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Mercer vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-71
33-31 35-40
Position#261
Record12-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#161
Record15-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mercer v Western Carolina
06 Jan 2027
MERC v WEST
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
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WEST77
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01 Mar 2025
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WEST69
13 Jan 2024
MERC52
WEST64
18 Feb 2023
MERC68
WEST71
04 Mar 2022
MERC81
WEST53
22 Jan 2022
MERC72
WEST64
16 Jan 2021
MERC78
WEST76
07 Mar 2020
MERC56
WEST70
22 Jan 2020
MERC85
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
37-27
30-30
39-31
24-29
24-30
27-32
32-27
30-29
44-36
21-41
28-28
39-26
41-28
29-26
36-39
38-33
18-40
31-29
36-41
129.4Avg total
65.1Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.268.1137.2+1.143%
Season at home (13)71.965.2137.1+6.854%
Season away (15)66.870.6137.4-3.833%
Last 10 (10)65.164.3129.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)64.267.2131.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.172.4136.5-8.212%
vs Similar ◀ (14)63.966.4130.3-2.443%
vs Weaker (8)84.665.6150.2+19.075%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H26/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H02/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
59-93
59
93
-34
A11/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-26
36-39
32-37
44-34
24-32
41-42
31-35
39-46
32-26
39-39
33-42
44-43
37-33
46-35
32-37
48-43
31-41
28-52
32-30
36-36
148.4Avg total
72.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.071.2146.2+3.854%
Season at home (15)80.568.9149.5+11.667%
Season away (13)68.673.9142.5-5.338%
Last 10 (10)72.575.9148.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)76.480.6157.0-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.077.2141.2-13.240%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.771.9142.6-1.250%
vs Weaker (11)84.168.7152.8+15.464%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.8-0.8
MercerWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/02
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.565.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.031.866.8+3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)32.131.363.4+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)30.030.360.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.434.865.1-4.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.529.359.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)41.832.274.0+9.562%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A21/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
30.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.967.4-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.533.670.1+2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)30.034.364.3-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.964.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.437.470.8-4.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.734.164.9-3.436%-
vs Weaker (11)37.032.069.0+5.045%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mercer wins
5
Western Carolina wins
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23AWofford67-70
11/02/23AChattanooga Mocs56-73
09/02/23HSamford69-70 OT
04/02/23HVMI80-54
03/02/23HNC Greensboro49-69
28/01/23ACitadel74-65
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
21/01/23ANC Greensboro48-59
20/01/23AVMI69-61
14/01/23AEast Tennessee St68-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HEast Tennessee St68-66
11/02/23AFurman59-93
09/02/23AWofford95-91 OT
04/02/23HChattanooga Mocs83-68
02/02/23HSamford77-85
28/01/23AVMI71-65
26/01/23HCitadel70-81
21/01/23ASamford65-74
19/01/23HWofford76-71
14/01/23ACitadel61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%54%33%
Points / game69.271.966.8
Allowed / game68.165.270.6
Point differential+1.1+6.8-3.8
Avg total137.2137.1137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%67%38%
Points / game75.080.568.6
Allowed / game71.268.973.9
Point differential+3.8+11.6-5.3
Avg total146.2149.5142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2821775%82.270.7+11.5
2 Samford2920969%78.770.4+8.3
3 NC Greensboro29191066%72.764.9+7.8
4 Western Carolina28151354%75.071.2+3.8
5 Chattanooga Mocs29151452%76.871.0+5.9
6 Wofford29151452%74.872.1+2.7
7 Mercer28121643%69.268.1+1.1
8 East Tennessee St28101836%69.168.7+0.4
9 Citadel29101934%68.974.4-5.6
10 VMI2962321%68.875.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer333568
Western Carolina314071
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