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Tennessee State vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-60
17-32 42-28
Position#176
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#223
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#82
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H10/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
40-40
57-37
43-48
41-33
47-49
37-37
44-56
31-35
52-56
43-27
33-34
40-26
43-32
42-28
33-37
40-48
27-44
32-35
55-35
157.5Avg total
80.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.669.2146.8+8.480%
Season at home (3)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)71.078.5149.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)80.477.1157.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)77.669.2146.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.180.0157.1-2.940%
vs Weaker (14)80.569.3149.8+11.279%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
36-41
33-31
35-40
29-33
38-37
34-25
38-25
27-10
39-31
32-29
26-44
34-31
30-40
33-30
33-31
30-38
36-36
29-56
38-42
134.0Avg total
66.1Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.876.0141.8-10.225%
Season at home (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Season away (3)66.377.7144.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)66.167.9134.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)64.275.4139.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.074.5138.5-10.59%
vs Similar ◀ (12)62.166.0128.1-3.933%
vs Weaker (6)76.855.5132.3+21.3100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
Tennessee StateMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#82
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H03/03
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.272.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.833.974.7+6.956%-
Last 30 away (12)33.534.668.1-1.158%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.072.7+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.872.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.336.973.2-0.740%-
vs Weaker (14)38.631.069.6+7.671%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
27-10
27
10
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A18/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
31.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.231.562.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.830.362.1+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)30.732.563.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.262.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.868.4-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.937.267.1-7.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.129.960.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)35.324.259.5+11.283%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee State wins
1
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
13/03/12Mercer v Tennessee State68-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HMidway87-70
18/11/23AOregon67-92
16/11/23APortland75-65
10/11/23HKentucky State83-58
07/11/23HFisk76-61
03/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State83-91
25/02/23HSouthern Indiana81-93
24/02/23AUT Martin88-82
18/02/23HSiu Edwardsville100-85
17/02/23AMorehead State64-74
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AAlabama67-98
15/11/23AMorehead State66-74
10/11/23AChicago State66-61
07/11/23HClarke64-71
04/03/23AFurman58-73
03/03/23HCitadel66-41
25/02/23HCitadel72-50
23/02/23AFurman67-70
18/02/23HWestern Carolina68-71
16/02/23AWofford67-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game77.682.071.0
Allowed / game69.263.078.5
Point differential+8.4+19.0-7.5
Avg total146.8145.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game65.864.066.3
Allowed / game76.071.077.7
Point differential-10.2-7.0-11.3
Avg total141.8135.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State54180%77.669.2+8.4
2 UT Martin64267%84.781.7+3.0
3 Morehead State74357%72.768.0+4.7
4 Siu Edwardsville63350%66.768.2-1.5
5 Lindenwood63350%63.874.0-10.2
6 Western Illinois52340%73.876.0-2.2
7 Eastern Illinois62433%63.567.5-4.0
8 Tennessee Tech62433%67.277.8-10.7
9 Southeast Missouri State41325%62.580.8-18.2
10 UALR51420%80.486.2-5.8
11 Southern Indiana61517%63.873.0-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs440100%77.560.5+17.0
2 Western Carolina440100%79.866.0+13.8
3 NC Greensboro43175%79.572.0+7.5
4 Samford53260%78.872.8+6.0
5 Furman53260%83.478.0+5.4
6 Wofford42250%80.286.5-6.2
7 Citadel73443%65.466.3-0.9
8 East Tennessee St52340%67.271.2-4.0
9 Mercer41325%65.876.0-10.2
10 VMI61517%71.774.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State174259
Mercer322860
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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