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Tennessee State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 95-86
44-32 51-54
Position#188
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#145
Record8-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tennessee State v UALR
29 Jan 2026
TENN70
UALR63
04 Jan 2025
TENN95
UALR86
30 Dec 2023
TENN90
UALR82
31 Dec 2022
TENN94
UALR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
110-33
110
33
+77
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
43-35
59-15
51-18
37-31
41-54
40-46
45-51
37-41
37-51
31-44
29-40
47-30
42-28
40-39
35-38
30-32
38-42
27-31
38-36
152.3Avg total
78.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.375.7155.0+3.629%
Season at home (7)85.667.9153.4+17.757%
Season away (7)73.083.6156.6-10.60%
Last 10 (10)78.573.8152.3+4.730%
Last 5 (5)71.472.0143.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.068.0117.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.176.8147.9-5.831%
vs Weaker (16)77.467.6145.0+9.862%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A16/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
34-92
34
92
-58
A26/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#422
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
69-77 OT
69
77
-8
H15/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
45-38
20-25
51-32
24-42
43-37
19-51
15-41
40-31
38-28
32-25
31-32
38-34
42-23
32-30
32-34
30-22
30-34
22-32
35-24
131.4Avg total
66.0Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.267.7134.9-0.562%
Season at home (6)72.361.7134.0+10.783%
Season away (7)62.972.9135.7-10.043%
Last 10 (10)66.065.4131.4+0.670%
Last 5 (5)65.860.6126.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.678.2135.8-20.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.864.6135.5+6.264%
vs Weaker (12)76.360.4136.8+15.9100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.9+3.9
Tennessee StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
38.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.667.7+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.932.468.3+3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)32.334.767.1-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.573.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.270.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.035.057.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.834.366.1-2.531%-
vs Weaker (16)36.832.969.7+3.956%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A26/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#422
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H15/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A03/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
29.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.065.1+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.928.265.1+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)31.233.965.1-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)29.331.861.1-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)30.828.659.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.435.261.6-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.431.164.5+2.364%-
vs Weaker (12)37.028.665.6+8.483%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee State wins
3
UALR wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24UALR v Tennessee State85-60
30/12/23Tennessee State v UALR90-82
21/01/23UALR v Tennessee State89-77
31/12/22Tennessee State v UALR94-69
11/12/19UALR v Tennessee State86-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HSoutheast Missouri State65-67
21/12/24AMorehead State68-74
20/12/24ASouthern Indiana75-77
14/12/24HJohnson Royals89-58
11/12/24AWestern Kentucky60-84
01/12/24HUNC Asheville74-92
26/11/24ABryant University85-97
26/11/24AChattanooga Mocs78-85
20/11/24HEWU Phantoms110-33
17/11/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs81-71
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AUT Martin57-56
20/12/24HSiu Edwardsville60-56
15/12/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-77 OT
11/12/24HOuachita Baptist80-57
05/12/24HCentral Arkansas63-57
28/11/24HMd.-East. Shore78-59
26/11/24AIllinois34-92
23/11/24AArkansas67-79
21/11/24ATulsa71-57
16/11/24AUTSA Roadrunners81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game79.385.673.0
Allowed / game75.767.983.6
Point differential+3.6+17.7-10.6
Avg total155.0153.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
UALR
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game67.272.362.9
Allowed / game67.761.772.9
Point differential-0.5+10.7-10.0
Avg total134.9134.0135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR138562%67.267.7-0.5
2 Southeast Missouri State148657%75.167.8+7.4
3 Siu Edwardsville148657%74.167.0+7.1
4 Tennessee Tech158753%73.674.9-1.3
5 Morehead State158753%70.571.9-1.4
6 Western Illinois147750%70.669.6+0.9
7 Lindenwood146843%74.169.5+4.6
8 Southern Indiana146843%75.372.8+2.5
9 Eastern Illinois135838%71.674.4-2.8
10 UT Martin145936%76.869.7+7.1
11 Tennessee State1441029%79.375.7+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State445195
UALR325486
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