5+2.755%-
vs Weaker (9)44.740.184.8+4.678%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.8+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.039.387.3+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.688.4+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.686.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.037.881.8+6.262%-
vs Weaker (22)48.341.790.0+6.677%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.1
42.2%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.6
79.4%
75.7%16.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
75.7%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tenerife
LWWWWWWLWW
Valencia
LWWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#7
+10.3
Net rating
+7.0
105.2
Offensive rating
106.7
94.9
Defensive rating
99.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.2%
3-point %
35.4%
66.4%
Assist %
52.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 106.7Defence94.9 · 99.7Shooting57.9% · 54.5%3-point %42.2% · 35.4%Ball care13.6% · 8.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Tenerife   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tenerife wins
9
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Tenerife v Valencia89-71
16/11/25Valencia v Tenerife96-79
14/06/25Tenerife v Valencia87-94
12/06/25Valencia v Tenerife105-74
10/06/25Valencia v Tenerife83-65
25/05/25Tenerife v Valencia99-102
13/12/24Valencia v Tenerife96-81
21/04/24Valencia v Tenerife98-73
27/09/23Tenerife v Valencia86-94
05/03/23Valencia v Tenerife77-72
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALeyma Coruna89-93
28/10/26HVenezia82-80
25/10/26HObradoiro CAB106-76
21/10/26AFrankfurt104-94
18/10/26HBaskonia82-77
14/10/26HMaxima Roma96-71
11/10/26AMurcia90-77
06/10/26ALondon Lions77-89
03/10/26AUnicaja80-75
30/09/26HTurk Telekom82-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tenerife
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.889.386.3
Allowed / game79.878.081.7
Point differential+8.0+11.3+4.7
Avg total167.7167.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game96.6100.091.5
Allowed / game88.891.085.5
Point differential+7.8+9.0+6.0
Avg total185.4191.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
3 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
4 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
5 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
6 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
7 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
8 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
9 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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